本文建構國內漁撈及養殖漁業所有漁產品之漁業生產及市場部門部份均衡模型，藉以分析亞太經濟合作會議（APEC）提前自願性部門別自由化套案（EVSL）下漁產品進口零關稅對臺灣地區遠洋、沿近海及養殖漁業之影響，並考量過去國內消費者肉類支出之成長率下，進口量將增加7.O倍，而國內總產量將下降20.1%，總產直下降32.2%，雖然消費者剩餘將增加9.1%，但生產者剩餘將減少26.1%。而以國內市場為主要銷售市場之國內養殖及沿近海漁業產量減少最劇，分別減少25.5%及24.8%，且養殖漁業勞動及土地使用量將減少三成以上，所遭受之衝擊和對社會經濟的影響程度據以提供未來農委會擬定「農產品受進口損害救助辦法」之參考依據。

　　　　　This paper tries to evaluate the impact of APEC Early Voluntary Sector Liberalization (EVSL) on the fisheries sector in Taiwan by applying the fisheries sector equilibrium model proposed by the authors. The simulation results of the seafood trade liberalization show that the import quantity will increase 7.0 times, while the total domestic production and value will decrease 20.1%, and 32.2%, respectively. Even though the consumer surplus will increase 9.1%, the producer surplus will decrease 26.1%. The domestic aquaculture, offshore and coastal fisheries, which depend mostly on the domestic market, suffer most severely with 25.5% and 24.8% decreases in production, respectively. The usage of land and employment in the aquacutlure sector dectreases more than 30%. The paper concludes with a discussion of the policy implication on how to justify the losses of the fisheries sector in Taiwan.