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題名：決策不確定效應之模型建立
作者：劉世南
書刊名：不確定下的判斷與決策行為：認知心理學與幸福經濟學的取向
頁次：1-53
出版日期：2012
出版項：高雄:麗文文化
主題關鍵詞：不確定效應；決策管理
學門：管理學
資料類型：專書論文
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期刊論文
1.Frisch, Deborah、Baron, Jonathan(1988)。Ambiguity and rationality。Journal of Behavioral Decision Making，1，149-157。  new window
2.Fox, C. R.、Tversky, A.(1995)。Ambiguity Aversion and Comparative Ignorance。Quarterly Journal of Economics，110(3)，585-603。  new window
3.MacDonald, A. P. Jr.(1970)。Revised scale for ambiguity tolerance: Reliability and validity。Psychological Reports，26(3)，791-798。  new window
4.Bell, David E.(1985)。Disappointment in Decision Making under Uncertainty。Operations Research，33(1)，1-27。  new window
5.Kruglanski, Arie W.、Webster, Donna M.(1996)。Motivated closing of the mind: 'Seizing' and 'Freezing'。Psychological Review，103(2)，263-283。  new window
6.Schmeidler, D.(1989)。Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity。Econometrica，57(3)，571-587。  new window
7.Heath, Chip、Tversky, Amos(1991)。Preference and Belief: Ambiguity and Competence in Choice under Uncertainty。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，4(1)，5-28。  new window
8.Tversky, A.、Kahneman, D.(1992)。Advance in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，5(4)，297-323。  new window
9.Shafir, E.、Simonson, I.、Tversky, A.(1993)。Reason-based choice。Cognition，49(1/2)，11-36。  new window
10.Taylor, K. A.(1995)。Testing credit and blame attributions as explanations for choices under ambiguity。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes，64(2)，128-137。  new window
11.Fox, C. R.、Rogers, B. A.、Tversky, A.(1996)。Options traders exhibit subadditive decision weights。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，13(1)，5-17。  new window
12.Fischhoff, Baruch、Slovic, Paul、Lichtenstein, Sarah(1977)。Knowing with Certainty: The Appropriateness of Extreme Confidence。Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance，3(4)，552-564。  new window
13.Bell, David E.(1982)。Regret in Decision Making under Uncertainty。Operations Research，30(5)，961-981。  new window
14.Gonzalez, Richard、Wu, George(1999)。On the Shape of the Probability Weighting Function。Cognitive Psychology，38，129-166。  new window
15.Ellsberg, Daniel(1961)。Risk, Ambiguity, and the Savage Axioms。Quarterly Journal of Economics，75(4)，643-669。  new window
16.Curley, S. P.、Yates, J. F.(1989)。An Empirical Evaluation of Descriptive Models of Ambiguity Reactions in Choice Situations。Journal of Mathematical Psychology，33，397-427。  new window
17.Einhorn, H. J.、Hogarth, R. M.(1985)。Ambiguity and Uncertainty in Probabilistic Inference。Psychological Review，92，433-461。  new window
18.Gilboa, I.(1987)。Expected Utility with Purely Subjective Non-Additive Probabilities。Journal of Mathematical Economics，16，65-88。  new window
19.Hogarth, R. M.(1989)。Ambiguity and Competitive Decision Making: Some Implications and Tests。Annals of Operations Research，19(1)，31-50。  new window
20.Gardenfors, P.、Sahlin, Nils-Eric(1982)。Unreliable probabilities, risk taking, and decision making。Synthese，53，361-386。  new window
21.劉世南、鄭中平(20020600)。決策加權函數的形式及心理解釋。中華心理學刊，44(1)，57-73。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.Bordly, R. F.、Hazen, G. B.(1991)。SSB and weighted linear utility as expected utility with suspicion。Management Science，37，396-409。  new window
23.Gamerer, C. F.、Weber, M.(1992)。Recent developments in modeling preference: Uncertainty and ambiguity。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，5，325-370。  new window
24.Curley, S. P.、Yates, F.、Abrams, R.(1986)。Psychological Sources of Ambiguity Avoidance。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes，38，230-256。  new window
25.Frenkel-Brunswik, E.(1949)。Intolerance of ambiguity as an emotional and perceptual variable。Journal of Personality，18，103-143。  new window
26.Hattrup, K.、Ford, J. K.(1995)。The role of information characteristics and accountability in modeling stereotype-driven processes during social decision making。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes，63，73-86。  new window
27.Hazen, G.(1987)。Subjective weighted linear utility。Theory and Decision，23，261-282。  new window
28.Hogarth, R.、Einhorn, H.(1990)。Venture theory: A model of decision weights。Management Science，36，780-803。  new window
29.Hogarth, R.、Kunreuther, H.(1995)。Decision making under ignorance: Arguing with yourself。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，10(1)，15-36。  new window
30.Kahn, B.、Sarin, R. K.(1988)。Modeling ambiguity in decisions under uncertainty。Journal of Consumer Research，15，265-272。  new window
31.Keinan, G.(1994)。Effects of stress and tolerance of ambiguity on magical thinking。Journal of Personality and Social Psychology，64，48-55。  new window
32.Lattimore, P. M.、Baker, J. R.、Witte, A. D.(1992)。The influence of probability on risky choice。Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization，17，377-400。  new window
33.Roney, C. J. R.、Sorrentino, R. M.(1987)。Uncertainty orientation and person perception: Individual differences in categorization。Social Cognition，5，369-382。  new window
34.Segal, U.(1987)。The Ellsberg paradox and risk aversion: An anticipated utility approach。International Economic Review，28，175-202。  new window
35.Shafir, E.、Tversky, A.(1992)。Thinking through uncertainty: Nonconsequential reasoning and choice。Cognitive Psychology，24，449-467。  new window
36.Simon, M.、Houghton, S. M.、Aquino, K.(1999)。Cognitive biases, risk perception, and venture formation: How individuals decide to start companies。Journal of Business Venturing，14，1-15。  new window
37.Smith, V. L.(1969)。Measuring nonmonetary utilities in uncertain choices: The ellsberg urn。Quarterly Journal of Economics，83，324-329。  new window
38.Tversky, A.、Fox, C. R.(1995)。Weighting risk and uncertainty。Psychological Review，102，269-283。  new window
39.Weber, E. U.(1994)。From subjective probabilities to decision weights: The effect of asymmetric loss functions on the evaluation of uncertain outcomes and events。Psychological Bulletin，115，228-242。  new window
40.Winkler, R. L.(1991)。Ambiguity, probability, preference, and decision analysis。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，4，285-297。  new window
41.Winkler, R. L.(1992)。Ambiguity and decision modeling: A preference-based approach。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty，5，389-407。  new window
42.Budner, S.(1962)。Intolerance of ambiguity as a personality variable。Journal of Personality，30(1)，29-50。  new window
43.Griffin, Dale、Tversky, Amos(1992)。The Weighing of Evidence and the Determinants of Confidence。Cognitive Psychology，24(3)，411-435。  new window
44.Shane, Scott A.、Venkataraman, Sankaran(2000)。The promise of entrepreneurship as a field of research。Academy of Management Review，25(1)，217-226。  new window
45.Baron, Robert A.(1998)。Cognitive mechanisms in entrepreneurship: Why and When entrepreneurs think differently than other people。Journal of Business Venturing，13(4)，275-294。  new window
46.Kahneman, Daniel、Tversky, Amos(1979)。Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision under Risk。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society，47(2)，263-292。  new window
47.Hu, Li-tze、Bentler, Peter M.(1998)。Fit indices in covariance structure modeling: Sensitivity to underparamenterized model misspecification。Psychological Methods，3(4)，424-453。  new window
會議論文
1.劉世南(2001)。壓力與不確定容忍度對魔術思考產生的效應--以台灣九二—震災事件認知為例。中國心理學會第四十屆年會。  延伸查詢new window
2.劉世南、袁建中、羅達賢、高宜君(2002)。創業家的認知特徵與決策類型。2002年決策科技研討會。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.劉世南(1998)。決策不確定效應分流機制之研究(博士論文)。國立臺灣大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Fishbum, P. C.(1989)。Nonlinear Preference and Utility Theory。Baltimore：John Hopkin University Press。  new window
2.Rokeach, M.(1960)。The open and closed mind: Investigation into the nature of belief system and personality system。NY：Basic Books。  new window
圖書論文
1.Alpert, M.、Raiffa, H.(1982)。A progress report on the training of probability assessors。Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases。NY：Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Tetlock, P. E.(1992)。The impact of accountability on judgment and choice: Toward a social contingency model。Advances in experimental social psychology。Academic Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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