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題名：臺灣公路系統之脆弱度與回復力評估
書刊名：運輸計劃
作者：謝承憲 引用關係／馮正民
作者(外文)：Hsieh, Cheng-hsien／Feng, Cheng-min
出版日期：2016
卷期：45:3
頁次：頁235-250
主題關鍵詞：公路系統脆弱度；相互依賴性；回復力；調適策略；Highway network vulnerability；Interdependency；Resilience；Adaptation strategies
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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由於全球環境變遷引起的極端氣候現象，近年來發生在臺灣地區之自然災害其強度與頻率日益增加，導致人員之傷亡與嚴重之財產損失。關鍵基礎設施受災後若無法發揮功能，除了影響日常生活與經濟活動之持續運作外，更可能因相互依賴性造成其他系統一併失效。關鍵基礎設施中，公路系統對於災害管理之重要性不言可喻，除了資源調度與預先疏散功能外，更直接影響災害應變與復原，尤其是救災物流與救援行動之進行。本研究以社會經濟與環境觀點評估臺灣公路系統之脆弱度與回復力，並將設施與脆弱因子間之相依性納入考量，以臺北都會區路網及日月潭與阿里山二山區公路系統為實際案例進行分析。分析結果顯示，因特定路段失效導致鄰近路段服務水準退化、連結性、及與急救責任醫院之距離係影響都會區路網回復力之關鍵因子；山區公路系統部分，阿里山地區在聯外道路之疏散負荷、流量容量比、及經濟暴露度指標表現較佳，但整體脆弱度卻因平均觀光收益之空氣汙染衝擊及形成孤島之潛在衝擊性遠高於日月潭地區，顯示阿里山地區較缺乏從災害中回復之資源。本研究所建構之分析方法有助於規劃人員瞭解路網系統回復力之評估工具，並協助決策者進行調適策略優先順序之參考，以改善路網受危害影響條件下之服務能力。
Owing to extreme climatic events caused by global environmental changes, the frequency and magnitude of natural hazards in Taiwan have increased in recent years, leading to deaths, injuries, and substantial damages to properties. Disruptions to critical infrastructures have impaired the ability to ensure sustainable daily operations and have caused further failures in other systems. Along with resource allocation and pre-evacuation, highway networks profoundly impact disaster response and recovery, particularly emergency disaster logistics and rescues. This study assesses the vulnerability and resilience of highway networks based on socioeconomic and environmental susceptibilities in Taiwan in regard to failures from the perspectives of interdependency. A metropolitan road network and the mountainous highways are employed as empirical cases. Analytical results demonstrate that the level of service on adjacent links, connectivity, and accessibility for emergency medical facilities significantly impact the resilience of metropolitan highway networks. Alishan performs better in highway loading, level of service, and economic exposure; however, the sustainability of Alishan is more vulnerable than that of Sun Moon Lake because of the more serious impact of emission and fewer disaster recovery resources. The proposed method can assist planners in understanding the assessment tools for highway network resilience and help decision makers prioritize their adaptation strategies to improve serviceability of the road network during hazardous conditions.
期刊論文
1.Chambers, R.(2006)。Vulnerability, Coping and Policy。Institute of Development Studies Bulletin，37(4)，33-40。  new window
2.Bana e Costa, C. A.、Oliveira, C. S.、Vieira, V.(2008)。Prioritization of Bridges and Tunnels in Earthquake Risk Mitigation Using Multicriteria Decision Analysis: Application to Lisbon。Omega--International Journal of Management Science，36(3)，442-450。  new window
3.Hsieh, C. H.、Su, J. L.、Feng, C. M.(2011)。Disaster Risk Assessment of Highway Bridge from Vulnerability Perspective。Journal of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation Studies，9，1-15。  new window
4.Jenelius, E.、Petersen, T.、Mattsson, L. G.(2006)。Importance and Exposure in Road Network Vulnerability Analysis。Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice，40(7)，537-560。  new window
5.Jenelius, E.(2009)。Network structure and travel patterns: Explaining the geographical disparities of road network vulnerability。Journal of Transport Geography，17(3)，234-244。  new window
6.Hsieh, C. H.、Feng, C. M.(2014)。Road network vulnerability assessment based on fragile factor interdependencies in spatial-functional perspectives。Environment and Planning A，46(3)，700-714。  new window
7.Chen, B. Y.、Lam, W. H. K.、Sumalee, A.、Li, Q.、Li, Z. C.(2012)。Vulnerability analysis for large-scale and congested road networks with demand uncertainty。Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice，46(3)，501-516。  new window
8.Adger, W. N.(2006)。Vulnerability。Global Environmental Change，16(3)，268-281。  new window
9.Yamane, A.(2009)。Climate Change and Hazardscape of Sri Lanka。Environment and Planning A，41(10)，2396-2416。  new window
10.Schmidt-Thomé, P.、Greiving, S.、Kallio, H.、Fleischhauer, M.、Jarva, J.(2006)。Economic Risk Maps of Floods and Earthquakes for European Regions。Quaternary International，150(1)，103-112。  new window
11.Cox, A.、Prager, F.、Rose, A.(2011)。Transportation Security and the Role of Resilience: A Foundation for Operational Metrics。Transport Policy，18(2)，307-317。  new window
12.Zhuo, H.、Wang, J.、Wan, J.、Jia, H.(2010)。Resilience to Natural Hazards: A Geographic Perspective。Natural Hazards，53(1)，21-41。  new window
13.O'Brien, K. L.、Leichenko, R.、Kelkar, U.、Venema, H.、Aandahl, G.、Tompkins, H.(2004)。Mapping Vulnerability to Multiple Stressors: Climate Change and Globalization in India。Global Environmental Change，14(4)，303-313。  new window
14.Miller-Hooks, E.、Zhang, X.、Faturechi, R.(2012)。Measuring and Maximizing Resilience of Freight Transportation Networks。Computers and Operations Research，39(7)，1633-1643。  new window
15.Turner, B. L. II(2010)。Vulnerability and Resilience: Coalescing or Paralleling Approaches for Sustainability Science?。Global Environmental Change，20(4)，570-576。  new window
16.Cimellaro, G. P.、Reinhorn, A. M.、Bruneau, M.(2010)。Framework for Analytical Quantification of Disaster Resilience。Engineering Structures，32(11)，3639-3649。  new window
17.Tamvakis, P.、Xenidis, Y.(2012)。Resilience in Transportation Systems。Procedia--Social and Behavioral Sciences，48，3441-3450。  new window
18.Prager, F.、Beeler Asay, G. R.、Lee, B.、von Winterfeldt, D.(2011)。Exploring Reductions in London Underground Passenger Journeys Following the July 2005 Bombings。Risk Analysis，31(5)，773-786。  new window
19.Rose, A.(2007)。Economic Resilience to Natural and Man-made Disasters: Multi-disciplinary Origins and Contextual Dimensions。Environmental Hazards，7(4)，383-395。  new window
20.Alberts, H. C.、Alberts, R. M.、Bloom, M. F.、LaFlamme, A. D.、Teerikangas, S.(2004)。The Three Gorges Dam Project from a Systems Viewpoint。System Research and Behavioral Science，21(6)，585-602。  new window
21.Nguyen, L. D.、Ogunlana, S. O.(2005)。Modeling the Dynamics of an Infrastructure Project。Computer-Aided Civil and Infrastructure Engineering，20(4)，265-279。  new window
22.Stylios, C. D.、Groumpos, P. P.(2000)。Fuzzy Cognitive Maps in Modeling Supervisory Control Systems。Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems，8(1)，83-98。  new window
23.Chan, S.-L.、Huang, S.-L.(2004)。A Systems Approach for the Development of a Sustainable Community: The Application of the Sensitivity Model (SM)。Journal of Environmental Management，72(3)，133-147。  new window
24.Levine, J.、Garb, Y.(2002)。Congestion Pricing Conditional Promise: Promotion of Accessibility or Mobility?。Transport Policy，9(3)，178-188。  new window
25.Cardona, O. D.、Carreño, M. L.(2011)。Updating the Indicators of Disaster Risk and Risk Management for the Americas。Journal of Integrated Disaster Risk Management，1(1)，1-21。  new window
26.Levinson, D.(2003)。Perspectives on Efficiency in Transportation。International Journal of Transport Management，1(3)，145-155。  new window
27.Cutter, Susan L.、Boruff, Bryan J.、Shirley, W. Lynn(2003)。Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards。Social Science Quarterly，84(2)，242-261。  new window
會議論文
1.Clark, W. C.、Jäeger, J.、Corell, R.、Kasperson, R.、McCarthy, J. J.、Cash, D.(2000)。Assessing Vulnerability to Global Environmental Risks。Workshop on Vulnerability to Global Environmental Change: Challenges for Research, Assessment and Decision Making，(會議日期: May 22-25, 2000)。Warrenton, VA：Airlie House。  new window
研究報告
1.Dekker, S.、Hollnagel, E.、Woo, D.、Cook, R.(2008)。Resilience Engineering: New Directions for Measuring and Maintaining Safety in Complex Systems。Lund University。  new window
圖書
1.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(2001)。Technical Summary--Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability。Geneva：IPCC。  new window
2.Vester, F.、von Hesler, A.(1982)。Sensitivity Model。Frankfurt：Umlandverband Frankfurt am Main。  new window
3.Dwyer, A.、Zoppou, C.、Nielsen, O.、Day, S.、Roberts, S.(2004)。Quantifying Social Vulnerability: A Methodology for Identifying those at Risk to Natural Hazards。Canberra：Geoscience Australia。  new window
其他
1.United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction(2009)。2009 UNISDR Terminology on Disaster Risk Reduction，http://www.unisdr.org/files/7817_UNISDRTerminology English.pdf。  new window
2.United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction(2005)。Hyogo Declaration，http://www.unisdr.org/2005/wcdr/intergover/official-doc/L-docs/Hyogo-declaration-english.pdf。  new window
3.Department of Homeland Security(2009)。National Infrastructure Protection Plan，https://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/nipp_consolidated_snapshot.pdf。  new window
圖書論文
1.Martellato, D.、Reggiani, A.、Nijkamp, P.(1998)。Measurement and Measures of Network Accessibility--Economic Perspectives。Transport Networks in Europe; Concepts, Analysis and Policies。London：Edward Elgar。  new window
2.Messner, F.、Meyer, V.(2006)。Flood Damage, Vulnerability and Risk Perception--Challenges for Flood Damage Research。Flood Risk Management: Hazards, Vulnerability and Mitigation Measures。Springer。  new window
 
 
 
 
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