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題名:股價漲跌幅限制改變的宣告效果之分析
書刊名:管理資訊計算
作者:蕭文姃 引用關係陳政位顏慧明 引用關係黃新福 引用關係陳旭邦
作者(外文):Hsiao, Wen-chengChen, Cheng-weiYen, Huey-mingHuang, Hsin-fuChen, Hsu-pang
出版日期:2017
卷期:6:1
頁次:頁1-12
主題關鍵詞:股價漲跌幅限制宣告效果事件研究法單因子變異數分析Stock price limitAnnouncement effectsEvent studyOne-way ANOVA
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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股價漲跌幅限制之採行是為了降低每日股價的波動,藉以提供投資人冷卻期,並在當下重新評估股票之合理價值。而金管會於2015 年1 月23 日提出實施「放寬每日股價漲跌幅限制至10%」的政策,並於同年6 月1 日正式生效。因此,本研究之研究目的在檢視臺灣50、中型100、以及富櫃50 等三項指數之成分股,於新聞發布日與政策生效日之宣告效果,並且比較指數成分股間之宣告效果是否存在差異。本研究之研究期間為2014 年8 月29 日至2015 年6 月8 日,包含2015 年1 月23 日新聞宣布日與2015 年6 月1 日政策生效日,指數成分股共計169 家。透過事件研究法、t 檢定、符號檢定與單因子變異數分析,實證結果如下。首先,放寬每日股價漲跌幅限制於發布日之宣告效果以臺灣50 之成分股較為顯著,但政策生效日則呈現效率性市場假說的肯定結果。其次,只有在新聞發布日當天,三項指數成分股的平均異常報酬率之間才呈現顯著差異。最後,整體而言,無論是在新聞發布日或在生效日,宣告日與日後的指數成分股平均異常報酬中,以富櫃50 成分股之表現最佳,而臺灣50 成分股的平均異常報酬則表現最差。
The goal of adopting stock price limits is to reduce daily stock-price volatility. Meanwhile, it provides investors as a cooling-off period for re-valuating the reasonable intrinsic values of stocks. The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) announced the news of increasing price variation limits to 10% in January 23, 2015, and became effective in June 1 at the same year. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to examine and compare such announcement effects on the constituents of three stock indices, namely, Taiwan 50 Index (TW50), Taiwan Mid-Cap 100 Index (Mid100), and TPEx50 Index. The investigated period covers from August 29, 2014 to June 1, 2015, including the news announcement date and policy effective date mentioned above. The index constituents analyzed are 169 stocks in total. Through the methodologies of event study, t tests, sign tests, and one-way ANOVA, the empirical results are as follows. First, the announcement effects of TW50 are the most significant on the news announcement date, but the efficient market hypothesis is supported on the policy-effective date. Second, it is only on the news announcement date for the average abnormal returns (ARs) in constituents among indices to be different. Finally, the descending ranking of AR s' significances among three indices are the TPEx50, Mid100 and TW50 constituents.
期刊論文
1.陳芬英、黃宸浩(20120300)。政策宣告與股價異常報酬率之研究:臺灣股價的實證分析。臺灣金融財務季刊,13(1),57-85。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Lee, S. B.、Kim, K. J.(1995)。The Effect of Price Limits on Stock Price Volatility: Empirical Evidence in Korea。Journal of Business Finance and Accounting,22(2),257-267。  new window
3.Kim, Kenneth A.(2001)。Price limits and stock market volatility。Economics Letters,71,131-136。  new window
4.周賓凰、吳壽山(19981000)。漲跌幅限制之再探討。中國財務學刊,6(2),19-48。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.劉玉珍、周行一、潘璟靜(19961000)。臺灣股市價格限制與交易行為。中國財務學刊,4(2),41-60。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Karpoff, Jonathan M.(1986)。A theory of trading volume。Journal of Finance,41(5),1069-1087。  new window
7.Kim, K. A.、Limpaphayom, P.(2000)。Characteristics of Stocks that Frequently Hit Price Limits: Empirical Evidence from Taiwan and Thailand。Journal of Financial Markets,3(3),315-332。  new window
8.Choi, W. S.、Lee, S. B.(2000)。Price Limits and Limit Order Flow: Evidence from the Korea Stock Exchange。Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies,3(4),451-474。  new window
9.Ma, C. K.、Rao, R. P.、Sears, R. S.(1989)。Volatility, Price Resolution, and the Effectiveness of Price Limits。Journal of Financial Services Research,3(2),165-199。  new window
10.Larson, S. J.、Madura, J.(2003)。What Drives Stock Price Behavior Following Extreme One-Day Returns。Journal of Financial Research,26(1),113-127。  new window
11.Kodres, L. E.、O'Brien, D. P.(1994)。The Existence of Pareto-Superior Price Limits。The American Economic Review,84(4),919-932。  new window
12.吳壽山、周賓鳳(19960100)。衡量漲跌幅限制對股票報酬與風險之影響。證券市場發展季刊,8(1)=29,1-29。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.蔡穗馥、李欣怡(20141000)。我國宣告促進經濟成長之合作協定政策對股票市場的報酬與波動性影響。管理資訊計算,3(特刊),11-21。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1992)。The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns。The Journal of Finance,47(2),427-465。  new window
圖書論文
1.Fama, E. F.(1989)。Perspectives on October 1987, or What Did We Learn from the Crash?。Black Monday and the Future of Financial Markets。Homewood, IL:Dow Jones-Irwin, Inc.。  new window
 
 
 
 
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