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題名:結合「移轉份額」模式與「經濟基礎」模式以分析地區資料之初探
書刊名:國立臺灣大學建築與城鄉研究學報
作者:華昌宜
作者(外文):Hua, Chang-i
出版日期:1998
卷期:9
頁次:頁11-22
主題關鍵詞:移轉份額經濟基礎區位商數結合模式Shift-shareEconomic-baseLocation quotientIntegrated model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(2) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:2
  • 點閱點閱:57
     移轉份額(Shift-and-Share)模式(S-S)雖極具爭議,但因其簡易且尚無替代而使其存活至令。在多方各種努力修正後迄今仍無定論。本文另闢蹊徑,將引用同樣資料但具理論關聯之經濟基礎模式與之結合,以增加其內容及合理性。文內所研擬之E-D模式係利用區位商數法以作結合媒介。然後以臺北市及高雄市於民國70-75年及民國75-80年之商業就業人數變動作為實例示範,顯示E-D模式之操作,並與傳統之S-S比較,而探討其意義與發展潛力。
     By virtue of simplicity the problematic shift and share technique has survived its criticism. But further efforts of revising the model are needed. This paper takes a very different approach toward the task. The well known economic-base model is proposed to be integrated with the traditional shift and share model through using the location quotient method, which requires the same data set as does the shift and share model. The integration is shown to increase not only the content of decomposition but also a priori explanation of the model. Employment changes in commercial business sector for Taipei and Kaohsiung during 1981-86 and 1986-91 are analyzed to illustrate the proposed E-D model with the results compared with the traditional shift and share model. It is argued that the former has a much promising future of development.
期刊論文
1.Issarman, A. M.(1977)。The Location Quotient Approach to Estimating Regional Economic Impacts。Journal of the American Institute of Planners,43(1),290-293。  new window
2.North, Douglass C.、North, D. C.(1955)。Location Theory and Regional Economic Growth。Journal of Political Economy,63(3),243-258。  new window
3.吳功顯(1982)。臺灣東部地區區域產業結構及其發展之研究:區域研究轉移及分配方法之應用。臺灣銀行季刊,33(1),64-235。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Andrews, R. B.(1953)。Mechanics of the Urban Economic Base: Historical Development of the Base Concept。Land Economics,29,161-167。  new window
5.Andrikopoulos, A.、Brox, J.、Carvalho, E.(1990)。Shift-Share Analysis and Potential for Predicting Regional Growth Patterns: Some Evidence for the Regional of Quebec, Canada。Growth and Change,21(1),1-10。  new window
6.Arcellus, F. J.(1984)。An Extension to Shift-Share Analysis。Growth and Change,15(1),3-8。  new window
7.Ashby, L. D.(1964)。The Geographic Redistribution of Employment: An Examination of the Element of Change。Survey of Current Business,44,13-24。  new window
8.Ashby, L. D.(1968)。The Shift and Share Analysis: A Reply。Southern Economic Journal,33,423-425。  new window
9.Baeff, R. A.、Knight, P. L., III(1988)。Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis。Growth and Change,19(2),1-10。  new window
10.Berzeg, K.(1984)。A Note on Statistical Approaches to Shift-Share Analysis。Journal of Regional Science,24(2),277-285。  new window
11.Bishop, K. C.(1972)。Components of Change Analysis: Problems of Alternative Approaches to Industrial Structure。Regional Science,9,1-17。  new window
12.Brown, H. J.(1969)。Shift and Share Projections of Regional Economic Growth: an Empirical Test。Journal of Regional Science,9,113-114。  new window
13.Brown, H. J.(1971)。The Stability of the Regional Share Component: A Reply。Journal of Regional Science,11,113-114。  new window
14.Brown, H. J.(1973)。Shift and Share Projections Revisited: a Reply。Journal of Regional Science,13。  new window
15.Buck, T. W.(1970)。Shift and Share Analysis - Guide to Regional Policy?。Regional Studies,4。  new window
16.Corrado, C.、Mattey, J.(1997)。Capacity Utilization。The Journal of Economic Perspectives,11(1),151-167。  new window
17.Esteban-Marquildes, J. M.(1972)。Shift and Share Analysis Revisited。Regional and Urban Economics,2,445-450。  new window
18.Floy, C. F.、Sirmans, C. F.(1973)。Shift and Share Projection Revisited。Journal of Regional Science,13,115-120。  new window
19.Fothergill, S.、Gudgin, G.(1979)。In Defence of Shift-Share。Urban Studies,16,309-319。  new window
20.Fuchs, V. R.(1962)。Statistical Explanations of the Relative Shift of Manufacturing among Regions of the U. S.。Papers of the Regional Science Association,8,105-126。  new window
21.Haynes, K. E.、Machunda, Z. B.(1988)。Decomposition of Change in Spatial Employment Concentration: An Information-Theoretic Extension of Shift-Share Analysis。Papers of the Regional Science Association,65,101-113。  new window
22.Hoppes, R. B.(1997)。Shift-share Analysis of Regional Health Care Policy。Journal of Regional Analysis & Policy,27,35-45。  new window
23.Houston, D. B.(1967)。The Shift and Share Analysis of Regional Growth: a Critique。Southern Economic Journal,341,577-581。  new window
24.Klaaussem, L. H.、Paelinck, J. H. P.(1972)。Asymmetry in Shift and Share Analysis。Regional and Urban Economics,2,256-261。  new window
25.Mayer, W.(1975)。A Theoretical Justification for the Use of Location Quotient。Regional Science and Urban Economics,5,343-355。  new window
26.Paraskevopoulos, C. C.(1971)。The Stability of the Regional-Share Component: an Empirical Test。Journal of Regional Science,11,1107-1112。  new window
27.Polenske, K. R.、Lin, X.(1993)。Conserving Energy to Reduce Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China。Structural Change & Economic Dynamics,4(2),249-265。  new window
28.Rigby, D. L.(1992)。The Impact of Output and Productivity Changes on Manufacturing Employment。Growth and Change,23(4),405-427。  new window
29.Sakashita, N.(1973)。An Axiomatic Approach to Shift and Share Analysis。Regional and Urban Economics,3,263-272。  new window
30.Stevens, B. H.、Moore, Craig L.(1980)。A Critical Review of the Literature on Shift-Share as a Forecasting Technique。Journal of Regional Science,20,419-437。  new window
31.Tiebout, C. M.(1956)。Export and Regional Economic Growth。Journal of Political Economy,64(2),1160-1169。  new window
32.Wright, R. E.(1996)。Standardized Poverty Measurement。Journal of Economic Studies,23(4),3-17。  new window
會議論文
1.徐千雲、金家禾(1998)。臺北都會區產業空間變遷與都會中心專業化之研究。「中華民國區域科學學會1998年會會議」。臺北:中華民國區域科學學會。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.馮正民(1998)。都市規劃作業手冊(一):基本資料收集與調查分析作業手冊及規劃指標系統之建立。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
2.Brown, S. J.、Couslon, N. E.、Eugle, R. F.(1990)。Non-Cointegration and Econometric Evaluation of Models of Regional Shift and Share。0。  new window
學位論文
1.陳建全(1996)。地區行銷中產業發展策略之研究--以高雄市設置企業育成中心為例(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.蘇月香(1993)。臺灣中區製造業結構與空間分佈之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.林乾宗(1979)。臺灣東部地區產業結構之研究-移轉與分配方法之應用,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Dunn, E. S.、Lampard, E. E.、Muth, R. F.(1960)。Regions, Resources and Economic Growth。Baltimore:Johns Hopkins Press。  new window
2.Armstrong, H.、Taylor, J.(1985)。Regional Economics and Policy。London, UK:Philip Allan Publishers。  new window
3.(1996)。兩岸突破:中國工業區域分析。兩岸突破:中國工業區域分析。北京。  延伸查詢new window
4.李瑞麟(1994)。都市土地使用規劃。都市土地使用規劃。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
5.Bendavid-Val, A.(1991)。Regional and Local Economic Analysis for Practitioners。Regional and Local Economic Analysis for Practitioners。New York, NY。  new window
6.Dawson, J.(1982)。Shift and Share Analysis: A Bibliographic Review of Technique and Applications。Shift and Share Analysis: A Bibliographic Review of Technique and Applications。Monticells, IL。  new window
7.Goldberg, M.、Chinloy, P.(1983)。Urban Land Economics。Urban Land Economics。New York, NY。  new window
8.Harward, D. J.(1995)。International Trade and Regional Economies: The Impact of European Integration on the United States。International Trade and Regional Economies: The Impact of European Integration on the United States。Boulder, CO。  new window
9.Heilbrun, J.(1974)。Urban Economics and Public Policy。Urban Economics and Public Policy。New York, NY。  new window
10.Isard, W.(1960)。Method of Regional Analysis: An Introduction to Regional Science。Method of Regional Analysis: An Introduction to Regional Science。Cambridge, MA。  new window
11.Oppenheim, N.(1984)。Applied Models in Urban and Regional Analysis。Applied Models in Urban and Regional Analysis。Englewood Cliffs, NJ。  new window
12.(1992)。The MIT Dictionary of Modern Economics。The MIT Dictionary of Modern Economics。Cambridge, MA。  new window
13.Richardson, H. W.(1978)。Urban and Regional Economics。Urban and Regional Economics。New York, NY。  new window
14.Rognstad, R., Jr.(1990)。Economic Analysis System。Economic Analysis System。Springfield, MI。  new window
15.Theil, H.、Glosh, R.(1992)。A Comparison of Shift-Share and RAS Adjustment。Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics 24。Norwell, MA。  new window
圖書論文
1.Friedman, M.(1953)。The Methodology of Positive Economics。Essays in Positive Economics。Chicago, IL:University of Chicago Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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