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題名：國家實力與國際參與：1945年至2013年全球建制之實證研究
書刊名：東吳政治學報
作者：林文謙
作者(外文)：Lin, Wun-cian
出版日期：2015
卷期：33:1
頁次：頁1-54
主題關鍵詞：國家實力；國際參與；世界秩序；失敗國家；全球建制；State capability；International participation；World order；Failed states；Global regimes
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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本文旨在釐清「國家實力」和「國際事務的參與數量」之間的關係，進而剖析世界秩序的本質。在經過變異數分析（ANOVA）、關聯強度（strength of association）分析、及虛擬變項之迴歸分析（egression of dummy variable）等檢測後，研究發現如下：一、在進行國際建制的創建時，國家的參與數量會依國力強弱而出現次序性的差異，但在管制國際事務時則無統計上的顯著差異；二、國家實力和國際參與兩者間存在顯著的正相關；三、在當代世界秩序的形塑過程之中，強權國與次強國家扮演著重要的角色。
The purpose of this article was to explore the relationship between State Capability and International Participation, and subsequently analyze the nature of World Order. The statistical methods used to analyze the data comprised ANOVA, strength of association, and regression of dummy variable. Research findings were as follows. First, when participate in building international regimes, state's participation frequency was listed according to state capability and has sequence differences between groups. However, with regard to the international affairs regulation, there is no statistically significant difference. Second, results indicate that there is a significant positive correlation between State Capability and International Participation. Finally, Major Powers and Secondary Powers are playing important roles in shaping the nature of world order.
期刊論文
1.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(1992)。What New World Order?。Foreign Affairs，71(2)，83-96。  new window
2.Lima, Maria Regina Soares De、Hirst, Mônica(2006)。Brazil as an intermediate state and regional power: action, choice and responsibilities。International Affairs，82(1)，21-40。  new window
3.Alden, Chris、Vieira, Marco Antonio(2005)。The New Diplomacy of the South: South Africa, Brazil, India and Trilateralism。Third World Quarterly，26(7)，1077-1095。  new window
4.Chase, Michael S.(2012)。Debating a Rising China's Role in International Affairs。China Brief，7(24)，5-9。  new window
5.Florini, Ann(2011)。Rising Asian Powers and Changing Global Governance。International Studies Review，13，24-33。  new window
6.Hoffmann, Stanley(1995)。Report of the Conference on Conditions of World Order: June 12-19, 1965, Villa Serbelloni, Bellagio, Italy。Daedalus，124(3)，1-26。  new window
7.Narlikar, Amrita(2007)。All That Glitters is Not Gold: India's Rise to Power。Third World Quarterly，28(5)，983-996。  new window
8.Cohen, Stephen P.(2000)。India Rising。The Wilson Quarterly，24(3)，32-53。  new window
9.Rapkin, David、Thompson, William R.(2003)。Power Transition, Challenge and the (Re) Emergence of China。International Interactions，29(4)，315-342。  new window
10.Singer, J. David(1987)。Reconstructing the Correlates of War Dataset on Material Capabilities of States, 1816-1985。International Interactions，14(2)，115-132。  new window
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12.Medeiros, Evan S.、Fravel, M. Taylor(2003)。China's New Diplomacy。Foreign Affairs，82(6)，22-35。  new window
13.Waltz, Kenneth N.(1993)。The Emerging Structure of International Politics。International Security，18(2)，44-79。  new window
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會議論文
1.Corbetta, Renato、Volgy, Thomas J.、Grant, Keith A.、Baird, Ryan G.(2008)。Major Powers, Major Power Status and Status Inconsistency in International Politics。5th Convention of the Russian International Studies Association，(會議日期: 26-27 September 2008)。Moscow：MGIMO University。  new window
圖書
1.凃金堂(2010)。SPSS與量化研究。臺北市：五南圖書出版股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳正昌(2004)。行為及社會科學統計學：統計軟體應用。台北：巨流圖書。  延伸查詢new window
3.Cline, Ray S.(1977)。World Power Assessment 1977: A Calculus of Strategic Drift。Boulder, CO：Westview Press。  new window
4.Copeland, Dale C.(2001)。The Origins of Major War。Ithaca, NY：Cornell University Press。  new window
5.Fleurbaey, Marc、Blanchet, Didier(2013)。Beyond GDP: Measuring Welfare and Assessing Sustainability。New York, NY：Oxford University Press。  new window
6.Palmer, Glenn、Morgan, Thomas Clifton(2006)。A Theory of Foreign Policy。Princeton, NJ：Princeton University Press。  new window
7.Quinn, Gerry P.、Keough, Michael J.(2002)。Experimental Design and Data Analysis for Biologists。Cambridge University Press。  new window
8.Rowntree, Derek(1981)。Statistics Without Tears: A Primer for Non-mathematicians。New York, NY：Penguin Books。  new window
9.Wilson, John J.(2000)。Juveniles and the Death Penalty。Washington, DC：U.S. Department of Justice。  new window
10.Ikenberry, G. John(2001)。After Victory: Institutions, Strategic Restraint, and the Rebuilding of Order after Major Wars。Princeton, New Jersey：Princeton University Press。  new window
11.Tammen, Ronald L.、Kugler, Jacek、Lemke, Douglas、Stam, Allan C. III、Abdollahian, Mark A.、Alsharabati, Carole、Efird, Brian、Organski, Abramo Fimo Kenneth(2000)。Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century。Chatham House Publishers of Seven Bridges Press。  new window
12.吳明隆(2011)。SPSS統計應用學習實務：問卷分析與應用統計。新北市：易習圖書。  延伸查詢new window
13.Kindlebrg, Charles P.(1973)。The World in Depression, 1929-1939。Berkeley, CA：University of California Press。  new window
14.Cohen, J.(1988)。Statistical power and analysis for the behavioral sciences。Hillsdale, NJ：Lawrence Erlbaum Associates。  new window
15.Morgenthau, Hans Joachim(1948)。Politics among nations: the Struggle for Power and Peace。New York：A. A. Knopf。  new window
16.吳明隆(2010)。SPSS操作與應用：變異數分析實務。臺北市：五南圖書出版股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
17.Keohane, Robert O.、Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(1989)。Power and Interdependence。New York：Harper Collins Publishers。  new window
18.Waltz, Kenneth N.(1979)。Theory of International Politics。McGraw Hill。  new window
19.Hoffman, Stanley(1978)。Primacy or World Order: American Foreign Policy since the Cold War。New York：McGraw-Hill。  new window
20.Gilpin, Robert G.(2001)。Global Political Economy: Understanding the International Economic Order。Princeton University Press。  new window
21.Kennedy, Paul(1988)。The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict from 1500 to 2000。London, UK：Unwin Hyman Limited。  new window
22.Bull, Hedley(1977)。The Anarchical society: A Study of Order in World Politics。New York：Columbia University Press。  new window
23.King, Gary、Keohane, Robert O.、Verba, Sidney(1994)。Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific inference in Qualitative Research。Princeton University Press。  new window
24.Mearsheimer, John J.、Alterman, G.(2001)。The Tragedy of Great Power Politics。W. W. Norton & Company。  new window
25.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(2004)。Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics。Public Affairs。  new window
26.Keohane, Robert O.(1984)。After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy。Princeton University Press。  new window
27.Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(2011)。The Future of Power。New York：Public Affairs。  new window
其他
1.Buckley, Chris(20130226)。Chinese Intellectuals Urge Ratifying Rights Treaty。  new window
2.Ching, Frank(2013)。China Gov't Announces Plans to Ratify 1998 ICCPR Treaty，http://www.chinapost.com.tw/commentary/the-china-post/frank-ching/2011/07/20/310434/p2/China-gov't.htm， 2013/07/20。  new window
3.COW(2013)。National Material Capabilities v4.0，http://www.correlatesofwar.org/COW2%20Data/Capabilities/NMC_v4_0.csv， 2013/07/14。  new window
4.COW(2014)。State System Membership List v2011，http://www.correlatesofwar.org/COW2%20Data/SystemMembership/2011/System2011.html， 2014/07/18。  new window
5.COW(2014)。The Correlates of War Project Bibliographic Essay，http://www.correlatesofwar.org/COW_bibliographic_essay.htm， 2014/10/14。  new window
6.Fisher, Max(20140109)。These 10 Countries are set to be the Fastest-Growing Economies in 2014，http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/worldviews/wp/2014/01/09/these-10-countries-are-set-to-be-the-fastest-growing-economies-in-2014/， 2014/01/09。  new window
7.McElwee, Sean，Daly, Lew(20140605)。Why We should abolish the GDP: The Ubiquitous Measure Obscures the True Costs of Growth，http://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2014/06/05/why-we-should-abolish-the-gdp/， 2014/06/05。  new window
8.Mooi, Erik，Sarstedt, Marko(2011)。Web Appendix: Two Way ANOVA，http://www.guide-market-research.com/L3UXRpWEecff/attachments/021_Two-way%20ANOVA.pdf， 2011/07/14。  new window
9.World Bank Data(2014)。GDP, Current US Dollar，http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD。  new window
10.The Fund for Peace(2013)。Failed States Index，http://global. fundforpeace.org/， 2013/07/09。  new window
圖書論文
1.Danilovic, Vesna(2002)。Conceptual and Operational Rules for Major Powers。When the Stakes Are High: Deterrence and Conflict among Major Powers。Ann Arbor, MI：The University of Michigan Press。  new window
2.Mus, Paul(1970)。Buddhism and World Order。Conditions of World Order。New York, NY：A Clarion Book。  new window
3.Volgy, Thomas J.、Corbetta, Renato、Grant, Keith A.、Baird, Ryan G.(2011)。Major Power Status in International Politics。Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics: Global and Regional Perspectives。New York, NY：Palgrave MacMillan。  new window
4.Volgy, Thomas J.、Corbetta, Renato、Rhamey, Jr. J. Patrick、Baird, Ryan G.、Grant, Keith A.(2014)。Status Considerations in International Politics and the Rise of Regional Powers。Status in World Politics。New York, NY：Cambridge University Press。  new window
5.Singer, J. David、Bremer, Stuart、Stuckey, John(1972)。Capability Distribution, Uncertainty, and Major Power War, 1820-1965。Peace, War, and Numbers。Beverly Hills, California：Sage。  new window
 
 
 
 
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