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題名:On Adopting Elo Rating and Forecasting Game Outcomes in UBA
書刊名:大專體育學刊
作者:黃華昕葉公鼎
作者(外文):Huang, Hwa-shinYeh, Kong-ting
出版日期:2022
卷期:24:2
頁次:頁187-203
主題關鍵詞:Colley積分Massey積分Bradley-Terry模型50/50隨機猜測勝率指標Colley ratingMassey ratingBradley-Terry modelRandom guess with a constant probability .5Winning percentage indicator
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:27
  • 點閱點閱:2
期刊論文
1.Hughes, M. D.、Bartlett, R. M.(2002)。The use of performance indicators in performance analysis。Journal of Sports Sciences,20(10),739-754。  new window
2.李清棋、劉幼華、林清香、馬樹秀(20100600)。97學年度大專籃球聯賽男子公開組第一級前四名球隊攻守紀錄技術表現之比較分析。文化體育學刊,10,19-26。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.黃義翔、譚醒鴻、蘇裕勝(20130300)。籃球攻守紀錄的特殊性與重要性。大專體育,124,31-38。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Bradley, R. A.、Terry, M. E.(1952)。Rank analysis of incomplete block designs: I. The method of paired comparisons。Biometrika,39(3/4),324-345。  new window
5.García, Javier、Ibáñez, J. Sergio、Gómez, A. Miguel、Sampaio, Jaime(2014)。Basketball game-related statistics discriminating ACB league teams according to game location, game outcome and final score differences。International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport,14(2),443-452。  new window
6.Salaga, S.、Tainsky, S.(2015)。The effects of outcome uncertainty, scoring, and pregame expectations on Nielsen ratings for Bowl Championship Series games。Journal of Sports Economics,16(5),439-459。  new window
7.Csataljay, G.、O'Donoghue, P.、Hughes, M.、Dancs, H.(2009)。Performance indicators that distinguish winning and losing teams in basketball。International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport,9(1),60-66。  new window
8.蔣憶德(20050600)。2003年大邱世界大學運動會籃球賽攻守技術分析之研究。體育學報,38(2),137-150。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Kubatko, Justin、Oliver, Dean、Pelton, Kevin、Rosenbaum, Dan T.(2007)。A Starting Point for Analyzing Basketball Statistics。Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports,3(3)。  new window
10.蕭浩宸、王金蓮(20170100)。大專籃球勝負因素解析--以104學年度UBA公開男一級冠軍賽為例。輔仁大學體育學刊,16,37-48。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Shmueli, Galit(2010)。To Explain or to Predict?。Statistical Science,25(3),289-310。  new window
12.Cohen, Jacob(1992)。A power primer。Psychological Bulletin,112(1),155-159。  new window
13.Wunderlich, F.、Memmert, D.(2021)。Forecasting the outcomes of sports events: A review。European Journal of Sport Science,21(7),944-957。  new window
14.Cattelan, M.、Varin, C.、Firth, D.(2013)。Dynamic Bradley: Terry modelling of sports tournaments。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C,62(1),135-150。  new window
15.Drust, Barry(2010)。Performance analysis research: Meeting the challenge。Journal of Sports Sciences,28(9),921-922。  new window
16.Finch, Holmes(2010)。Identification of variables associated with group separation in descriptive discriminant analysis: Comparison of methods for interpreting structure coefficients。The Journal of Experimental Education,78(1),26-52。  new window
17.Hvattum, L. M.、Arntzen, H.(2010)。Using ELO ratings for match result prediction in association football。International Journal of Forecasting,26(3),460-470。  new window
18.Kovalchik, Stephanie Ann(2016)。Searching for the GOAT of tennis win prediction。Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports,12(3),127-138。  new window
19.Lasek, Jan、Szlávik, Zoltán、Bhulai, Sandjai(2013)。The predictive power of ranking systems in association football。International Journal of Applied Pattern Recognition,1(1),27-46。  new window
20.賴俊明、黃長福、李靜雯、黃朝和(2008)。第二十八屆威廉瓊斯盃國際籃球邀請賽男子組攻守技術分析。大專體育學術專刊,2008,536-539。  延伸查詢new window
21.McHale, I.、Morton, A.(2011)。A Bradley-Terry type model for forecasting tennis match results。International Journal of Forecasting,27(2),619-630。  new window
22.Paul, R. J.、Weinbach, A. P.(2007)。The uncertainty of outcome and scoring effects on Nielsen ratings for Monday Night Football。Journal of Economics and Business,59(3),199-211。  new window
23.Stefani, Ray(2011)。The methodology of officially recognized international sports rating systems。Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports,7(4)。  new window
24.Stern, Hal(1991)。On the probability of winning a football game。The American Statistician,45(3),179-183。  new window
25.Vaziri, B.、Dabadghao, S.、Yih, Y.、Morin, T. L.(2018)。Properties of sports ranking methods。Journal of the Operational Research Society,69(5),776-787。  new window
26.Zimmermann, Albrecht(2016)。Basketball predictions in the NCAAB and NBA: Similarities and differences。Statistical Analysis and Data Mining: The ASA Data Science Journal,9(5),350-364。  new window
學位論文
1.Massey, Kenneth(1997)。Statistical models applied to the rating of sports teams(碩士論文)。Bluefield College。  new window
圖書
1.Agresti, Alan(2007)。An Introduction to Categorical Data Analysis。John Wiley & Sons, Inc.。  new window
2.R Core Team(2020)。R: A language and environment for statistical computing。R Foundation for Statistical Computing。  new window
3.Tabachnick, Barbara G.、Fidell, Linda S.(2013)。Using multivariate statistics。Pearson Education。  new window
4.Elo, Arpad E.(1978)。The rating of chess players, past and present。Arco Pub.。  new window
5.Langville, Amy N.、Meyer, Carl D.(2012)。Who's #1?: The science of rating and ranking。Princeton University Press。  new window
其他
1.Colley, Wesley N.(2002)。Colley's bias free college football ranking method: The Colley matrix explained,https://www.colleyrankings.com/matrate.pdf。  new window
2.International Federation of Association Football(2018)。Revision of the FIFA/Coca-Cola world ranking,https://digitalhub.fifa.com/m/f99da4f73212220/original/edbm045h0udbwkqew35a-pdf.pdf。  new window
3.National Collegiate Athletic Association(2018)。2018 NCAA tournament viewership, attendance numbers,https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-men/article/2018-04-13/2018-ncaa-tournament-and-final-four-viewership-attendance。  new window
 
 
 
 
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