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題名：從「嚇阻理論」與「螺旋模式」檢視北韓第四次至第六次核試爆之間的美朝戰略互動
書刊名：問題與研究
作者：馬準威
作者(外文)：Ma, Chun-wei
出版日期：2018
卷期：57:4
頁次：頁27-64
主題關鍵詞：朝鮮半島核導彈危機；美朝關係；嚇阻理論；螺旋模式；錯誤認知；Peninsula crisis；U.S.-North Korea relations；Deterrence theory；Spiral model；Misperception
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 共同引用共同引用:4
  • 點閱點閱:2
期刊論文
1.Achen, Christopher H.、Snidal, Duncan(1989)。Rational Deterrence Theory and Comparative Case Studies。World Politics，41(2)，143-169。  new window
2.河凡植(20151000)。北韓的並進路線與對外戰略：持續與轉變。全球政治評論，52，117-142。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.盧業中(20150100)。當前朝鮮半島的安全困境--以2010年天安艦事件以來為例。遠景基金會季刊，16(1)，143-188。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.李大中(20080100)。小國調停：挪威與以、巴奧斯陸協商。兩岸與國際事務季刊，4(1)，59-103。  延伸查詢new window
5.李楠(2016)。『戰略忍耐』的得與失--奧巴馬政府對朝鮮政策評析。太平洋學報，2016(8)，53-63。  延伸查詢new window
6.馬斌(2016)。俄朝關係新進展及其驅動因素分析。中國與世界，2016(5)，150-162。  延伸查詢new window
7.張詠晴(2016)。模擬轟掉敵國總統府 朝鮮最後通牒？。天下雜誌。  延伸查詢new window
8.陳郁芬(20160700)。中國的北韓核武政策分析。東亞研究，47(2)，73-112。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.陳偉華(20100400)。「嚇阻」與「防衛」：概念的異同性。國防雜誌，25(2)，27-40。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.陳竫詒(2017)。聯合國又通過對北韓新制裁，到底有沒有效？。天下雜誌。  延伸查詢new window
11.楊希雨(2017)。朝鮮核問題與中國的對朝政策。現代國際關係，2017(1)，15-23。  延伸查詢new window
12.寧國輝、寧勝利(2016)。朝核問題：韓日安全合作的動力探。韓國研究論叢，32，19-31。  延伸查詢new window
13.鄭羽(2016)。當前國際熱點的快速轉換與中俄美三國政策互動。俄羅斯東歐中亞研究，2016(4)，17-27。  延伸查詢new window
14.(2017)。A Look at This Year's North Korean Nuclear and Missile Tests。TIME。  new window
15.Baiiga, Sandeep、Sjöström, Tomas(2004)。Arms Races and Negotiations。The Review of Economic Studies，71(2)，351-369。  new window
16.Bandow, Doug(2016)。Donald Trump Wants to Talk to Kim Jong-un. Is That Really So Bad?。The Diplomat。  new window
17.Cesca, Simone、Heimann, Sebastian、Kriegerowski, Marius、Saul, Joachim、Dahm, Torsten(2017)。Moment Tensor Inversion for Nuclear Explosions: What Can We Learn from the 6 January and 9 September 2016 Nuclear Tests, North Korea?。Seismological Research Letters，88(2)，300-310。  new window
18.Davis, Paul K.、Wilson, Peter、Kim, Jeongeun、Park, Junho(2016)。Deterrence and Stability for the Korean Peninsula。The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis，28(1)，1-23。  new window
19.Gady, Franz-Stefan(2016)。US Air Force Deploys Supersonic Strategic Bombers to Pacific。The Diplomat。  new window
20.Herz, John H.(1950)。Idealist Internationalism and Security Dilemma。World Politics，2(2)，157-180。  new window
21.Huth, Paul K.(1999)。Deterrence and International Conflict: Empirical Findings and Theoretical Debates。Annual Review of Political Science，2(1)，25-48。  new window
22.Jang, Suyoun、Suh, Jae-Jung(2017)。Development and security in international aid to North Korea: commonalities and differences among the European Union, the United States and South Korea。The Pacific Review，30(5)，729-749。  new window
23.Jervis, Robert(1978)。Cooperation under Security Dilemma。World Politics，30(2)，167-214。  new window
24.Jervis, Robert(1979)。Review Article Deterrence Theory Revised。World Politics，31(2)，289-324。  new window
25.Kilgour, D. Marc、Zagare, Frank C.(1991)。Credibility, Uncertainty, and Deterrence。American Journal of Political Science，35(2)，309-312。  new window
26.Kim, Dongsoo(2016)。The Obama Administration's Policy toward North Korea: the Causes and Consequences of Strategic Patience。Journal of Asian Public Policy，9，32-44。  new window
27.Kim, Tong-Hyung。South Korea's President Meets with Kim Jong Un's Sister as Olympics Get Underway。Time。  new window
28.Kwan, Toh Boon(2005)。Brinkmanship and Deterrence Success during the Anglo-Indonesian Sunda Straits Crisis, 1964-1966。Journal of Southeast Asian Studies，36(3)，399-417。  new window
29.Lankov, Andrei(2012)。Kim Jong-un's North Korea: What Should We Expect?。International Journal of Korean Unification Studies，21(1)，1-19。  new window
30.Lebow, Richafd Ned、Stein, Janice Gross(1989)。Rational Deterrence Theory: I Think, Therefore I Deter。World Politics，41(2)，208-224。  new window
31.Majeski, Stephen J.(1985)。Expectations and Arms Races。American Journal of Political Science，29(2)，217-245。  new window
32.Majumdar, Dave(2017)。A North Korean Nuclear Weapons Test in the Pacific Ocean: An Act of War?。The National Interest。  new window
33.Panda, Ankit(2016)。North Korean Missile Launch Attempt Fails。The Diplomat。  new window
34.Panda, Ankit(2017)。North Korean Representatives May Meet Former US Officials in New York City。The Diplomat。  new window
35.Park, Seong-Yong(2016)。North Korea's Military Policy under the Kim Jong-un Regime。Journal of Asian Public Policy，9，57-74。  new window
36.Perry, William J.(2017)。President Trump, There Is a Deal To Be Made with North Korea。New Perspectives Quarterly，34(2)，6-8。  new window
37.Power, John(2017)。US 'Fully Prepared' to Shoot Down North Korea's Test Missiles。The Diplomat。  new window
38.Snyder, Scott A.(2016)。Where China and the United States Disagree on North Korea。  new window
39.Telson, Robert(1980)。A Theory of Self-Enforcing Agreement。Journal of Business，53(1)，27-44。  new window
40.Thompson, Mark(2016)。Is It Time to Attack North Korea?。TIME。  new window
41.Trevithick, Joseph(2016)。B-1, B-2 and B-52 Bombers All Descend on Guam in a Massive Show of Force。The National Interest。  new window
42.Millar, Murray G.、Tesser, Abraham(1989)。The Effects of Affective-Cognitive Consistency and Thought on the Attitude-Behavior relation。Journal of Experimental Social Psychology，25(2)，189-202。  new window
43.Park, Hongseo、Park, Jae Jeok(2017)。How Not To Be Abandoned by China: North Korea's Nuclear Brinkmanship Revisited。The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis，29(3)，371-387。  new window
研究報告
1.Mariani, Lorenzo(2017)。Assessing North Korea's Nuclear and Missile Programs: Implications for Seoul and Washington。  new window
圖書
1.Dixit, Avinash K.、Skeath, Susan、藍兆杰、徐偉傑、陳怡君(2002)。策略的賽局。臺北市：弘智文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.Kissinger, Henry Alfred、國際關係研究所編譯室(1972)。選擇的必要：美國外交政策的前景。北京：商務印書。  延伸查詢new window
3.Bechtol, Bruce E. Jr.(2014)。North Korea and Regional Security in the Kim Jong-un Era: A New International Security Delimma。Basingstoke：Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
4.Giddis, John Lewis(1982)。Strategies of Containment: A Critical Appraisal of Postwar American National Security Policy。New York：Oxford University Press。  new window
5.Holsti, K. J.(1995)。International Politics: A Framework for Analysis。Englewood Cliffs, NJ：Prentice Hall。  new window
6.Hopmann, P. Terrence(1998)。The Negotiation Process and the Resolution of International Conflict。Columbia, South Carolina：University of South Carolina Press。  new window
7.Luce, R. Duncan、Raiffa, Howard(1957)。Games and Decisions。New York：Wiley。  new window
8.Oye, Kenneth A.(1986)。Cooperation under Anarchy。Princeton, NJ：Princeton University Press。  new window
9.Schelling, Thomas(1966)。The Strategy of Conflict。Combridge：Harvard University Press。  new window
10.Walt, Stephen(1987)。The Origins of Alliance。Ithace：Cornell University Press。  new window
11.Jervis, Robert(1976)。Perception and Misperception in International Politics。Princeton University Press。  new window
12.Allison, Graham T. Jr.(1971)。Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis。Little, Brown and Company。  new window
13.George, Alexander L.、Smoke, Richard(1974)。Deterrence in American Foreign Policy: Theory and Practice。Columbia University Press。  new window
14.Snyder, Glenn Herald、Diesing, Paul(1977)。Conflict among Nations: Bargaining, Decision Making, and System Structure in International Crises。Princeton, New Jersey：Princeton University Press。  new window
其他
1.(20160517)。美日韓將首次舉行聯合反導演習，https://cn.nytimes.com/asiapacific/20160517/c17korea/zh-hant。  延伸查詢new window
2.(20170922)。美國加強制裁北韓 金融業者恐衝擊最大，http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/201709220074-1.aspx。  延伸查詢new window
3.(20160616)。朝鮮指責美日韓夏威夷預警演習『挑釁』，http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/simp/world/2016/06/160629_nkorea_us_japan_korea_drill。  延伸查詢new window
4.Choe, Sang-Hun(20170420)。航母駛向朝鮮竟是假新聞，韓國人感到受騙了，https://cn.nytimes.com/asia-pacific/20170420/aircraft-carrier-south-korea/zh-hant/。  延伸查詢new window
5.江靜玲(20170907)。川普：對北韓動武不是『第一選擇』，http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20170907000836-260408。  延伸查詢new window
6.林庭瑤(20160930)。美韓部署薩德系統 中共敦促立即停止，https://video.udn.com/news/569333。  延伸查詢new window
7.林翠儀(20161011)。牽制北韓核威脅 美韓演練『斬首金正恩』，http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/1040702。  延伸查詢new window
8.林賢參(2017)。聯合國對北韓核試制裁及『中』朝情勢觀察，http://www.mac.gov.tw/public/Attachment/72613511062.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
9.茅毅(20160509)。金正恩：主權遭侵犯 才會用核武。  延伸查詢new window
10.張玉琴(20171001)。提勒森罕見坦承與平壤接觸『有直接溝通管道』，https://udn.com/news/story/11267/2733614。  延伸查詢new window
11.陳建瑜(20161202)。制裁北韓核爆 安理會一致通過，http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20161202000807-260309。  延伸查詢new window
12.陳韋廷(20170923)。第7次核試？北韓4點半發生3.4地震 原因待查，https://udn.com/news/story/6809/2718815。  延伸查詢new window
13.陳韋廷，季晶晶(20171016)。美韓軍演 北韓恐再射飛彈，https://udn.com/news/story/11267/2760896。  延伸查詢new window
14.陳慶餘(20160428)。金正日前御廚爆料：金正恩根本不想跟美國開戰，http://hottopic.chinatimes.com/20160428004223-260813。  延伸查詢new window
15.蔡子岳(20160913)。北韓洪災 10萬人無家可歸。  延伸查詢new window
16.蔡佩芳(20161203)。抗議核試 美日韓同步制裁北韓，https://udn.com/news/story/6809/2145273。  延伸查詢new window
17.魏國金(20170430)。威嚇北韓 卡爾文森號抵朝鮮外海，http://news.ltn.com.tw/index.php/news/focus/paper/1098409。  延伸查詢new window
18.(2017)。Kim Jong Un Vows North Korea's Nukes Are Not on Negotiation Table，http://www.politico.com/story/2017/07/05/kim-jong-un-vows-north-koreas-nukes-are-noton-negotiation-table-240219。  new window
19.(20160803)。North Korea Fires Ballistic Missile into Japanese Waters，http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-36961395。  new window
20.(20160719)。North Korea 'Fires Three Ballistic Missiles into Sea'，http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-36831308。  new window
21.(20160531)。North Korea Missile Test Launch off East Coast 'Fails'，http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-36414914。  new window
22.(20131029)。North Korea Nuclear Timeline Fast Facts，https://edition.cnn.com/2013/10/29/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-timeline---fast-facts/index.html。  new window
23.(2016)。Security Council Strengthens Sanctions on Democratic Republic of Korea, Unanimously Adopting Resolution 2321，https://www.un.org/press/en/2016/sc12603.doc.htm。  new window
24.(20161201)。U.N. Security Council Imposes New Sanctions on North Korea，http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2016/12/01/asia-paciflc/u-n-security-council-imposesnew-sanctions-north-korea/#.WYByFDGQzg8。  new window
25.(20160330)。US Offers to Brief China on over Deployment of THAAD Missile System in South Korea，http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/1931667/us-ofFers-brief-china-over-deployment-thaad-missile。  new window
26.(20171020)。Washington Post-ABC News Poll，https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/polling/americans-trust-us-military-leaders-president/2017/10/20/e0bb54ee-a0dclle7-b2a7-bc70b6f98089_allComments.html。  new window
27.(20160317)。Will China Enforce Sanctions on North Korea?，http://www.newsweek.com/china-north-korea-sanctions-united-states-shipping-trading-united-nations-kim-438223。  new window
28.(20170119)。Will North Korea Test-Launch New Ballistic Missile to Coincide with Donald Trump's Presidential Inauguration?，http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/01/19/will-north-koreatest-launch-icbm-coincide-donald-trumps-presidential/。  new window
29.Baik, Sung-Won(2017)。US Humanitarian Aid Goes to North Korea Despite Nuclear Tensions，https://www.voanews.com/a/united-states-humanitarian-aid-goes-to-north-korea/3692811.html。  new window
30.Beauchamp, Zack(2017)。Lindsey Graham: Trump 'Told Me' He Will Bomb North Korea if It Keeps Testing Missiles，https://www.vox.com/world/2017/8/1/16075198/trumplindsey-graham-north-korea-war。  new window
31.Berlinger, Joshua(20170628)。North Korea Casts Shadow as Trump and Moon Meet for First Time，http://edition.cnn.com/2017/06/28/asia/south-korea-moon-jae-in-donald-trumpmeeting/ index.html。  new window
32.Berlinger, Joshua(20170529)。Korea's Missile Tests by the Numbers，http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/29/asia/north-korea-missile-tests/index.html。  new window
33.Bohn, Kevin(20170416)。McMaster: North Korea 'Coming to a Head'，http://edition.cnn.com/2017/04/16/politics/hr-mcmaster-north-korea/index.html。  new window
34.Broad, William J.，Davis, Kenan，Patel, Jugal K.(20170412)。North Korea May Be Preparing Its 6th Nuclear Test，https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/04/12/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear-test.html。  new window
35.Bronk, Justin(20170903)。North Korea: What Are the Military Options?，www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-41095772。  new window
36.Cambria, Robert(20170711)。Six-Party Talks Doomed to End in Stalemate，https://www.ft.com/content/d913f2d8-633c-11e7-8814-0ac7eb84e5f1。  new window
37.Cha, Victor(20170417)。What's at Stake in North Korea?，http://www.wjbdradio.com/world-news/2017/04/17/whats-at-stake-in-north-korea。  new window
38.Cheng, Jonathan(20170814)。North Korea Backs Off Guam Missile-Attack Threat，https://www.wsj.com/articles/north-korea-backs-off-guam-missile-attack-threat-1502751054。  new window
39.Ghoe, Sang-Hun(20180411)。U.S. and North Korea in 'Detailed' Talks on Trump-Kim Meeting, South Says，https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/11/world/asia/north-korea-trump-kim-jong-un.html。  new window
40.Choe, Sang-Hun，Sanger, David(20170828)。North Korea Fires Missile over Japan，https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/28/world/asia/north-korea_missile.html。  new window
41.Cook, Lonzo，Hanna, Jason(20160622)。North Korea Claims Missile Test Success，http://edition.cnn.com/2016/06/22/asia/north-korea-missile/index.html。  new window
42.Cristol, Jonathan(20170613)。Why Kim Agreed to Release Otto Warmbier，http://edition.cnn.com/2017/06/13/opinions/north-korea-student-release-opinion-cristol/index.html。  new window
43.Diamond, Jeremy，Mckirdy, Euan(20180308)。Trump Accepts Offer to Meet Kim Jong Un，https://editionxnn.com/2018/03/08/politics/donald-trump-kim-jong-un/index.html。  new window
44.Foster, Alice(2017)。USA v North Korea? Will the US Attack North Korea?，https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/790229/USA-v-North-Korea-will-US-attack-Pyongyang-missiletests-nuclearrthreat。  new window
45.Griffiths, James(20171129)。North Korea's New Hwasong-15 Missile: What the Photos Show，https://edition.cnn.com/2017/11/29/asia/north-korea-hwasong-15-missile/index.html。  new window
46.Hunt, Katie，Kwon, K. J.，Hanna, Jason(20160908)。North Korea Claims Successful Test of Nuclear Warhead，http://edition.cnn.com/2016/09/08/asia/north-korea-seisrnic-activity/index.html。  new window
47.Johnson, Jesse(20161010)。U.S.-South Korean Joint Naval Drills Kick off; Nuclear-Powered USS Ronald Reagan Set to Take Part，http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2016/10/10/asia-pacific/u-s-south-korean-joint-naval-driIls-kick-off-nuclear-powereduss-ronald-reagan-set-take-part/#.WYBpvTGQzg8。  new window
48.Kwon, K. J.，Starr, Barbara，Sciutto, Jim(20160317)。North Korea Launches Ballistic Missiles，http://edition.cnn.com/2016/03/17/asia/north-korea-missiIe-launch/index.html。  new window
49.Landay, Jonathan，Brunnstrom, David，Spetalnick, Matt(20160608)。Exclusive: North Korea Restarts Plutonium Production for Nuclear Bombs-U.S. Official，https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-usa-exclusive-idUSKCN0YT2I1。  new window
50.Lankov, Andrei(2016)。Will there be a Korean War under Trump's Presidency?，http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2016/11 /korean-war-trump-presidency-161126124759694.html。  new window
51.Lee, Carol E.，Gale, Alastair(20170301)。White House Reportedly Exploring Military Options against North Korea，http://www.marketwatch.com/story/white-house-reportedly-exploring-militaiy-options-against-north-korea-2017-03-01。  new window
52.Lee, Je-hun(20170125)。US Provides First Humanitarian Aid to North Korea in Five Years，http://english.haiiixo.kr/arti/english_edition/e_national/780225.html。  new window
53.Ma, Alexandra(2017)。A War between the US and North Korea is 'Now a Real Possibility', an Influential British Think Tank Warns，http://www.businessinsider.com/north-korea-war-with-us-real-possibility-rusi-wams-2017-9。  new window
54.McKirdy, Euan(20160321)。North Korea Fires Short-Range Projectiles, South Korea Says，http://edition.cnn.com/2016/03/21/asia/north-korea-missiles-flred/index.html。  new window
55.McKirdy, Euan，Kwon, K. J.(20161212)。South Korea slams North Korea's Military Drills as 'Childish Act'，http://edition.cnn.com/2016/12/12/asia/north-korea-militarydrills/index.html。  new window
56.Morello, Carol(20160316)。U.S. Tightens Sanctions on North Korea for Weapons Tests，https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-tightens-sanctionson-north-korea-for-weapons-tests/2016/03/16/c8c74ad8-ebb5-11 e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html?utm_term=.a34c771a96ad。  new window
57.Osnos, Evan(20170918)。The Risk of Nuclear War with North Korea，https://www. newyorker.com/magazine/2017/09/18/the-risk-of-nuclear-war-with-north-korea。  new window
58.Perlroth, Nicole，Corkerymay, Michael(20160527)。North Korea Linked to Digital Attacks on Global Banks，https://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/27/business/dealbook/north-korea-linked-to-digital-thefts-from-globaI-banks.html。  new window
59.Roth, Richard Holly Yan，Ellis, Ralph(20160302)。U.N. Security Council Approves Tough Sanctions on North Korea，http://edition.cnn.com/2016/03/02/world/un-north-korea-sanctions-vote/index.html。  new window
60.Rothwell, James(20160321)。Is Kim Jong-un on the Brink of Declaring War on the US and South Korea?，https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/northkorea/12200070/Is-Kim-Jong-un-on-the-brink-of-declaring-war-on-the-US-and-South-Korea.html。  new window
61.Roy, Denny(2016)。North Korea vexes US Presidential Candidates，https://csis-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/legacy_files/files/publication/160111_PacNet_1604.pdf。  new window
62.Sanger, David E.，Broad, William J. Broad(20170922)。Prospect of Atmospheric Nuclear Test by North Korea Raises Specter of Danger，https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/22/world/asia/north-korea-atmospheric-nuclear-test-risks.html。  new window
63.Sengupta, Somini，Choe, Sang-Hun(20160303)。U.N. Security Council Adopts Toughest North Korea Sanctions Yet，https://cn.nytimes.com/asia-pacific/20160303/c03nkorea/en-us/。  new window
64.Sharman, Jon(20170914)。North Korea Observed Moving Mobile Missile Launchers and Preparing Sites 'over Last 48 Hours'，www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/north-korea-move-missile-launcher-mobile-test-nuclear-latest-a7945851.html。  new window
65.Sisk, Richard(20170630)。Trump Weighs Military Options against North Korea，http://www.military.com/daily-news/2017/06/30/trump-weighs-military-options-against-north-korea.html。  new window
66.Smith, Reiss(2017)。North Korea and USA: News Updates as Trump and Kim Jong-un Stand on Brink of Nuclear War，http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/800164/north-korea-usa-news-updates-latest-live-donald-trump-kim-jong-un-nuclear-world-war。  new window
67.Talmadge, Eric(2016)。North Korea: US Sanctions on Kim Jong Un 'Cross Red Line', Amount to Declaration of War，https://scholar.google.com.tw/scholar?hl=zh-TW&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=NORTH+KOREA+flght+with+us&btnG=。  new window
68.Westcott, Ben(20170706)。North Korea: Is the US Being Forced Back to the Negotiating Table?，http://edition.cnn.com/2017/07/06/politics/north-korea-china-us/index.html。  new window
圖書論文
1.廖小娟(2017)。北韓的戰略規畫與未來可能作為。北韓第六次核試爆後的朝鮮半島情勢觀察。臺北：亞太和平研究基金會。  延伸查詢new window
2.Bercovitch, Jacob(1992)。The Structure and Diversity of Mediation in International Relations。International Relations: Multiple Approaches to Conflict Management。Boulder, CO：Lynne Rienner Publishers。  new window
3.Jervis, Robert(1986)。From Balance to Concert: A Study of International Security Cooperation。Cooperation under Anarchy。Princeton, NJ：Princeton University Press。  new window
4.Lebow, Richard Ned(1989)。Deterrence: A Political and Psychological Critique。Perspectives in Deterrence。New York：Oxford University Press。  new window
5.Morgan, Patrick(2017)。North Korea and Nuclear Weapons: Nonproliferation or Deterrence? Or Both?。North Korea and Nuclear Weapons: Entering the New Era of Deterrence。Washington, D.C.：Georgetown University Press。  new window
6.O'neill, Barry(1994)。Game Theory Models of Peace and War。Handbook of Game Theory。Amsterdam：North Holland。  new window
 
 
 
 
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