| 期刊論文1. | Chun, Young Han、Rainey, Hal G.(2005)。Goal ambiguity and organizational performance in U.S. federal agencies。Journal of Public Administration Research and Theory,15(4),529-557。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Sorensen, John H.(2000)。Hazard warning systems: Review of 20 years of progress。Natural Hazards Review,1(2),119-125。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Endsley, Mica R.(1995)。Toward a Theory of Situation Awareness in Dynamic Systems。Human Factors: The Journal of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society,37(1),32-64。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Lindell, Michael K.、Perry, Ronald W.(2012)。The Protective Action Decision Model: Theoretical Modifications and Additional Evidence。Risk Analysis,32(4),616-632。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Petak, William J.(1985)。Emergency Management: A Challenge for Public Administration。Public Administration Review,45(Special Issue),3-7。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Milliken, Frances J.(1987)。Three types of perceived uncertainty about the environment: State, effect, and response uncertainty。Academy of management review,12(1),133-143。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Duncan, Robert B.(1972)。Characteristics of Organizational Environments and Perceived Environmental Uncertainty。Administrative Science Quarterly,17(3),313-327。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Weber, Jeffrey A.(1999)。A response to public administration's lack of a general theory of uncertainty: A theoretical vision of uncertainty。Public Administration Quarterly,23(1),18-45。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | 陳正改(20200300)。颱風政治學--「颱風假」的困惑與啟示。中華防災學刊,12(1),57-78。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Bebbington, Mark、Zitikis, Ricardas(2016)。Dynamic Uncertainty in Cost-Benefit Analysis of Evacuation Prior to a Volcanic Eruption。Mathematical Geosciences,48(2),123-148。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Bostrom, Ann、Morss, Rebecca、Demuth, Julie、Lazrus, Heather、Lazo, Jeffrey K.(2018)。Eyeing the Storm: How Residents of Coastal Florida See Hurricane Forecasts and Warnings。International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,30,105-119。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Bowser, Gregg C.、Cutter, Susan L.(2015)。Stay or Go? Examining Decision Making and Behavior in Hurricane Evacuations。Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development,57(6),28-41。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Carlson, Jean M.、Alderson, David L.、Stromberg, Sean P.、Bassett, Danielle S.、Craparo, Emily M.、Guiterrez-Villarreal, Francisco、Otani, Thomas(2014)。Measuring and Modeling Behavioral Decision Dynamics in Collective Evacuation。PLoS ONE,9(2)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Comfort, Louise K.、Wukich, Clayton(2013)。Developing Decision-Making Skills for Uncertain Conditions: The Challenge of Educating Effective Emergency Managers。Journal of Public Affairs Education,19(1),53-71。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Cutter, Susan L.(2016)。The Landscape of Disaster Resilience Indicators in the USA。Natural Hazards,80(2),741-758。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Dye, Karen Chinander、Eggers, J. P.、Shapira, Zur(2014)。Tradeoffs in a Tempest: Stakeholder Influence on Hurricane Evacuation Decisions。Organization Science,25(4),1009-1025。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Fournier, Celeste、Campbell, Gerald(2016)。Evacuation Decision-Making: Building a Model to Account for Risk-Taking Preference。Journal of Business Continuity & Emergency Planning,10(4),308-319。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Gall, Robert、Franklin, James、Marks, Frank、Rappaport, Edward N.、Toepfer, Frederick(2013)。The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project。Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,94(3),329-343。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Hoekstra, Stephanie、Montz, Burrell E.(2017)。Decisions under Duress: Factors Influencing Emergency Management Decision Making During Superstorm Sandy。Natural Hazards,88(1),453-471。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Hoffman, Robert R.、Crandall, Beth、Shadbolt, Nigel(1998)。Use of the Critical Decision Method to Elicit Expert Knowledge: A Case Study in the Methodology of Cognitive Task Analysis。Human Factors: The Journal of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society,40(2),254-276。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Huang, Jr-Chuan、Yu, Cheng-Ku、Lee, Jun-Yi、Cheng, Lin-Wen、Lee, Tsung-Yu、Kao, Shuh-Ji(2012)。Linking Typhoon Tracks and Spatial Rainfall Patterns for Improving Flood Lead Time Predictions Over a Mesoscale Mountainous Watershed: Rainfall Patterns and Flood Lead Time。Water Resources Research,48(9)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | Kolen, Bas、Helsloot, Ira(2012)。Time Needed to Evacuate the Netherlands in the Event of Large-Scale Flooding: Strategies and Consequences。Disasters,36(4),700-722。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Kolen, Bas、Helsloot, Ira(2014)。Decision-Making and Evacuation Planning for Flood Risk Management in the Netherlands。Disasters,38(3),610-635。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | McEntire, David A.(2005)。Revisiting the Definition of "Hazard" and the Importance of Reducing Vulnerability。Journal of Emergency Management,3(4),9-11。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Rappaport, Edward N.、Franklin, James L.、Avila, Lixion A.、Baig, Stephen R.、Beven, John L. II、Blake, Eric S.、Burr, Christopher A.、Jiing, Jiann-Gwo、Juckins, Christopher A.、Knabb, Richard D.、Landsea, Christopher W.、Mainelli, Michelle、Mayfield, Max、McAdie, Colin J.、Pasch, Richard J.、Sisko, Christopher、Stewart, Stacy R.、Tribble, Ahsha N.(2009)。Advances and Challenges at the National Hurricane Center。Weather and Forecasting,24(2),395-419。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | Regnier, Eva(2006)。Public Evacuation Decisions and Hurricane Track Uncertainty。Management Science,54(1),16-28。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 27. | Romzek, Barbara S.、Dubnick, Melvin J.(1987)。Accountability and the Public Service: Lessons from the Challenger Tragedy。Public Administration Review,47(3),227-238。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 28. | Sausgruber, Johann Thomas、Mölk, Michael、Schreiner, Ivo(2012)。Evacuation or Protection? Risk Analysis as a Tool for Decision Making in the Case of a Residential Building Endangered by Rockfall。Geomechanics and Tunnelling,5(4),355-367。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 29. | Üster, Halit、Wang, Xinghua、Yates, Justin T.(2018)。Strategic Evacuation Network Design (SEND) under Cost and Time Considerations。Transportation Research Part B: Methodological,107,124-145。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 30. | Wang, Austin H.-E.(2020)。Efficiency over Generosity? Evidence of Electoral Accountability from Typhoon Dayoff in Taiwan。Asian Journal of Political Science,28(1),32-46。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 31. | Wood, Nathan J.、Wilson, Rick I.、Ratliff, Jamie L.、Peters, Jeff、MacMullan, Ed、Krebs, Tessa、Shoaf, Kimberley、Miller, Kevin(2017)。Community Disruptions and Business Costs for Distant Tsunami Evacuations Using Maximum versus Scenario-Based Zones。Natural Hazards,86(2),619-643。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 32. | Morss, Rebecca、Lazo, Jeffrey、Demuth, Julie(2010)。Examining the Use of Weather Forecasts in Decision Scenarios: Results from a US Survey with Implications for Uncertainty Communication。Meteorological Applications,17(2),149-162。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 33. | Morss, Rebecca E.、Demuth, Julie L.、Bostrom, Ann、Lazo, Jeffrey K.、Lazrus, Heather(2015)。Flash Flood Risks and Warning Decisions: A Mental Models Study of Forecasters, Public Officials, and Media Broadcasters in Boulder, Colorado。Risk Analysis,35(11),2009-2028。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 34. | Moynihan, Donald P.(2012)。Extra-Network Organizational Reputation and Blame Avoidance in Networks: The Hurricane Katrina Example: Blame Avoidance in Networks。Governance,25(4),567-588。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 會議論文1. | Kolen, Bas(2016)。Risk Based Decision Making for Evacuation in an Uncertain World。E3S Web of Conferences。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 研究報告1. | 楊永年(2012)。因應複合式災難之停班停課決策機制之研究 (計畫編號:PG10108-0043)。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 學位論文1. | 陳郁涵(2018)。西南季風氣流與颱風路徑對颱風離陸後台灣降雨之影響(博士論文)。國立臺灣大學。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | Hutchins, Edwin(1995)。Cognition in the Wild。Cambridge, Massachusetts:MIT Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Tobin, Graham A.、Montz, Burrell E.(1997)。Natural Hazards: Explanation and Integration。New York, NY:The Guilford Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Bankoff, Greg、Frerks, George、Hilhorst, Dorothea(2004)。Mapping vulnerability: Disasters, development and people。Earthscan。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Weick, Karl E.(1995)。Sensemaking in Organizations。Sage。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Emerson, Robert M.、Fretz, Rachel I.、Shaw, Linda L.(2011)。Writing ethnographic fieldnotes。University of Chicago Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Corbin, Juliet、Strauss, Anselm、Strauss, A. L.(2015)。Basics of qualitative research: techniques and procedures for developing grounded theory。Sage International, Ltd.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Endsley, Mica R.、Jones, Debra G.(2011)。Designing for Situation Awareness: An Approach to User-centered Design。CRC Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Fagel, Michael J.(2011)。Principles of Emergency Management and Emergency Operations Centers (EOC)。CRC Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Fuchs, Sven、Thaler, Thomas(2018)。Vulnerability and Resilience to Natural Hazards。Cambridge University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Klein, Gary A.(2017)。Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions。The MIT Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Mileti, Dennis、Sorensen, John(1990)。Communication of Emergency Public Warnings: A Social Science Perspective and State-of-the-art Assessment。Oak Ridge National Laboratory。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Mileti, Dennis、Sorensen, John、Bogard, William(1985)。Evacuation Decision-Making: Process and Uncertainty。Oak Ridge National Laboratory。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Rainey, Hal G.(2014)。Understanding and Managing Public Organizations。Jossey-Bass。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Waugh, William、Kathleen, Tierney(2007)。Emergency Management: Principles and Practice for Local Government。ICMA Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Yin, Robert K.(2016)。Qualitative Research from Start to Finish。The Guilford Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 單篇論文1. | 林秉煜(2013)。民國102年颱風調查報告:第15號康芮Kong Rey颱風(1315),http://photino.cwb.gov.tw/rdcweb/lib/cd/cd02tyrp/typ/CWB_web_102/finail_102_1315_Kong-Rey_p26.pdf。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | 黃椿喜(2012)。民國101年颱風調查報告:第14號天秤Tembin颱風(1214),中央氣象局氣象預報中心。,http://photino.cwb.gov.tw/rdcweb/lib/cd/cd02tyrp/typ/2012/final_101-1214_Tembin_p26_fred_revision.pdf。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 其他1. | (20150930)。10年來誤放多少颱風假?數據找答案,https://udn.com/upf/newmedia/2015_data/20150930_udntyphoon/udntyphoon/index.html。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | (20180711)。新北與北基不同調.林右昌:朱立倫在國外怕被責難。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | 梁珮綺(20190930)。北北基共識決放假.柯文哲:考量首都生活圈。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書論文1. | Cannon, Terry(1994)。Vulnerability Analysis and the Explanation of 'Natural' Disasters。Disasters, Development and Environment。John Wiley & Sons, Inc.。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Lindell, Michael K.(2018)。Communicating Imminent Risk。Handbook of Disaster Research。Springer International Publishing。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Perry, Ronald W.(1991)。Managing Disaster Response Operations。Emergency Management: Principles and Practice for Local Government。International City Management Association。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |