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題名:家戶同一效用最大化之小客車持有與使用、工作運具混合需求模型之研究--臺灣地區之實證分析
書刊名:運輸計劃
作者:姜渝生廖仁哲 引用關係
作者(外文):Chiang, Yu-shengLiao, Jen-che
出版日期:1998
卷期:27:4
頁次:頁543-581
主題關鍵詞:小客車持有小客車使用工作運具間斷性/連續性選擇Car ownershipCar useMode to workDiscrete/continuous choice
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(10) 博士論文(2) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:9
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:37
     過去有關小客車需求之研究大都僅針對其持有數或使用量,事實上,小客車之持 有與使用之間密切相關,並不宜單獨予以分析。本研究企圖對小客車持有數與使用量之需求 同時進行分析,並將工作運具選擇問題亦納入分析中,嘗試由家戶同一效用函數出發,建立 小客車持有與使用、工作運具之間斷性/連續性混合需求模型。本研究以台灣地區1996年之 家戶層級個體資料從事實證分析,結果顯示小客車持有與使用、工作運具等選擇間確有相關 與聯立性存在。其次,小客車已成為一種民生必需品,其持有需求之所得彈性大於價格彈性 意謂小客車持有數量預期將持續增加,以價制量之價格手段成效有限。未來小客車政策之方 向可朝向降低小客車使用需求以間接抑制小客車持有數量之成長;小客車使用需求之控制則 可由增加小客車使用成本、降低小客車為工作運具之機率、及停車管理等三方面著手。
     Most of the previous studies on car demand focused either on car ownership or its usage. In fact, car ownership and use are different yet closely interrelated problems. In recognizing that decisions concerning the choices of car ownership, mode to work, and car use are made simultaneously, this study tries to investigate these choices using a set of discrete/continuous demand models. The mixed demand models of car ownership, mode to work, and car usr were derived from the same utility of household. Empirical analysis was done for the Taiwan Area based on a disaggregate data set at the level of individual household from a special household survey of 1996. The main findings of the empirical analysis include: (1) The decisions concerning the choices of car ownership, mode to work, and car use were made simultaneously and interrelatedly ; (2) Car has become a kind of necessity of life as rapid growth of real income. The demand for caris is more income-elastic than price-elastic indicated than car ownership is going to rise in the future, and the effect of price instruments are likely to be little; (3) To regulate the growth of car ownership, the directions of car policy should be evolved toward the reduction of car use. Furthermore, the reduction of car use should be achieved by means of increasing the cost of car use, decreasing the possibility of mode to work by car, and parking management.
期刊論文
1.Lee, L.-F.(1983)。Generalized Econometric Models with Selectivity。Econometrica,51(2),507-512。  new window
2.Hanemann, W. Michael(1984)。Discrete/Continuous Models of Consumer Demand。Econometrica,52(3),541-561。  new window
3.De Jong, G. C.(1990)。An indirect utility model of car ownership and private car use。European Economic Review,34,971-985。  new window
4.Thobani, M.(1984)。A Nested Logit Model of Travel Mode to Work and Auto Ownership。Journal of Urban Economics,15,287-301。  new window
5.Roy, Andrew D.(1951)。Some Thoughts on the Distribution of Earnings。Oxford Economic Paper,3(2),135-146。  new window
6.Lerman, S. R.(1977)。Location, Housing, Automobile Ownership, and Mode to Work: A Joint Choice Model。Transportation Research Record,610(1),6-11。  new window
7.Heckman, James Joseph(1979)。Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,47(1),153-162。  new window
8.Hausman, J. A.(1981)。Exact Consumer's Surplus and Dead Weight Loss。The American Economic Review,71(4),662-676。  new window
9.Lerman, Steven R.、Ben-Akiva, Moshe(1974)。Some Estimation Results of a Simultaneous Model of Auto Ownership and Mode Choice to Work。Transportation,3(4),357-376。  new window
10.Gallini, N. T.、Berkowitz, M. K.、Miller, E. J.、Wolfe, R. A.(1990)。Disaggregate Analysis of the Demand for Gasoline。The Canadian Journal of Economics=Revue canadienne d'Economique,23(2),253-275。  new window
11.Burn, L. D.、Golob, T. F.、Nicolaidis, G. C.(1976)。Theory of Urban Automobile-Ownership Decision。Transportation Research Record,569,56-75。  new window
12.Dubin, J. A.、McFadden, D. L.(1984)。An Econometric Analysis of Residential Electric Appliance Holding and Consumption。Econometrica,52(2),345-362。  new window
13.Duncan, G. M.(1980)。Formulation and Statistical Analysis of the Mixed, Continuous/ Discrete Dependent Variable Model in Classical Production Theory。Econometrica,48(4),839-852。  new window
14.Greene, D. L.、Hu, P. S.(1984)。The Influence of the Price of Gasoline on Vehicle Use in Multivehicle Households。Transportation Research Record,988,19-24。  new window
15.Hensher, D. A.、Plastrier, V. L.(1985)。Towards a Dynamic Discrete-Choice Model of Household Automobile Fleet Size and Composition。Transportation Research, Part B: Methodological,19(6),481-495。  new window
16.Hensher, D. A.(1985)。An Econometric Model of Vehicle Use in the Household Sector。Transportation Research, Part B: Methodological,19(4),303-313。  new window
17.Hensher, D. A.、Milthorpe, F. W.(1987)。Selectivity Correction in Discrete-continuous Choice Analysis: With Empirical Evidence for Vehicle Choice and Use。Regional Science and Urban Economics,17(1),123-150。  new window
18.Lave, C. A.、Train, K.(1979)。A Disaggregate Model of Auto-Type Choice。Transportation Research, Part A: General,13(1),1-9。  new window
19.Lerman, S. R.、Ben-Akiva, M.(1976)。Dissaggregate Behaviour Model of Automobile Ownership。Transportation Research Record,569,34-55。  new window
20.Mannering, F.(1983)。An Econometric Analysis of Vehicle Use in Multi-vehicle Households。Transportation Research, Part A: General,17(3),183-189。  new window
21.Mannering, F.、Winston, C.(1985)。A Dynamic Empirical Analysis of Household Vehicle Ownership and Utilization。The RAND Journal of Economics,16(2),215-236。  new window
22.Oum, T. H.、Waters, II W. G.、Yong, J. -S.(1992)。Concepts of Price Elasticities of Transportation Demand and Recent Empirical Estimates。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,139-154。  new window
23.Priemus, H.(1995)。Reduction of Car Use: Instruments of National and Level Policies - A Dutch Perspective。Environment and Planning, B: Planning and Design,22,721-737。  new window
24.Ruiter, E.、Ben-Akiva, M.(1978)。Disaggregate Travel Demand Models for the San Francisco Area: System Structure, Component Models and Application Procedures。Transportation Research Record,673,121-128。  new window
25.Salomon, I.、Ben-Akiva, M.(1983)。The Use of Life-Style Concept in Travel Demand Models。Environment and Planning, A,15(5),623-638。  new window
26.Train, K.(1980)。A Structured Logit Model of Auto ownership and Mode Choice。The Review of Economic Studies,47,357-370。  new window
27.姜渝生、王小娥、王議龍(1996)。臺灣地區廠商原料採購作業之運具與運量選擇模式之研究。運輸計劃季刊,25(3),467-492。new window  延伸查詢new window
28.Lee, L. F.、Trost, R. P.(1978)。Estimation of Some Limited Dependent Variable Models with Application to Housing Demand。Journal of Econometrics,8,357-382。  new window
會議論文
1.姜渝生、林裕清(1994)。小汽車持有數與使用量之混合需求模型之研究。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.王小娥、王玉明(1996)。行動電話持有數與使用量需求之研究。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.廖仁哲(1996)。小汽車持有與使用、工作運具選擇混合需求模型之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
2.Aedelwahab, W. M.(1991)。A Discrete/ Continuous Model for the Joint Choice of Mode and Shipment Size,0。  new window
3.Hay, J. W.(1980)。Occupational Choice and Occupational Earnings: Selectivity Bias in a Simultaneous Logit-OLS Model(博士論文)。Yale University,New Haven, CT。  new window
4.Sebetan, F.(1990)。Demand for Toll Telecommunications Service: A Continuous/ discrete Approach,Davis。  new window
5.陳淵河(1993)。運具與運量選擇之間斷性與連續性混合需求模式之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
6.陳鴻文(1995)。以間斷與連續選擇模式構建廠商短期貨運需求模式之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Ben-Akiva, Moshe E.、Lerman, Steven R.(1985)。Discrete choice analysis: Theory and application to travel demand。Cambridge, Massachusetts:MIT Press。  new window
2.Maddala, G. S.(1983)。Limited-dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometics。Cambridge University Press。  new window
3.Varian, Hal R.(1978)。Microeconomic Analysis。New York:Norton & Company。  new window
4.De Jong, G. C.(1997)。A Microeconomic Model of the Joint Decision on Car Ownership and Car Use。Understanding Travel Behaviour in an Era of Change。沒有紀錄。  new window
5.Hensher, D. A.、Smith, N. C.、Milthorpe, F. W.、Barnard, P. O.(1992)。Dimensions of Automobile Demand - A Longitudinal Study of Household Automobile Ownership and Use。Dimensions of Automobile Demand - A Longitudinal Study of Household Automobile Ownership and Use。沒有紀錄。  new window
6.Train, K.(1986)。Qualitative Choice Analysis: Theory, Econometrics and an Application to Automobile Demand。Qualitative Choice Analysis: Theory, Econometrics and an Application to Automobile Demand。Cambridge, MA。  new window
其他
1.臺北市政府交通局(1997)。臺北市交通統計年報,沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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