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題名:高速鐵路最適停站方式之研究
作者:沈進成 引用關係
作者(外文):SHEN, CHING-CHENG
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:交通管理(科學)學系
指導教授:張有恆
學位類別:博士
出版日期:1996
主題關鍵詞:高速鐵路列車停站方式模糊多目標規劃HSRTRAIN STOPPING SCHEDULEFUZZY MULTIOBJECTIVE PROGRAMMING
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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高速鐵路系統列車停站方式,直接影響旅客之停站損失時間、營運者之營
運成本與利潤,顯見停站方式是規劃高速鐵路系統營運計畫之重要課題。
本研究整合停站方式與營運計畫之關係,以營運者營運成本最小化、旅客
之停站損失時間最小化及與營運者利潤最大化等三個目標,構建模糊多目
標高速鐵路最適變動停站方式模式。該模式為一整合停站方式與營運計畫
之一般化模式,不僅可在旅客需求空間F ?為多對多(many-to-many)之型
態下,同時求解列車停站方式、班次數、各個停站方式所承運之站間旅客
數及系統營運所需列車數,使系統達到最佳化外;尚可應用來分析不同之
旅客空間分佈型態對列車停站方式之影響。在模糊多目標規劃法中,本研
究採用輔助最大最小運算法來改善Max-Min運算法之缺點,以確保所求得
之妥協解具有唯一性,而且是非劣解;同時也針對正理想解償付表為劣解
之問題加以改善,使所求得妥協解更為合理。本研究以停站變數來構建模
糊多目標高速鐵路最適變動停站方式模式,並將所構建之非線性整數規劃
模式轉換成線性整數規劃模式,以增加模式求解之容易度。在模式之求解
效率方面,一方面應用具有補償性之模糊總計函數,發展啟發式求解方法
來求解模糊多目標規劃模式,所求得之營運成本與最佳解完全相同,而旅
客停站損失時間與最佳解之差異也在5%以內。另一方面,以啟發式求解法
來估算營運成本下限值,所求得之下限值與最佳解之差異程度約為1.4%以
內;而所求得營運班次及系統所需列車數之下限值,與最佳解非常接近,
顯示所構建之啟發式求解方法頗具實用價值。本研究透過重心法對可能性
多目標規劃法之缺點進行修正,來分析站間需求、票價及營運成本等營運
參數之不確定性,對停站方式之影響。修正後之可能性多目標規劃法除可
簡化求解過程外,而且能確實求得不同參數值下之最適妥協解,且其目標
值之可能性分佈較α-cut法及可能性多目標規劃法合理。本研究以台灣地
區高速鐵路來進行實證研究,獲致以下成果:1.當停站方式由固定四種增
為七種時,每年之營運成本及旅客停站損失時間成本,由68億元降為58億
元;當停站方式為變動之情況下所求得之停站方式及營運計畫又較固定七
種停站方式,每年約節省之營運成本及旅客停站損失時間成本約為2億元
,顯見經由本研究所構建高速鐵路最適變動停站方式模式所求得之停站方
式,確實能與旅客需求空間分佈型態相配合,以降低營運成本及旅客停站
損失時間成本。2.在停站方式方面,採用直達車及越站停車方式能有效降
低營運成本及旅客停站損失時間成本。3.本研究所構建模糊多目標高速鐵
路最適變動停站方式模式,也可用來分析較適當之列車容量。本研究實證
分析所歸納出之結論,將可提供相關單位在規劃高速鐵路系統停站方式、
營運計畫及場站設施之規劃與設計,以及後續相關研究之參考。
ABSTRACTTrain stopping scheduling has a great influence on both
the user''s travel time loss and the operator''s operating cost
and profit in a high speed rail (HSR) system. This research
develops a fuzzy multiobjective optimal model for train stopping
scheduling which integrates the train stopping schedule and the
operations plan. The objectives of the model are the operator''s
operating costs, the user''s travel time loss, and the operator''s
operating profits. Optimal solutions of the model include the
train stopping schedule, frequency, vehicle fleets, and seats
allocation, which are determined simultaneously according to the
many-to-many demand distribution pattern. The model can be used
to analyze how the optimal train stopping schedule is affected
by the demand distribution pattern.In fuzzy multiobjective
programming, the augmented max-min operator is used to guarantee
a nondominated compromise solution. In order to obtain a
reasonable compromise solution, the positive-ideal solutions are
modified to ensure their non-dominance.The fuzzy multiobjective
optimal model to be solved is a nonlinear integer programming
model. Instead of using links in the train stopping schedule,
the model uses stations representing nodes as variables. As a
result, this nonlinear model can be easily transferred into a
linear integer programming model, as stations can be treated
independently. This optimal approach is usually applicable for
small scale problems. To accommodate a large scale problem, this
research develops heuristic algorithms by using a compensatory
fuzzy sets aggregation operator. The operating cost obtained by
the heuristic algorithms is the same as the optimal solution,
and the difference on the user''s travel time is less than 5%. In
addition, the difference between the lower bounds of operating
costs estimated by the heuristic algorithms and that of the
optimal solution is less than 1.4 %. The lower bounds of
frequency and vehicle fleets obtained by the heuristic
algorithms are closed to the optimal solution. The empirical
study indicates that the heuristic algorithms have practical
advantages over optimal approaches.To analyze how the
uncertainty of the demand volume, fare, and operating unit costs
affects the train stopping schedule and the operations plans, a
possibilistic multiobjective programming model is developed by
integrating the centroid rule for defuzzifying the fuzzy
parameters. The model simplifies existing solution procedure
such as α-cut and possibilistic theory. It can always obtain
the optimal compromised solution among different parameters, and
generate better possibilistic distributions of the objectives
than existing methods.An empirical research is undertaken for
the HSR system in Taiwan. Some conclusions can be summarized as
follows:1. When the number of fixed train stopping schedules
increases from four to seven, the annual operating cost and the
user''s travel time cost decrease from NT$ 6.8 billions to NT$
5.8 billions. The optimal solution with variable train stopping
schedules indicates that the operating cost and the user''s
travel time cost decrease from NT$ 5.8 billions to NT$ 5.6
billions in comparison with the case of seven fixed train
stopping schedules. This suggests that the better the train
stopping schedules matches the demand distribution pattern, the
more the operating cost and the user''s travel time cost can be
reduced.2. The use of the express service and the skip-stop
service in the train stopping schedules can reduce the operating
cost and the user''s travel time cost.3. The fuzzy multiobjective
optimal model can be used to analyze the optimal vehicle
capacity of the HSR system.The results of this research can be
used as the guidelines for optimal train stopping scheduling,
operations planning, and station planning and design. The
optimal train stopping scheduling model developed can serve as a
basis for train scheduling in a HSR system.l time loss and the
operator''s operating cost and profit in a high speed rail (HSR)
system.
 
 
 
 
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