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題名:機構投資者交易活動與期貨報酬波動之研究
書刊名:全球商業經營管理學報
作者:柏婉貞 引用關係伍建龍吳家綺
作者(外文):Po, Wan-chenWu, Chieng LungWu, Jia Qi
出版日期:2017
卷期:9
頁次:頁1-12
主題關鍵詞:機構投資者未平倉淨口數臺灣加權股價指數期貨多變量GARCH-BEKK模型Institutional investorsNet open interestTXMultivariate GARCH-BEKK method
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:2
  • 點閱點閱:6
本研究旨從理論與實證角度,檢視台灣期貨市場機構投資者交易活動與報酬波動之驗證,本文建構雙變量GARCH模型(BEKK模型),除了分析過去衝擊對波動之影響外,並進一步探討機構投資者未平倉量淨口數與台灣加權指數日報酬波動之關係,資料期間為2007年1月1日至2015年03月25日期貨市場1920筆日資料。首先,實證結果顯示使用ADF與PP單根檢定法,得知機構投資者未平倉量為定態型式,其次,經由因果關係檢定分析結果,發現台灣加權指數期貨報酬與外資存在互為因果的回饋關係,自營商、投信未平倉量則明顯領先台灣加權指數期貨報酬。此外,本文採用向量自我迴歸模型分析探討各國股價指數報酬率短期互動關係,發現台灣加權指數期貨日報酬分別與外資、自營商與投信未平倉量淨口數有互動的關係。最後,利用多變量GARCH-BEKK模型,發現機構投資者未平倉量對台灣加權股價指數期貨報酬率波動互有短期衝擊與長期持續之現象。本研究實證結果有於投資者瞭解機構投資者交易活動與波動關聯性。
This article discusses the idea of multivariate GARCH-BEKK model to investigate the relationships of the institutional investors trade activity in TX return volatility, the study also analysis the net open interest in TX return volatility , the period is from January, 2007 to March, 2015.The total samples are1,920. Firstly, the paper employs the ADF and PP unit root test. It finds that the open interest is stationary of Institutional investors. Secondly, the paper use Granger causality test and vector autoregressive, it result show that there is feedback relationships between Foreign investor and TAIEX, It exists lead-lag relationships in Investment trust and dealer. In an addition, the article uses multivariate GARCH-BEKK model to capture volatility in institutional investors, it also finds that the institutional investors have relationship in TX returns volatilities. The result provides investor to understand the institutional investors trade activity in TX return volatility.
期刊論文
1.Bessembinder, Hendrik、Seguin, Paul J.(1993)。Price volatility, trading volume and market depth: Evidence from futures markets。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,28(1),21-39。  new window
2.Lin, C. H.、Hsu, H.、Chiang, C. Y.(2005)。Trading patterns and performance of trader types in Taiwan futures market。Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies,8,217-234。  new window
3.Kamesaka, Akiko、Nofsinger, John R.、Kawakita, Hidetaka(2003)。Investment Patterns and Performance of investor Groups in Japan。Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,11(1),1-22。  new window
4.Sims, Christopher A.(1980)。Macroeconomics and Reality。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,48(1),1-48。  new window
5.Bollerslev, Tim(1986)。Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity。Journal of Econometrics,31(3),307-327。  new window
6.Bollerslev, Tim、Engle, Robert F.、Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.(1988)。A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances。Journal of Political Economy,96(1),116-131。  new window
7.Phillips, Peter C. B.、Perron, Pierre(1988)。Testing for a unit root in time series regression。Biometrika,75(2),335-346。  new window
8.Engle, Robert F.、Kroner, Kenneth F.(1995)。Multivariate simultaneous GARCH。Econometric Theory,11,122-150。  new window
9.Engle, Robert F.(1982)。Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation。Econometrica,50(4),987-1008。  new window
研究報告
1.Huang, B. N.(2000)。Impact of domestic investment companies, registered trading firms and QFIIs on the Taiwan stock exchange after the financial market liberalization。National Chung Cheng University。  new window
學位論文
1.張皇輝(1995)。外資及自營商的買賣策略對臺灣股市報酬率與波動性影響之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.林昭賢(2005)。期貨交易者與期貨價格行為關係的三個議題探討(博士論文)。國立成功大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.皮善榮(2005)。臺股指數選擇權成交量、未平倉量與波動率相關性探討(碩士論文)。長庚大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.邱馨儀(2010)。三大法人投資行為與臺灣股市指數報酬率之互動關係(碩士論文)。樹德科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.傅俊源(2010)。金融海嘯期間法人買賣超與股價報酬之互動關係(碩士論文)。國立高雄第一科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.葉月女(2003)。我國證券市場三大機構投資人與一般投資人對股市波動性影響之探討(碩士論文)。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.薛龍進(2009)。臺灣股市股價指數報酬率與三大法人買賣超互動關係之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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