都市地區國民小學生人數之歷年變動，明顯影響學規模計畫及校園規劃，本文從都市計畫及建築計畫觀點，探討臺北市國民小學學生人數歷年增加及遞減之變動規則，擬建構人數變動控制及預測方法，以利提供學校規模計畫之應用。重要研究結論綜述如下：(一)臺北市各行政區因發展歷史之差異，因小學區學齡人口變動現象，可歸納為逐年邀增、穩定成長及逐年遞減等三類。(二)擬建立學區學生人之控制及預測方法時，需先釐清遵循的各原則，包括確定普通教室每班學生人數；確定對應普通教室室數所應具備的專科教室室數；確定校園整體規劃下之空間發展總量；確定學區內三歲年齡等級學齡人口之基本檔案；確定全市學區調整之原則與方法。

　　　　　The yearly changes of the number of primary school students in urban areas obv-iousiy affect school scale planning and campus planning. This article analyzes the yearly increasing and decreasing changing rules of the primary school students in Taipei from the urban planning and construction planning point of view Important research conclusions are as follows: 1. The number of primary school students of the various administrative regions of Taipei, due to their historical development differences, can be classified into three categories of annual drastic increase, stable growth, and annual decrease. 2. When seeking to establish control and predication methods of school area student numbers, every guiding principle should first be mad clear, including the stipulation of student number per class in an ordinary classroom; defining of the number of vocational classrooms corresponing to ordinary classrooms; ascertaing of the total space development quantity under integrated campus planning; establishing of population predication files of students graded age 3 in the school areas; and finalizing of whole city school areas adjustment priciples and methods.