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題名:土地使用與運輸行為模式之修正與實證研究
書刊名:交大管理學報
作者:黃臺生
出版日期:1990
卷期:10:1
頁次:頁173-194
主題關鍵詞:土地使用行為修正運輸實證模式
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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探討都市運輸與土地使用之互動關係之研究,主要可分為兩大類別:一為以重力理論為基礎的空間互動模式,另一則為以個體選擇理論為基礎的行為模式。空間互動模式推求人口與產業之分佈是以分派的方法進行,而行為模式則是藉由效用函數來決定分佈之機率,兩者相較,行為模式較能反應居民或產業選擇所考慮之因素,較空間互動模式之分派程序較具說明力。然而,行為模式之發展,目前僅及於居民對住宅區位和通勤運具之選擇,沒有包含產業對區位之選擇,以致說明性並不完整。 本研究即針對於此,在行為模式中加入產業對區位選擇之考慮。因資料取得之關係,產業只分為二級產業與三級產業;二級產業與三級產業之分佈的均影響人口之分佈,而三級產業對樓地板面積之需求將與住宅對樓地板面積之需求形成競爭。模式修正完成後,本研究以臺北都會區北淡線捷運系統引進對土地使用之影響作一實證分析,結果顯示,修正模式確能改正原行為模式說明性不完整之缺點。
The studies on the interaction of land use/transport can be divided into two groups: one is the spatial interaction model which is based on gravitation theory; the other is the behavioral model which uses the choice theory. The process of estimating the distribution of population and industries in spatial interaction model is allocation, whereas, that of behavioral model is using the utility functions to determine their distribution probability. Comparing these two, owing to the behavioral model includes the choice considerations of residents and industries, it has a higher explainability. However, the behavioral model has been developed up now only reflecting the choice of residents, the industrial part has not been included. So its explaination is not complete yet. Focusing on this point, this study enriches the behavioral model by adding the industrial part. Constrained by data collected, industries include secondary industry and tertiary industry only. Both the distributions of secondary industry and tertiary industry influence population distribution, evenmore, the floorspace demand of tertiary industry competes with that of residents. After the model modification, we conducted an empirical study to explore the impact of the construction of mass rapid transit on land use along the Taipei-Tamsui line in Taipei. As result shows, the modified model indeed has the ability to correct the original model’s drawback of incomplete explaination.
期刊論文
1.McFadden, D.(1978)。Modelling the Choice of Residential Location。Transportation Research Record,672,72-76。  new window
2.Quigley, J. M.(1976)。Housing Demand in the Short Run: An Analysis of Polytomous Choice。Explorations in Economic Research,3(1),76-103。  new window
3.Putman, S. H.(1976)。Further results from the integrated transportation and land use model package (ITLUP)。Transportation Planning and Technology,3,165-177。  new window
4.Putman, S. H.(1974)。Urban Land Use and Transportation Models: A State-of-the-art Summary。Transportation Research,9,187-202。  new window
5.Anas, A.(1980)。Evaluating the Effects of Transportation-land-use Policies on Housing Values and Household Welfare。Environment and Planning A,747-764。  new window
6.Anas, A.(1979)。The Impact of Transit on housing value: A Simulation Experiment。Environment and Planning A,239-256。  new window
7.何東波、顏山涼(19880300)。都市住宅區位與通勤路徑機率選擇整合模式之實證研究。運輸計劃,17(1),89-107。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.段良雄(19830900)。運輸改善對房地價影響之研究。運輸計劃,12(3),383-394。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Anas, A.(1981)。The Estimation of Multinomial Logit Models of Joint Location and Travel Mode Choice from Aggregated Data。Journal of Regional Science,21(2),223-242。  new window
10.馮正民、楊靜音(19890900)。臺北都會區大眾捷運系統紅線對沿線地區發展之影響研究。運輸計劃,18(3),349-367。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Garin, Robert A.(1966)。A Matrix Formulation of the Lowry Model for Intra-Metropolitan Activity Location。Journal of the American Institute of Planners,32(6),361-364。  new window
12.段良雄(19840900)。巢式多項羅機 (NMNL) 運具選擇模式。運輸計劃,13(3),285-308。new window  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.楊靜音(1988)。捷運系統北淡線沿線附近地區都市發展之研究(碩士論文)。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.呂明毅(1985)。都市土地使用分派及交通量分派整合模式均衡點的探討(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.張大中(1986)。單核心都市住宅分派模式之建立--以台北都會區為例(碩士論文)。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Crecine, J. P.(1968)。A Dynamic Model of Urban Structure。Santa Monica:RAND Corporation。  new window
2.Putman, S. H.(1973)。The Interrelationships of Transportation Development and Land Development。Philadelphia, Penn.:Institute for Environmental Studies, Dept, of City and Regional Planning, Univ. of Penn。  new window
3.Goldner, W.(1968)。Projective Land Use Model (PLUM)。Berkeley, CA:Bay Area Transportation Study Commission。  new window
4.Crecine, J. P.(1964)。TOMM: Time-Oriented Metropolitan Model。  new window
5.Putman, S. H.(1978)。Urban Residential Location Models。Leiden:Martinus-Nijhoff。  new window
6.Anas, A.、Chu, C.(1982)。A Computer Program For Estimating Nested Logit Models From Relative Frequency Data-User's Manual。Northwestern University。  new window
7.國立交通大學交通運輸研究所(1988)。淡水線沿線及車站地區之都市計劃檢討與土地開發計畫規劃。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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