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題名:基於路徑依賴視角的我國MAH制度實施演化博弈分析
書刊名:中國管理科學
作者:戚湧周星
出版日期:2018
卷期:2018(10)
頁次:187-196
主題關鍵詞:路徑依賴MAH制度制度變遷演化博弈Path dependenceMAH systemInstitutional changesEvolutionary game
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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MAH制度是國際公認通行的藥品上市審批制度,具有生產形式多樣化、技術轉讓自由、節約市場資源以及提升政府行政監管質量等優點。2016年,我國在北京、上海等10個省(市)開展藥品上市許可持有人制度(MAH)試點工作。本文根據我國藥品上市制度變遷的路徑依賴問題,構建演化博弈模型,分別對由藥品研發機構、藥品生產企業構成的內部制度變遷和由政府、消費者構成的外部制度變遷進行分析,深入研究博弈主體行為的演化路徑。研究表明:內部制度和外部制度路徑依賴是制約我國醫藥產業發展和新藥研發動力不足的主要原因,藥品上市內部制度變遷主要通過規模效應和適應性預期影響藥品研發機構和藥品生產企業,從而產生藥品上市內部制度路徑依賴;藥品上市外部制度變遷主要通過學習效應和協調效應影響政府和消費者,從而產生藥品上市外部制度路徑依賴。在此基礎上,運用Matlab數值分析對藥品制度變遷過程中的最優穩定策略進行探討,解釋了我國MAH制度變遷過程中存在的路徑依賴問題,為完善我國MAH制度、破除路徑依賴提供了一定參考。
MAH system is a drug listing system, which is internationally recognized, features the diversification of production form, freedom of technology transfer, saving market resources, improving the quality of government administrative supervision and so on. In 2016, China carries out the drug marketing authorization holder system(MAH) in 10 provinces(cities), such as Beijing and Shanghai. Based on the path-dependence problem of China’s drug listing system, an evolutionary game model is constructed, analyzing the internal institutional changes made up by drug research and development agencies, and pharmaceutical production enterprises, and external institutional changes made by governments and consumers, and the evolution path of game subject behavior is deeply studied. Research has shown that the internal system and the external system path dependence are the main reasons that restrict the development of China’s pharmaceutical industry and the insufficient power of the new drug research and development. The internal institutional changes of drug listed companies mainly affect drug research and development institutions and drug production enterprises through scale effect and adaptability expectation, thus leading to the path dependence of the internal system of drug listing; The external institutional change of drug market is mainly influenced by the learning effect and the coordination effect of the government and consumers, thus generating the path dependence of the external system of drug listing. Based on this, Matlab is used to carry out numerical analysis to discuss the optimal stability strategy in the process of drug system change. And it has explained the path dependence of the village during the transformation of MAH system in China, which provides some reference for perfecting the path dependence of MAH system in our country.
 
 
 
 
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