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題名:股價分配對選擇權定價之影響
書刊名:亞太管理評論
作者:許溪南黃凱靖
作者(外文):Hsu, HsinanHuang, Kai-ching
出版日期:1998
卷期:3:1
頁次:頁1-17
主題關鍵詞:股價分配選擇權定價蒙地卡羅方法Stock price distributionOption pricingMonte carlo method
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:5
  • 點閱點閱:23
     Black-Scholes 選擇權定價模式的重要假設之一為股價分配服從對數常態分配( 或其報酬服從常態分配)。股價報酬分配不為常態分配常被認為是造成價內、價上與價外選 擇權價格行為不同之主因。本文應用蒙地卡羅模擬方法,對四種不同的股價報酬分配,探討 其對選擇權定價的影響。研究的結果,出乎理論學者的預料之外,這些連續型的股價報酬分 配,雖對價內、價上及價外選擇權的價格有所影響,但程度不大。此結果的重要含意是未來 的研究可考慮間斷型的股價跳躍分配模式。
     One of the assumptions of the Black-Scholes option pricing model is that stock prices are lognormally distributed (or price returns are normally distributed). Non-normal distributions of stock price returns are often attributed to different pricing behavior between in-the-money, at-the-money, and out-of-the-money options by theorists. This paper employs Monte Carlo Simulation to investigate the impact of four different distibutions of stock price returns on option pricing. Results indicate that non-normal distributions of stock price returns, though influencing option pricing, are difficult to be attributed to the different pricing behavior between in-the-money, at-the-money, and out-of-the-money options. The implication of this important finding is that future researches may consider jump models of stock price distributions or ther factors.
期刊論文
1.Badrinath, S. G.、Chatterjee, S.(1988)。On measuring skewness and elongation in common stock return distributions: the case of the market index。Journal of Business,61(4),451-472。  new window
2.Jarrow, R. A.、Rudd, A.(1982)。Approximate Option Valuation for Arbitrary Stochastic Processes。Journal of Financial Economics,10(3),347-369。  new window
3.Boyle, P. P.(1977)。Options: A Monte Carlo Approach。Journal of Financial Economics,4,323-338。  new window
4.Blattberg, R. C.、Gonedes, N. J.(1974)。A Comparison of Stable and Student Distribution as Statistical Models for Stock Prices。Journal of Business,47,244-280。  new window
5.Fielitz, B. D.、Rozelle, J. P.(1983)。Stable Distributions and Mixtures of Distributions Hypotheses for Common Stock Returns。Journal of the American Statistical Association,78,28-36。  new window
6.Hagerman, R. L.(1978)。More Evidence on the Distribution of Security Returns。Journal of Finance,33,1213-1221。  new window
7.Kendall, M. G.(1953)。The Analysis of Economic Time Series-- Part I: Prices。Journal of the Roval Statistical Society (Series A),96,1-25。  new window
8.Jackwerth, J. C.、Rubinstein, M.(1996)。Recovering Probability Distributions from Option Prices。Journal of Finance,51,1611-1631。  new window
9.Hsu, Hsinan(1996)。The Valuation of CBOT Mortgage-Backed Options。Journal of Financial Studies,4(1)。  new window
10.Kon, S. J.(1984)。Models of Stock Returns--A Comparison。Journal of Finance,39,147-165。  new window
11.Westerfield, R.(1977)。The Distribution of Common Stock Prices Changes: An Application of Transactions Time and Subordinated Stochastic Models。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,1977(Dec.),743-765。  new window
12.Teichmoller, J.(1971)。A Note on the Distribution of Stock Price Changes。Journal of the American Statistical Association,66,282-284。  new window
13.Smith, C. W. Jr.(1976)。Option Pricing: A Review。Journal of Financial Economics,3(1),3-51。  new window
14.Rubinstein, M.(1994)。Implied Binomial Trees。Journal of Finance,49,771-818。  new window
15.Beckers, S.(1980)。The constant elasticity of variance model and its implications for option pricing。Journal of Finance,35(3),661-673。  new window
16.Oldfield, G.、Rogalski, R.、Jarrow, R.(1977)。An Autoregressive Jump Process for Common Stock Returns。Journal of Financial Economics,5,389-418。  new window
17.Osborne, M. F. M.(1959)。Brownian Motion in the Stock Market。Operations Research,7(2),145-173。  new window
18.Black, Fischer、Scholes, Myron S.(1973)。The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities。Journal of Political Economy,81(3),637-654。  new window
19.Fama, Eugene F.(1965)。The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices。Journal of Business,38(1),34-105。  new window
20.Praetz, P. D.(1972)。The Distribution of Share Price Changes。The Journal of Business,45(1),49-55。  new window
21.Christie, Andrew A.(1982)。The Stochastic Behavior of Common Stock Variances: Value, Leverage and Interest Rate Effects。Journal of Financial Economics,10(4),407-432。  new window
22.Cox, John C.、Ross, Stephen A.(1976)。The Valuation of Options for Alternative Stochastic Processes。Journal of Financial Economics,3(1/2),145-166。  new window
23.Mandelbrot, Benoit B.(1963)。The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices。The Journal of Business,36(4),394-419。  new window
學位論文
1.簡仁德(1981)。台灣證券市場價格變動習性為隨機漫步假定之實證分析(博士論文)。淡江大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.謝育萍(1994)。臺灣股票報酬率分配之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.Moore, A. B.(1960)。Some Characteristics of Changes in Common Stock Prices(博士論文)。University of Chicago。  new window
圖書
1.顏月珠(1993)。統計學。台北:三民書局。  延伸查詢new window
2.郭明哲(1984)。作業研究--理論與應用。台北:中興管理顧問公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.Haugen, R. A.(1993)。Modern Investment Theory。Prentice-Hall International。  new window
4.Hammersley, J. M.、Handscomb, D. C.(1964)。Monte Carlo Methods。London:Methuen。  new window
5.Gemmill, G.(1993)。Option Pricing。NY:McGrawHill。  new window
6.Hull, J. C.(1993)。Options, Futures, and Other Derivative Securities。London:Prentice-Hall。  new window
7.Fama, Eugene F.(1976)。Foundations of Finance: Portfolio Decisions and Securities Prices。Basic Books。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bachelier, L.(1964)。Theory of Speculation。The Random Character of Stock Market Prices。Cambridge, Mass.:MIT Press。  new window
2.Geske, R.、Trautman, S.(1986)。Option Pricing: Theory and Empirical Evidence。Capital Market Equilibria。Berlin:Springer-Verlag。  new window
 
 
 
 
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