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題名:Spot Rates Random Walk Examination Using Alternative Testing Approaches臺灣即期匯率隨機漫步行為檢定--不同測試方法之應用
書刊名:交大管理學報
作者:林恩從
出版日期:1993
卷期:13:2
頁次:頁61-72
主題關鍵詞:即期匯率隨機漫步變異數比例檢定法異質變異性單根Spot ratesRandom walkVariance-ratio testHeteroscedasticityUnit root
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:17
  • 點閱點閱:32
一般業界均認為、民國七十八年四月三日中心匯率制度之廢止、代表臺灣外匯自由化的一重要里程碑。本研究之目地在於運用不同測試方法、檢定中心匯率制度廢止後、臺灣五種即期匯率隨機漫步行為。 文中使用的測試方法分別為:(1)傳統簡單迴歸;(2)單根檢定法;及(3)非相關增額法。三種不同的測試方法展現一致結論。中心匯率制度廢止後、臺灣五種即期匯率行為均為隨機漫步。
The purpose of the paper is to investigate randomness of Taiwan spot rates in various currencies using alternative approaches after the removal of the central rate system of exchange rate determination on April 3, 1989. Three alternative approaches used are the conventional OLS, the unit root, and the uncorrelated increment. Rather consistently, all three methods show identical results. All five spot rate series follow the random walk process during the period examined.
期刊論文
1.Lo, Andrew W.、MacKinlay, A. Craig(1989)。The Size and Power of the Variance Ratio Test in Finite Samples: A Monte Carlo Investigation。Journal of Econometrics,40(2),203-238。  new window
2.Lin, Antsong、Swanson, Peggy E.(1993)。Measuring Global Money Market Interrelationships: An Investigation of Five Major World Currencies。Journal of Banking and Finance,17(1),609-628。  new window
3.吳中書(19880300)。臺灣美元遠期外滙市場效率性之檢定。經濟論文,16(1),79-112。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Cornell, W. B.、Dietrich, J. K.(1978)。The Efficiency of the Market for Foreign Exchange Under Floating Exchange Rates。Review of Economics and Statistics,60(1),111-120。  new window
5.Logue, Dennis E.、Sweeney, Richard J.、Willett, Thomas D.(1978)。Speculative Behavior of Foreign Exchange Rates during the Current Float。Journal of Business Research,6(2),159-174。  new window
6.沈中華(1993)。臺灣遠期美元外匯市場效率性之再檢定--兩狀態Markov模型的應用。經濟論文,21(1),87-115。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.Chen, Yueh H.(19920300)。The Dynamic Behavior of Forward and Spot Foreign Exchange Rate: the New Taiwan Dollar Case。經濟論文,20(1),243-266。  new window
8.Hsieh, D.(1988)。The Statistical Property of Daily Foreign Exchange Rates: 1974-1983。Journal of International Economics,24,129-145。  new window
9.Chiang, Thomas C.(1988)。The Forward Rate as a Predictor of the Future Spot Rate: A Stochastic Coefficient Approach。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,20(2),212-232。  new window
10.Chiang, Thomas C.(1986)。Empirical Analysis on the Predictors of Future Spot Rates。Journal of Financial Research,9(2),153-162。  new window
11.Giddy, Ian H.、Dufey, Gunter(1975)。The Random Behavior of Flexible Exchange Rates: Implications for Forecasting。Journal of International Business Studies,6(1),1-32。  new window
12.Liu, Christina Y.、He, Jia(1991)。A Variance-Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates。Journal of Finance,46(2),773-785。  new window
13.Meese, Richard A.、Singleton, Kenneth J.(1982)。On Unit Roots and the Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rates。Journal of Finance,37(4),1029-1035。  new window
14.Swanson, Peggy E.(1987)。Capital Market Integration over the Past Decade: The Case of the US Dollar。Journal of International Money and Finance,6(2),215-225。  new window
15.Frenkel, Jacob A.、Rodriguez, Carlos A.(1982)。Exchange Rate Dynamics and Overshooting Hypothesis。International Monetary Fund Staff Papers,29(1),1-30。  new window
16.Dornbusch, Rudiger(1976)。Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Journal of Political Economy,84(6),1161-1176。  new window
17.Baillie, Richard T.、Bollerslev, Tim(1989)。Common Stochastic Trends in a System of Exchange Rates。The Journal of Finance,44(1),167-181。  new window
18.Lo, Andrew W.、MacKinlay, A. Craig(1988)。Stock market prices do not follow random walks: Evidence from a simple specification test。Review of Financial Studies,1(1),41-66。  new window
會議論文
1.Ho, Richard Y.(1992)。A Variance Ratio Test of Random Walks in Emerging Asian Markets。The Conference on the Theories and Practices of Security and Financial Markets,139-166。  new window
2.何中達、沈中華(1993)。臺灣遠期外匯市場重新開放後效率性檢定。中國財務學會第一次年會。台北。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Lin, Antsong(1993)。Spot Rate Random Walk Examination: The Case of Taiwan。Department of Finance, National Sun Yat-Sen University。  new window
學位論文
1.蔡宏洲(1986)。臺灣遠期外匯市場效率性之研究(碩士論文)。東海大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳愛修(1990)。外匯市場效率性之檢定--世界各主要貨幣之實證(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.黃桂香(1988)。我國外匯市場效率性之研究--臺灣外匯管制開放前後之比較分析(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Fuller, Wayne A.(1976)。Introduction to Statistical Time Series。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
2.Eiteman, David K.、Stonehill, Arthur I.、Moffet, Michael(1992)。Multinational Business Finance。Reading:Addison-Wesley。  new window
 
 
 
 
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