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題名:造成高失業率的原因及其對策﹣﹣均衡搜尋模型
書刊名:經濟論文叢刊
作者:陳明郎 引用關係
出版日期:1992
卷期:20:3
頁次:頁241-266
主題關鍵詞:失業率
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(2) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:71
     本文想探討造成高失業率現象的原因。一些曾得出高失業率結論的文 獻,如Diamond(1982a),Howitt & McAfee(1987)及Diamond & Fudenberg(1989),有的 模型的高失業均衡點有穩定性的問題,有些模型則對個人的尋找意願作限制。本 文試圖重新建立一個均衡尋找模型以解釋高失業率的形成原因,且使此模型得以 免除不穩定的缺點。我們建立了一個較文獻上一般化的尋找方式(searching technology),不對個人的尋找意願作限制,因此個人可以決定其最適的尋找程度。 由個人的最適行為,我們可以發現,其最適的尋找程度不但取決於參與條件 (participation condition),更取決於誘因配合條件 (incentive compatibility condition)。 在模型均衡時,我們得到一個穩定的高失業率均衡。這裡的穩定性是指,當經濟 在起始時的就業水準低於某一門檻值時,經濟體系會慢慢的趨向於此高失業均 衡。造成此一高失業率均衡的直覺理由是,失業的工人及有空缺的廠商雙方都沒 有足夠的動機努力尋找工作機會或招工募工人。我們也探討了一些政策含義。其 中一個重要的政策含義乃是,為了減少失業問題,政策應該以能激勵失業工人努 力尋找工作及企業家積極物色工人的動機為方向。
     This paper studies why high unemployment results and the policies. In thesearch equilibrium literature on the issue of high unemployment [e.g.,Diamond (1982a) , Howitt & McAfee (1987) , and Diamond & Fudenberg(1989) ] , some models have stability problems, and some impose restric-tions on individvals' search intensity. This paper develops a search equilibrium model to generate large and persistent unemployment without stability problems. This model has a more general searching technology thanwhat the existing works do so that individuals will decide their optimalsearching intensity. We find from individuals' optimal behavior that optimal searching intensity is based not only on the participation condition but also on the incentive compatibility condition. We get a stable high andpersistent unemployment equilibrium in the sense that the economy will converge to this equilibrium if the initial employment rate is below a shreshold. The reasons resulting in this equilibrium is as follows. Both sides of unemployed workers and vacant firms do not make sufficient searchingand recruiting effort respectively. We also investigate some policy implications. One of the important policy implications is that policies should bedirected to stimulate the unemployed workers' incentives to search jobsand the vacant firms' motives to recruite workers.
期刊論文
1.Diamond, Peter A.(1982)。Wage determination and efficiency in search equilibrium。The Review of Economic Studies,49(2),217-227。  new window
2.Diamond, Peter A.(1982)。Aggregate Demand Management in Search Equilibrium。Journal of Political Economy,90(5),881-894。  new window
3.Rubinstein, Ariel(1982)。Perfect equilibrium in a bargaining model。Econometrica,50(1),97-109。  new window
4.Mortsen, Dale T.(1989)。The Persistence and Indeterminacy of Unemployment in Search Equilibrium。Scandinavian Journal of Economics,91,123-143。  new window
5.陳明郎(19920300)。教育、工業化、及大躍進﹣﹣一個均衡尋找模型。經濟論文,20(1),1-26。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Blanchard, J. Olivier、Diamond, Peter(1988)。The Beveridge curve。Brookings Paper on Economic Activity,1,1-60。  new window
7.Binmore, Ken G.、Herrero, M. J.(1988)。Security equilibrium。Review of Economic Studies,55,33-48。  new window
8.Fischer, Stanely(1977)。Long-term contracts, rational expectations, and the optimal money supply rule。Journal of Political Economy,85(1),191-205。  new window
9.Diamond, Peter A.、MaAskin, Eric(1979)。An equilibrium analysis of search and breach of contract, I: steady state。Bell Journal of Economics,10,282-316。  new window
10.Diamond, Peter A.、Fudenberg, Drew(1989)。Rational expectations business cycles insearch equilibrium。Journal of Political Economy,97,606-619。  new window
11.Howitt, Peter、McAfee, Preston(1986)。Costly search and recruiting。International Economics Review,28(1),88-107。  new window
12.Hosios, Arthur J.(1990)。On the efficiency of matching and related models of search and unemployment。Review of Economic Studies,57(2),279-298。  new window
13.Lindbeck, Assar、Snower, Dennis J.(1986)。Wage setting, unemployment, andinsider-outsider relations。American Economics Review, Papers and Proceedings,71,235-239。  new window
14.McCall, John J.(1965)。The economics of information and optimal stopping rules。Journal of Business,84,300-317。  new window
15.McCall, John J.(1970)。Economic of infogmation and job search。Quarterly Journal of Economics,84,13-126。  new window
16.Mortensen, Dale T.(1982)。Property rights and efficiency in matching, racing and related game。American Economic Review,72,968-979。  new window
17.Nash, John F.(1950)。The bargaining problem。Econometrica,18,155-162。  new window
18.Phelps, Edmund S.、Taylor, John B.(1977)。Stabilizing powers of monetary policy under rationa expectations。Journal of Political Economy,85,163-190。  new window
19.Pissarides, Christopher A.(1984)。Search intensity, job sdvertising, and efficiency。Journal of Labor Economics,2,123-143。  new window
20.Pissarides, Christopher A.(1987)。Search, wage bargains, and cycles。Review of Economic Studies,54(3),473-483。  new window
21.Pissarides, Christopher A.(1984)。Efficiency job rejection。Economic Journal Conference Papers,94,97-108。  new window
22.Pissarides, Christopher A.(1985)。Equilibrium dynamics of unemployment vacancies, and realwages。American Economic Review,75,676-690。  new window
23.Sargent, Thomas J.(1973)。Rational expectations, the real rate of interest, and the natrual rate of unemployment。Brookings papers on Economic Activity,2,429-472。  new window
24.Rubinstein, Ariel、Wolindky, Asher(1985)。Equilibrium in a market with sequential bargaining。Econometrica,53,1133-1150。  new window
25.Shapiro, Carl、Stiglitz, Joseph E.(1984)。Equilibrium unemployment as a wirker discipline device。American Economic Review,74,443-444。  new window
26.Lucas, Robert E. Jr.(1973)。Some International Evidence on Output-Inflation Trade-Offs。American Economic Review,63(3),326-334。  new window
27.Binmore, Ken G.、Rubinstein, Ariel、Wolinsky, Asher(1986)。The Nash Bargaining Solution in Economic Modelling。The RAND Journal of Economics,17(2),176-188。  new window
圖書
1.Boldrin, Michele、Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro、Wright, Randall(1991)。A dynamic equilibrium model of search, production and exchange。  new window
2.Leijonhufvud, Axel(1964)。On Keynesican Economics and the Economics of Keynes。New York。  new window
3.Hirsch, Morris W.、Smale, Stephen(1974)。Differential Equations, Dynamic System, and Linear Algebra。New York:Academic Press。  new window
4.Pissarides, Christopher A.(1990)。Equilibrium Unemployment Theory。Basil Blackwell。  new window
圖書論文
1.Leijonhufvud, Axel(1981)。Effective Denamd Failures。Information and Coordination。  new window
2.Mortensen, Dale T.(1982)。The matching process as a noncooperative bargaining game。The Economics of Uncertainty and Information。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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