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題名:交通與住宅政策對不動產短期均衡價格之影響--以高雄市為例
書刊名:運輸學刊
作者:陳彥仲 引用關係楊青桓
作者(外文):Chen, Yen-jongYang, Ching-huan
出版日期:1999
卷期:11:3
頁次:頁95-108
主題關鍵詞:住宅交通市場均衡Logit模型高雄市HousingTransportationMarket priceLOGIT modelKaohsiung
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:27
  • 點閱點閱:30
     1983年,CATLAS模型(Chicago Area Transportation / Land Use Analysis System) 的建立提供了交通與土地使用整合分析的實證工具。惟到目前為止,該模型被引用 於實務政策分析的研究並不多見。其原因一方面與該模型著重於短期市場均衡之理念有關, 兩另一方面國內之不動產市場結構是否適用該模型亦尚未清楚。本研究嘗試以高雄市為例, 檢視該模型在臺灣地區的實證能力。經以「高雄都會區運輸需求研究」、「高雄市住宅建設 計畫」之調查資料進行實證。結果發現在高雄地區高房價伴隨高空屋率之住宅市場結構下, 原始之供給次模型無法得到合理解釋,必須加以修正。本研究將供給模型分解為住宅存量函 數以及住宅使用機率函數。以修正後的模型進行分析,結果得到當對市區通勤汽機車實施管 制或同時提高通勤公車之行駛路權時,郊區之不動產價格因而上漲。而當增加住宅供給時, 不動產價格則如預期般下降。顯示經修正後的模型,已能合理反映高雄地區住宅市場結構現 況。
     The development of CATLAS model in 1983 provided an useful instrument in integrating urban transportation and land use. However, empirical applications embodied CATLAS structure are few. In this study, we modified the model according to the market structure of Taiwan urban housing. We spread the housing supply function of CATLAS into two parts: the housing stock function and the probability function of housing occupancy. A database manipulated from the Study of Transportation Demand in Kaohsiung Metropolitan Area and from the Housing Construction Plan ofKaohsiung City was used for empirical test. The results indicated that a regulation to commuting auto and/or increasing the level of right of way to commuting bus increases the real estate price in suburban area and a significant housing supply decreases the market price as expected. We conclude that the modified CATLAS model can reasonably reflect the Taiwan housing market structure.
期刊論文
1.Quigley, John M.(1976)。Housing Demand in the Short Run: An Analysis of Polytomous Choice。Explorations in Economic Research,3(1),76-102。  new window
2.馮正民(198612)。運輸使用者之效益衡量﹣﹣Logit模式的應用。運輸計劃,15(4),535-544。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.段良雄、張淳智(19921200)。建立個體住宅區位選擇模式之研究。運輸計劃,21(4),401-421。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.陳彥仲、Anas, Alex(19940900)。住宅及商業租金聯合均衡模型及交通政策影響分析--紐約都會區之實證研究。都市與計劃,21(2),129-148。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.陳彥仲、王健陽(19961200)。高雄市不同住戶層級對住宅屬性需求之研究。規劃學報,23,25-44。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.陳彥仲、陳泰州(19960600)。從臺灣地區住宅市場供需失調論住宅政策之調整。臺灣土地金融季刊,33(2)=128,1-13。  延伸查詢new window
7.Dewees, D. N.(1976)。The Effect of a Subway on Residential Property Values in Toronto。Journal of Urban Economics,4,57-74。  new window
8.馮正民、許侶馨(19891100)。屬性價格函數在捷運北淡沿線地價分析之應用。都市與計劃,16,113-130。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Lerman, S. R.(1977)。Location, Housing, Automobile Ownership, and Mode to Work: A Joint Choice Model。Transportation Research Record,610(1),6-11。  new window
10.Mills, E. S.(1967)。An Aggregated Model of Resource Allocation in a Metropolitan Area。The American Economic Review,57,197-210。  new window
11.段良雄(19830900)。運輸改善對房地價影響之研究。運輸計劃,12(3),383-394。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Anas, A.(1981)。The Estimation of Multinomial Logit Models of Joint Location and Travel Mode Choice from Aggregated Data。Journal of Regional Science,21(2),223-242。  new window
13.馮正民、楊靜音(19890900)。臺北都會區大眾捷運系統紅線對沿線地區發展之影響研究。運輸計劃,18(3),349-367。new window  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.張淳智(1992)。混合決策規則的個體住宅區位選擇模式(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.Waddell, P.(1987)。Factors Determining Household Choices of Residence, Workplace and Housing Tenure(博士論文)。The University of Texas at Dallas。  new window
圖書
1.De Leeuw, F.、Struyk, R. M.(1975)。The Web of Urban Housing。Washington D. C.:The Urban Land Institute。  new window
2.Anas, A.(1982)。Residential Location Markets and Urban Transportation, Economic Theory, Econometric and Policy Analysis with Discrete Choice Model。New York:Academic Press。  new window
3.Muth, Richard F.(1969)。Cities and Housing。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
4.Ben-Akiva, Moshe E.、Lerman, Steven R.(1985)。Discrete choice analysis: Theory and application to travel demand。MIT Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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