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來源文獻資料
摘要
外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
貨幣政策指標的建立與貨幣政策反應函數
書刊名:
經濟論文
作者:
沈中華
/
陳華倫
作者(外文):
Shen, Chung-hua
/
Chen, Hua-ron
出版日期:
1996
卷期:
24:4
頁次:
頁559-590
主題關鍵詞:
敍述法
;
貨幣政策指標
;
反應函數
;
Narrative approach
;
Monetary policy index
;
Reaction function
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
5
) 博士論文(
2
) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
3
共同引用:
2
點閱:35
由於使用一些金融之變數(如貨幣供給、貨幣基數、短期利率、借入準備等)代理決策當局的貨幣政策,會產生內生性及不一致性的問題,本文捨棄金融市場中常用的變數,而改採最新流行的敘述性(Narrative Approach)建立貨幣政策指標。接著利用所建立之政策指標估計央行之貨幣政策反應函數。本文將貨幣政策反應函數分為對稱反應函數與非對稱反應函數兩種形式。所謂對稱,即傳統直接型模型,所謂非對稱,指的是物價或產出增加一單位,但央行在可容忍的最高物價上漲率,或預期的最適經濟成長率之上侑之下的反應強度並不相同。 本文之實證結果發現,央行的非對稱行為強列地反應於通貨膨脹、實質產出與景氣虛擬變數,同時央行貨幣政策的取向,明顯受到物價穩定、經濟成長及充分就業三項總體目標變數的影響。因此傳統上將貨幣政策視為外生變數的設定,或直線型設定,並不恰當。
以文找文
Endogenity and inconsistency are two problems that arise when the conventional money market variables, such as money supply, monetary base, and non-borrowed reserve and short interest rates, are used as the proxy for monetary policy. This paper uses the narrative approach to build up a monetary policy index. This index is then employed to examine the central bank reaction function, of which linear and nonlinear forms are considered. Our results show that the monetary policy reacts differently to then inflation rate and real output when economic conditions are different. Strong responses are discovered when the inflation rate and output are above their corresponding tolerance level of the central bank.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Poole, William(1970)。Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Simple Stochastic Macro Model。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,84(2),197-216。
2.
Carmichael, Calum M.(1991)。Shifts in the Indicators Used by the Monetary Authorities in Canada。Journal of Macroeconomics,13(3),523-524。
3.
Amemiya, T.(1981)。Qualitative response models: A survey。Journal of Economic Literature,19,1483-1536。
4.
Abrams, R. F.、Waud, R. N.(1980)。Monetary Policy Reaction Function, Consistent Expectations, and The Burns Era。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,12(1),30-42。
5.
Boschen, J. F.、Mills, L. O.(1995)。The Relation Between Narrative And Money Market Indicators of Monetary Policy。Economic Inquiry,33,24-44。
6.
Barth, J.、Silkies, R.、Wiest, P.(1982)。Assessing the Impact of Varying Economic Conditions on Federal Reserve Behavior。Journal of Macroeconomics,4(1),47-70。
7.
Friedlaender, A. F.(1973)。Maco Policy Goals in The Postwar Period: a study in Revealed Preference。Quarterly Journal of Economics,87(1),25-43。
8.
Felmingham, B. S.、Bennett, P. A.(1978)。Monetary Policy Reaction in an Interdependent Instrument Setting。The Economic Record,54(146)。
9.
Derosa, P.、Stern, G. H.(1977)。Monetary Control and The Federal Funds Rate。Journal of Monetary Economics,3(2),217-230。
10.
Croushore, D. D.、Koot, R. S.、Walker, D. A.(1990)。Economic Stability and the Government Deficit。Journal of Post Keynesian Economics,12(3),390-403。
11.
Hakes, David R.(1990)。The Objectives and Priorities of Monetary Policy under Different Federal Reserve Chairmen。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,22(3),327-337。
12.
Hakes, D. R.(1988)。Monetary Policy and Presidential Elections: A Nonpartisan Political Cycle。Public Choice,57,175-182。
13.
Grier, K. B.、Perry, M. J.(1993)。The Effect of Money Shocks on Interest Rates in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity。The Journal of Finance,48(4),1445-1455。
14.
Gregory, W. A.、Raynauld, J.(1985)。An Econometric Model of Canadian Monetary Policy Over the 1970s。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,17(1),43-58。
15.
Luckett, D. G.、Potts, G. T.(1980)。Monetary Policy and Partisan Politics。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,12(3),540-546。
16.
Liao, En-ai(1986)。Federal Reserve Reaction Function And the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy。Academia Economic Papers,14(1)。
17.
Hutton, J. P.(1977)。A Model of Short-Term Capital Movements, the Foreign Exchange Market and Official Intervention in the UK, 1963-1970。Review of Economic Studies,44(136),31-41。
18.
Hakes, D. R.、Gamber, E. N.(1992)。Does the Federal Reserve Respond to Errant Money Growth? Evidence from Three Monetary Regimes。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,24(1),127-134。
19.
Renshaw, E.、Trahan, E.(1990)。Presidential Elections and the Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Reaction Function。Journal of Policy Modeling,12(1),29-34。
20.
Potts, Glenn T.、Luckett, Dudley G.(1978)。Policy Objectives of the Federal Reserve System。Journal of Economics,92(3),525-534。
21.
Mcnees, S. K.(1986)。Modeling the Fed: A Forward-Looking Monetary Policy Reaction Function。New England Economic Review,1986(Nov./Dec.),3-8。
22.
Witte, W. E.(1984)。Macroecnomic Stability and The Short Run Federal Reserve Reaction Function, 1969-1979。Economic Inquiry,22,571-578。
23.
Stork, P.、Viaene, J. M.(1992)。Policy Optimization by Lexicographic Preference Ordering。Journal of Policy Modeling,14(5),655-673。
24.
Shen, Chung-Hua、Hakers, J.(1995)。Monetary Policy Reaction and Decision Making Hierarchy: the Case of Taiwan。Journal of Macroeconomics,17(2),357-368。
25.
Witte, W. E.(1985)。Cyclical Variation in the Short-Run Federal Reserve Reaction Function: 1969-1978。Journal of Macroeconomics,6(4),457-464。
26.
梁發進(19830300)。我國總體經濟政策反應函數、政策工具彈性以及政策目標取捨係數之估計。臺北市銀月刊,14(3)=162,1-22。
延伸查詢
27.
梁發進(19911200)。我國貨幣政策反應函數之推估。經濟研究. 臺北大學經濟學系,31,47-72。
延伸查詢
28.
沈中華(19930600)。貨幣政策與反應函數:臺灣的實證分析。臺灣銀行季刊,44(2),1-21。
延伸查詢
研究報告
1.
Boschen, J. F.、Millis, L. O.(1993)。The Narrative Approach to Evaluating Monetary Policy: Consistency of Interpretation and the Relation to Monetary Activist。
2.
Sellon, G. H.(1994)。Measuring Monetary Policy。Research Division, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City。
3.
Shen, Chung-Hua(1994)。The Lexicographic Behavior of the Central Bank--Is What They Say What They Do?。Department of Banking National Cheng Chi University, Taiwan。
4.
Bernanke, Ben S.、Mishkin, Frederic S.(1992)。Central Bank Behavior and The Strategy of Monetary Policy: Observations from Six Industrialized Countries。
5.
Hakkio, C. S.、Sellon, G. H. Jr.(1994)。Monetary Policy without Intermediate Targets: Federal Reserve Policy since 1983。
圖書
1.
Greene, William H.(1993)。Econometric Analysis。Macmillan Publishing Company。
2.
李榮謙(1993)。貨幣銀行學。智勝文化事業有限公司。
延伸查詢
圖書論文
1.
Romer, C. D.、Romer, D. H.(1989)。Does Monetary Policy Matter? A New Test in the Spirit of Friedment and Schwarz。NBER Macroeconomics Annual。
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