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題名:臺灣地區股票、外匯與貨幣市場間的關係--動態過程檢定
書刊名:交大管理學報
作者:王毓敏林苑宜
作者(外文):Wang, Yu-minLin, Yuan-yi
出版日期:1999
卷期:19:1
頁次:頁153-172
主題關鍵詞:Ito過程動態因素報酬效果波動性效果交互效果Ito processIto's lemmaDynamic factorReturn effectVolatililty effectInteraction effect
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:14
  • 點閱點閱:23
本文的主要目的在於以動態過程討論金融市場間的關係,及決定報酬與波動性的因素,並以臺灣地區的資料來驗證數個假說。本文的實證假說立基於金融市場間會相互影響而來的,以Itô過程和隨機微積分導出,強調金融市場間的動態關係,與以往以靜態為主的模型有很大的差異。綜合本文的研究結果,可以歸納為下列幾點結論:(1)發生臺海危機和東南亞金融風暴後,政府所採行穩定股票市場的措施確實發揮了穩定股票市場的功用。(2)東南亞金融風暴發生後,金融市場波動性的來源為外匯市場,因此,政府穩定外匯市場有助於金融市場的穩定。(3)臺幣升值時,股票市場上漲。(4)四個決定金融市場報酬的因素中,報酬效果的影響力最大,波動性效果次之,接著是動態因素,交互效果則不具影響力。(5)金融市場間波動性會相互影響,但其影響的方向和影響力在不同的期間有不同的結果。
The purpose of this paper is to test the relationships and the factors determining the returns and volatility among Taiwan financial markets through the dynamic process. We use Itô processes and stochastic calculus to derive the empirical hypotheses based on the assumption of financial markets affect each other. The model emphasizes the dynamic relationships among financial markets that is different from the static model in the previous literature. We find the following resutls: (1) The government stabilizes stock market by stable policy on China's military maneuver and financial crisis. (2) The source of uncertainty is foreign exchange market after financial crisis, so the government can decrease the volatility of financial markets by stabilizing foreign exchange market. (3) The stock market index increases during the New Taiwan Dollar appreciation. (4) There are four factors (interaction effect, volatility effect, return effect, dynamic factor) to determine the return of financial markets. (5) The volatility of financial markets affect each other.
期刊論文
1.Malliaris, A. G.、Urrutia, J. L.(1998)。Volume and price relationships: hypotheses and testing for agricultural futures。The Journal of Futures Markets,18(1),53-72。  new window
2.王毓敏、徐守德(19980700)。亞洲股市間報酬與波動性外溢效果之研究。Proceedings of the National Science Council: Part C--Humanities and Social Sciences,8(3),450-460。  延伸查詢new window
3.Soenen, L. A.、Hennigar, E. S.(1988)。An Analysis of Exchange Rates and Stock Prices--The U. S. Experience between 1980 and 1986。Akron Business and Economic Review,19(4),7-16。  new window
4.康信鴻、初家祥(19960300)。臺灣地區外匯市場與股票市場互動關係之實驗研究--聯立方程式模型。中山管理評論,4(1),113-134。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Fung, H. G.、Lee, W.、Pan, M. S.(1996)。International Interest Rate Linkage: Evidence from the Money Markets in the United Kingdom。Journal of Multinational Financial Management,6,59-71。  new window
6.Chow, Gregory C.(1960)。Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions。Econometrica,28(3),531-534。  new window
7.Mok, Henry M. K.(1993)。Causality of interest rate, exchange rate and stock prices at stock market open and close in Hong Kong。Asia Pacific Journal of Management,10(2),123-143。  new window
8.Granger, Clive W. J.(1986)。Developments in the study of co-integrated Economic Variables。Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,48(3),213-228。  new window
9.Schwert, G. William(1989)。Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?。Journal of Finance,44(5),1115-1153。  new window
10.吳欽杉、張宮熊(1996)。臺灣股票市場、貨幣市場與外匯市場資訊傳遞結構之研究。中國財務學刊,4(2),21-40。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Bachman, D.、Choi, J. J.、Jeon, B. N.、Kopecky, K. J.(1996)。Common factors in international stock prices: evidence from a cointegration study。International Review of Financial Analysis,5(1),39-53。  new window
學位論文
1.錢盡忠(1988)。台灣地區匯率與股票價格關係之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.許村泰(1988)。市場因素影響股價變動之分析--以台灣股票市場為例(碩士論文)。國立中央大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.黃毅(1989)。市場因素與股價關係之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Maliiaris, A. G.、Brock, W. A.(1982)。Stochastic Methods in Economics and Finance。Amsterdam:North-Holland Press。  new window
2.Davidson, Russell、MacKinnon, James G.(1993)。Estimation and Inference in Econometrics。Oxford University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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