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題名：從數據科學觀點探討中華職棒球員與球團效率管理
書刊名：體育學報
作者：林文斌 引用關係／葉劭緯／楊鎮浯
作者(外文)：Lin, Wen-bin／Yeh, Shao-wei／Yang, Cheng-wu
出版日期：2017
卷期：50:特刊
頁次：頁91-107
主題關鍵詞：黃衫球衣；原住民球員；二軍；效率與生產力；Yellow shirts；Aborigine players；Minor league；Efficiency and productivity
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:22
  • 點閱點閱:3
緒論：在數據科學逐漸受到各領域重視之際，如何透過將數據科學的概念結合應用到運動的訓練與發展上，亦開始受到研究人員的關注，而數據科學的大數據適用於棒球運動嗎？美國職棒大聯盟強調數據分析的「魔球」、破除「貝比魯斯魔咒」與「山羊魔咒」等已提供明顯例證。本研究從數據科學觀點、結合效率與生產力概念，探討中華職業棒球聯盟，黃衫球衣是否影響球賽勝負並創造最多球迷？原住民球員的表現是否超越其他非原住民球員？二軍球員能夠穩定在一軍出賽並貢獻戰力的人力為何？等三項迷思。方法：運用資料包絡分析法、Mann-Whitney U Test、邏輯斯迴歸、信賴區間等方法求取相關結果、並提出具體建議。結果：一、2014 年球季例行賽，黃衫球衣並未左右中華職棒勝負。二、2014年中職賽場，原住民球員表現並未較佳。三、2014 年球季，二軍球員確實值得重用。在95%信賴區間，調升一軍規律出賽、穩定貢獻球隊戰力的二軍打者共計19 人、堪用率19.19%。在95% 信賴區間，調升一軍規律出賽、穩定貢獻球隊戰力的投手共計14 人、堪用率16.67%。結論：經營者 (管理者) 勇於打破成規、「重新思考」球場規則，以數據科學的觀點，透過資料庫的資訊、落實數據與效率管理，或是積極尋找球場規則中「無效率」的空隙，達到破解迷思並提升管理效能之目標。
Introduction: Because of the innovations of information technology, the topics of data science had raised more and more important nowadays, more researchers had interest in how integrate the conception and approaches of data science in order to discover useful information for their domain. How and what kinds of innovated value and useful information that data science could provide for research and training program had also become an important topic of researchers included data mining, big data, machine learning. Was Big Data suitable for use in baseball? The statistical analysis of ＂Money-ball＂, ＂Curse of the Bambino＂, and ＂Curse of the Billy Goat＂ in Major League Baseball were apparent examples. Does a yellow shirt influence of winning games and to attract fans? Do aborigine players perform better than other players? How is the actual ratio of minor league players dedicated as rosters for CPBL regular season games? This study intended to explore three major myths of CPBL from the viewpoint of data science in sports and efficiency and productivity. Methods: Following the structure of data science, we used data envelopment analysis, Mann-Whitney U Test, logistic regression, and the confidence interval to figure out the results and suggestions. Results: 1. The yellow shirt didn't influence of winning games during 2014 season. 2. The aborigine players didn't show up better performance than other players during 2014 season. 3. In 95% confidence interval, there were totally 19 minor league fielders (19.19%) promoted and dedicated to CPBL regular season rotation. In 95% CI confidence interval, there were totally 14 minor league pitchers (16.67%) promoted and dedicated to 2014 CPBL regular season. Conclusion: Base on the conception of data sciences, according to the database information, concrete data, and efficiency management, the manager should reconsider traditional rules, and actively to find out inefficient gaps, in order to break down the myths and improve management efficiency.
期刊論文
1.Chen, W. C.、Johnson, A. L.(2010)。The dynamics of performance space of Major League Baseball pitchers 1871-2006。Annals of Operations Research，181(1)，287-302。  new window
2.Hakes, J. K.、Sauer, R. D.(2007)。The Moneyball anomaly and payroll efficiency: A further investigation。International Journal of Sport Finance，2(4)，177-189。  new window
3.施致平、黃蕙娟、倪瑛蓮(20100600)。中華職棒比賽勝負預測模式之建構。體育學報，43(2)，115-130。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.林文蘭(20130300)。打出機會：原住民成為棒球選手的社會流動和訓練體制。臺灣社會研究季刊，90，43-114。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Miceli, T.、Volz, B. D.(2012)。Debating immortality: Application of data envelopment analysis to voting for the baseball hall of fame。Managerial and Decision Economics，33，177-188。  new window
6.Baade, R. A.、Baumann, R. W.、Matheson, V. A.(2008)。Selling the game: Estimating the economic impact of professional sports through taxable sales。Southern Economic Journal，74(3)，794-810。  new window
7.Hadley, L.、Ruggiero, J.(2006)。Final-offer arbitration in major league baseball: A nonparametric analysis。Annals of Operations Research，145，201-209。  new window
8.Lewis, H. F.、Sexton, T. R.(2004)。Network DEA: Efficiency analysis of organizations with complex internal structure。Computers and Operations Research，31(9)，1365-1410。  new window
9.Anderson, T. R.、Sharp, G. P.(1997)。A new measure of baseball batters using DEA。Annals of Operations Research，73，141-155。  new window
10.Einolf, K. W.(2004)。Is winning everything? A data envelopment analysis of Major League Baseball and the National Football League。Journal of Sports Economics，5(2)，127-151。  new window
11.Howard, L. W.、Miller, J. L.(1993)。Fair pay for fair play: Estimating pay equity in professional baseball with data envelopment analysis。Academy of Management Journal，36(4)，882-894。  new window
12.Lewis, H. F.、Lock, K. A.、Sexton, T. R.(2009)。Organizational capability, efficiency, and effectiveness in Major League Baseball: 1901-2002。European Journal of Operational Research，197(2)，731-740。  new window
13.Lewis, H. F.、Sexton, T. R.(2004)。Data envelopment analysis with reverse inputs and outputs。Journal of Productivity Analysis，21(2)，113-132。  new window
14.Olson, D. L.(2001)。Comparison of three multicriteria methods to predict known outcomes。European Journal of Operational Research，130(3)，576-587。  new window
15.Sueyoshi, T.、Ohnishi, K.、Kinase, Y.(1999)。A benchmark approach for baseball evaluation。European Journal of Operational Research，115(3)，429-448。  new window
16.Lewis, H. F.、Mallikarjun, S.、Sexton, T. R.(2013)。Unoriented two-stage DEA: the case of the oscillating intermediate products。European Journal of Operational Research，229(2)，529-539。  new window
17.林文斌(2015)。共同邊界與技術落差比率在運動領域之應用。體育學報，48(4)，383-398。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Agha, N.(2013)。The economic impact of stadiums and teams: The case of minor league baseball。Journal of Sports Economics，14(3)，227-252。  new window
19.Attrill, M. J.、Gresty, K. A.、Hill, R. A.、Barton, R. A.(2008)。Red shirt colour is associated with long-term team success in English football。Journal of Sports Sciences，26，577-582。  new window
20.Baerg, A.(2017)。Big data, sport, and the digital divide: Theorizing how athletes might respond to big data monitoring。Journal of Sport and Social Issues，41(1)，3-20。  new window
21.Ballouli, K.、Grady, J.、Stewart, R.(2016)。The delicate art of rebranding a minor league baseball franchise: Practices, pitfalls, and payoffs of rebranding the Winston-Salem Warthogs。Sport Management Review，19，211-226。  new window
22.Cardinale, M.、Varley, M. C.(2017)。Wearable training-monitoring technology: Applications, challenges, and opportunities。International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance，12(s2)，(S2)55-(S2)62。  new window
23.Coates, D.、Humphreys, B. R.(2003)。The effect of professional sports on earnings and employment in the services and retail sectors in US cities。Regional Science and Urban Economics，33，175-198。  new window
24.Garcia-Rubio, M. A.、Picazo-Tadeo, A. J.(2011)。Does a red shirt improve sporting performance? Evidence from Spanish football。Applied Economics Letters，18，1001-1004。  new window
25.Hudson, I.(1999)。Bright lights, big city: Do professional sports teams increase employment?。Journal of Urban Affairs，21，397-408。  new window
26.Krautmann, A.、Oppenheimer, M.(2002)。Contract length and the return to performance in Major League Baseball。Journal of Sports Economics，3(1)，6-17。  new window
27.Lertwachara, K.、Cochran, J. J.(2007)。An event study of the economic impact of professional sport franchises on local US economies。Journal of Sports Economics，8(3)，244-254。  new window
28.Lin, W. B.、Chen, M. Y.(2015)。A study of efficiency monitoring systems for match-fixing players in the Chinese Professional Baseball League。European Sport Management Quarterly，15(3)，301-322。  new window
29.Lin, W. B.、Hsu, C. Y.、Chen, C. H.、Chen, M. Y.(2016)。Offensive or defensive? Application of DEA bootstrapping methodology on Chinese Professional Baseball League。International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport，16(3)，1032-1051。  new window
30.Miller, P. A.(2002)。The economic impact of sports stadium construction: The case of the construction industry in St. Louis, MO。Journal of Urban Affairs，24，159-173。  new window
31.Özlü, O.、Sokol, J.(2016)。An optimization approach to designing a baseball scout network。European Journal of Operational Research，255(3)，948-960。  new window
32.Piatti, M.、Savage, D. A.、Torgler, B.(2012)。The red mist? Red shirts, success and team sports。Sport in Society，15(9)，1209-1227。  new window
33.Sands, W. A.、Kavanaugh, A. A.、Murray, S. R.、McNeal, J. R.、Jemni, M.(2017)。Modern techniques and technologies applied to training and performance monitoring。International Journal of Sports Physiology and Performance，12(2)，(S2)63-(S2)72。  new window
34.Surdam, D.、Brown, K.、Gabriel, P. E.(2016)。Not so black and white: Race and promotion in Major League Baseball, 1951-1955。Journal of Sport and Social Issues，40(4)，315-328。  new window
35.Yeh, S. W.、Chen, M. J.、Chuang, C. T.、Lin, W. B.。Performance evaluation of teams in Chinese Professional Baseball League。International Journal of Asian Business and Information Management。  new window
36.Zipp, J. F.(1996)。The economic impact of the baseball strike of 1994。Urban Affairs Review，32，157-185。  new window
37.Sexton, T. R.、Lewis, H. F.(2003)。Two-stage DEA: an application to major league baseball。Journal of Productivity Analysis，19(2/3)，227-249。  new window
研究報告
1.中華職棒大聯盟(2016)。數據統計。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.王子文(2011)。職棒二軍新制度政策評估之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣師範大學，臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳信宏(2009)。臺灣職業棒球之「市場法則--球隊效率與存活」(碩士論文)。國立政治大學，臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Lewis, M.(2004)。Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game。New York, NY：W. W. Norton。  new window
2.Mayer-Schönberger, Viktor、Cukier, Kenneth(2013)。BIG DATA: A Revolution That Will Transform How We Live, Work, and Think。Houghton Mifflin Harcourt。  new window
3.謝邦昌、鄭宇庭(2016)。大數據概論。臺北市：新陸。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.中華職棒大聯盟(2016)。中華職棒觀眾人數分析，http://zxc22.idv.tw/。  延伸查詢new window
2.行政院(2010)。振興棒球運動總計畫，臺北市：行政院。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.陳冠州(2016)。雲端大數據。大數據戰略4.0。臺北市：前程文化。  延伸查詢new window
2.張少熙(2016)。運動大數據。大數據戰略4.0。臺北市：前程文化。  延伸查詢new window
3.Sutter, M.、Kocher, M. G.(2008)。Shirt colour and team performance in football。Myths and facts about football: The economics and psychology of the world's greatest sport。Cambridge：Cambridge Scholar Publishing。  new window
 
 
 
 
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