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題名:漲跌幅限制下臺灣股市的星期效應與自我相關--Gibbs Sampler的應用
書刊名:經濟論文
作者:沈中華 引用關係周賓凰 引用關係
作者(外文):Shen, Chung-huaChou, Pin-huang
出版日期:1997
卷期:25:1
頁次:頁21-44
主題關鍵詞:星期效應漲跌幅限制Weekday effectPrice limitsGibbs Sampler
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:18
  • 點閱點閱:89
     本文討論在漲跌幅限制下,臺灣股價的星期效應。所謂的星期效應,即週六有大 於週二∼週五的正的超額報酬,但週一有小於其他日期的負報酬。由於臺灣的股價有漲跌幅 限制,因此真正的股價不可觀察,且一旦股價觸及上下限,即交易停止,因而未實現之需求 或供給將具有傳遞效果, 在這種情況下,使用傳統 OLS 方法,將會產生偏誤的估計係數, 而使用 Gibbs sampler 方法可以成功地克服這些困難。 本文由臺灣各產業股價中抽取一家 為代表,並考慮 5% 及 7% 漲跌幅時期,我們發現臺灣各廠商似乎不具有星期效應。另外就 平均而言,週二、週三及週四三天的平均報酬率較其餘四天的平均報酬率為低。
     We re-examine the weekday effect by taking into account the potential i mpacts of price limits. The imposition of price limits causes the observed stock returns to be truncated, therby the traditional estimation methods based on the distorted observed returns are biased. We adopt a Gibbs Sampler approach propo sed by Chou (1997). The empirical results show that there are no significant wee kday effects, though the returns on Tuesday Wednesday and Thursday are lower.
期刊論文
1.Gibbons, M. R.、Hess, P.(1981)。Days of the week effects and asset returns。Journal of Business,54(4),579-596。  new window
2.Albert, J. H.、Chib, S.(1993)。Bayesian Analysis of Binary and Polychotomous Response Data。Journal of the American Statistical Association,88(422),669-679。  new window
3.Tanner, Martin A.、Wong, Wing Hung(1987)。The calculation of posterior distributions by data augmentation (with discussion)。Journal of the American Statistical Association,82(398),528-550。  new window
4.Poterba, J. M.、Summers, L. H.(1988)。Mean Reversion in Stock Prices。Journal of Financial Economics,22,27-59。  new window
5.Board, J. L. G.、Sutcliffe, C. M. S.(1988)。The Weekend Effect in UK Stock Market Returns。Journal of Finance and Accounting,15,199-213。  new window
6.Hamilton, J. D.(1989)。A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time series and business cycle)。Econometrica,57,357-384。  new window
7.French, K. R.(1980)。Stock Returns and Weekend Effect。Journal of Financial Economics,8,55-69。  new window
8.Lo, A. W.、MacKinlay, A. C.(1988)。Stock prices do not follow random walks: Evidence from a simple specification test。Review of Financial Studies,1,41-66。  new window
9.French, Kenneth R.、Roll, Richard(1986)。Stock Return Variances: The Arrival of Information and The Reaction of Traders。Journal of Financial Economics,17(1),5-26。  new window
10.Jaffe, J.、Westerfield, R.(1985)。Patterns in Japanese Common Stock Returns: Day of the Week and Turn of the Year Effects。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,20(2),261-272。  new window
11.黃柏農(19950100)。多國性股價報酬率的統計特性及星期效果研究--自相關條件異質性模型之應用。中國財務學刊,2(2),43-76。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Lakonishok, Josef、Levi, Maurice(1982)。Weekend Effects on Stock Returns: A Note。Journal of Finance,37(3),883-889。  new window
13.Sutrick, K. H.(1993)。Reducing the bias in empirical studies due to limit moves。Journal of Futures Markets,13(5),527-543。  new window
14.沈中華、何中達、陳江明(19950300)。臺灣股票市場報酬率之預測模型--平均數復歸行為之應用。管理科學學報,12(1),43-61。  延伸查詢new window
15.Bishara, Halim(1989)。Stock Returns and the Weekend Effect in Canada。Akron Business and Economic Review,20,62-71。  new window
16.Chou, P. H.(1997)。Estimating Linear Regression Models Under Price Limits with an Application of Systematic Risk in Taiwan。Pacific-Basin Finance Journal。  new window
17.Shen, C. H.(1994)。Estimating Efficiency of Taiwan-US Exchange Rates Market--A Markov Switching Model。Asian Economic Journal,8,205-215。  new window
18.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1988)。Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices。Journal of Political Economy,96(2),246-273。  new window
19.Kodres, Laura E.(1993)。Tests of Unbiasedness in the Foreign Exchange Futures Markets: An Examination of Price Limits and Conditional Heteroscedasticity。The Journal of Business,66(3),463-490。  new window
20.沈中華、黃河泉(19940700)。股價波動性與結構性轉變之探討--不同漲跌幅限制下的分析。臺大管理論叢,5(2),23-45。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.White, Halbert L. Jr.(1980)。A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,48(4),817-838。  new window
22.Kodres, Laura E.(1988)。Tests of Unbiasedness in Foreign Exchange Futures Markets: The Effects of Price Limits。Review of Futures Markets,7,139-175。  new window
23.Yang, S. R.、Brorsen, B. W.(1995)。Price Limits as an Explanation of Thin-tailedness in Pork Bellies Futures Prices。The Journal of Futures Markets,15,45-59。  new window
24.Keim, D. B.、Stambaugh, R. F.(1984)。A Further Investigation of the Weekend Effects in Stock Returns。The Journal of Finance,39,819-837。  new window
研究報告
1.Chiang, R.、Wei, K. C. John(1992)。Estimation of Volatility Under Price Limits。University of Miami。  new window
圖書
1.Zellner, Arnold(1971)。An Introduction to Bayesian Inference in Econometrics。New York, NY:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
單篇論文
1.Chib, S.(1992)。Estimation of Censored Data by Gibbs Sampler,Washington University, St. Louis。  new window
2.Chib, S.,Chou, P. H.(1995)。Estimating the Optimal Hedge Ratio Under Price Limits: A Bayesian Approach Using Gibbs Sampler,Department of Economics, Washington University in St. Louis。  new window
 
 
 
 
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