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題名:網路外部性下雙佔廠商之技術標準選擂與產品相容性決策之研究
作者:洪廣朋
作者(外文):Hung, Kuang-Peng
校院名稱:國立臺灣大學
系所名稱:商學研究所
指導教授:周善瑜, 陳業寧
學位類別:博士
出版日期:1997
主題關鍵詞:系統產品網路外部性技術標準相容性賽局理論SystemNetwork ExternalityTechnology StandardsCompatibilityGame Theory
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本研究針對系統產品之特性,探討此產業內廠商的兩項決策議題:一
是廠商之技術標準選擇;二是廠商設計產品之相容性決策。本研究以網路
外部性與相容性為變數,建立雙佔廠商之賽局模型,以暸解影響廠商技術
標準與相容性決策之因素。 本研究的第一個模型探討廠商技術標準的
選擇問題。假設產品具有網路外部性、消費者之偏好有差異性、及存在理
性預期均衡,探討廠商技術標準的選擇:廠商可以選擇維持舊技術標準之
漸進創新,或是取代舊技術標準之革命創新。結果發現:影響廠商技術採
用之因素有技術標準的利益、舊技術標準的安裝基礎、網路外部性、廠商
選擇技術標準所獲報酬之對稱性、及廠商選擇之順序等等。 本研究亦
發現其他條件不變下,廠商選擇革命創新並不保證能成為技術競爭之勝利
者。如果兩家廠商選擇技術標準所獲得的報酬為對稱,則廠商選擇革命創
新的條件是,革命創新相對於漸進創新的價值必須大於舊技術標準的網路
利益,及造成不相容標準的競爭損失。網路利益與相容利益隨舊技術安裝
基礎、與網路外部性之增加而增加。 如果兩家廠商選擇漸進創
新時獲得不同的報酬,例如產業存在支配廠商是漸進技術的領先者。此時
技術報酬將影響廠商之選擇,第一、技術報酬不同使得廠商對革命創新給
予不同的評價,使得均衡時兩家廠商會選擇不同的技術標準。第二、此報
酬的差距會影響廠商的相容意願,進而影響廠商的技術標準選擇。技術報
酬之差距對廠商相容意願之影響,具有兩項管理涵意:第一、支配廠商可
以改進漸進創新的方式,增加劣勢廠商之相容意願,使得劣勢廠商選擇漸
進創新的可能性增加。第二、廠商相容意願不同,會造成廠商選擇的順序
會影響廠商的利潤。因此如果網路外部性、與兩家廠商技術差距夠大時,
技術領先廠商宜採取領導者的角色。 本研
究亦發現,劣勢廠商改進漸進創新雖會造成競爭壓力,但是卻可能造成不
相容的標準競爭,因此支配廠商未必須要阻止劣勢廠商改進其漸進創新。
本論文的第二個模型探討廠商應否使其產品與競爭者之產品相容?本研究
發現廠商的產品設計應否與競爭者之產品相容,應視增加相容所得到的網
路利益與相容利益是否大於提高的競爭成本而定。本文又證明影響廠商相
容決策之因素:包括廠商既有的安裝基礎、廠商間成本優劣程度、及相容
對差異化的影響程度等。
最後,在廠商之關係方面,本研究認為廠商可以透過技術標準選擇、與產
品設計之相容性與競爭廠商互相合作,此結論足以說明一般同業之間既競
爭又合作(競合)的關係。
System products are those which generate value when combined
with their complements. System products, such as
computer hardware and software, vedio- casette
recorder and vedio tape, automated teller machines and ATM
cards, etc, play an important role in modern life.
The most distinctive character- istic of system
products is the network externality. Positive network exter-
nalities arise when a good is more valuable to a user the more
users adopt the same good or compatible one.
In this study, I intend to investigate two important issues
facing the producers of system products: the first
is the technological standards ado- pted by the firm,
and the second is the compatibility decisions between
the competing firms. I construct a two-period duopoly game to
analyze these problems.
In the first model, the firms can adopt either the incremental
innovation which is backward compatible with the old
standard or technology revolution which is backward
incompatible with the old standard. In markets with heter-
ogeneous consumers, network externalities, and fulfilled
expectations, it is shown that the factors which
influence firms'' adoption of technology standards
include: the innovation benefit, the existing installed base of
the old stan- dard, the relative technological
advantage of the dominant firm, and so on.
Other things being equal, this study shows that technological
changes does not necessarily favor advanced technology
standard. With symmetric duopoly, revolutionary
technology will be adopted only if it generates a benefit
greater than the sum of the network benefit and the
compatibility benefit created by incremental
innovation. It is shown that the network benefit and
the compatibility benefit are both increasing with network
externalities.
With asymmetric duopoly, where one firm enjoys technology
advantage over the other when they both adopt the
incremental innovation. We show that a dominant firm
always wants to adopt a strategy different from its inferior
rival, but the inferior rival always wants to mimic
the dominant firm''s.
This gives two managerial implications. First, the dominant firm
can opt for an upgraded technology to made the inferior
firm trapped in the old standard. Second, when the
network externality is strong and the technology advantage of
the dominant firm is large, both firms are better off if the
dominant takes the leader''s role.
This study also finds that the inferior firm''s adoption of an
upgraded tech- nology may harm the dominant firm by
reducing the latter''s profit. This implies that it can be
reasonable for the dominant firm to encourage cloning.
The second model investigates whether the firm should made its
product com- patible with its rival''s. The literature
has emphasized the network effect of compatibility,
with little attention being given to the fact that product
differentiation can also decrease with compatibility. In this
study, we setup a two-stage duopoly game to deal with
the latter possibility and how the firms choose the
optimal degree of compatibility. This paper shows that the
compati- bility choices of the firm depend on the gains
from the network effect, the compatibility effect,
and the loss from increasing competition. This study also
shows that the factors that affect the optimal compatibility
choices of the firm include: the existing installed
base of the firm, the cost advantage / disadvantage
of the firms, and the degree to which compatibility impacts on
product differentiation. These results are robust, no matter
firms compete in quantity or in prices. Moreover, this
study suggests that competition plus co- operation
features the relation among firms in system industries.
 
 
 
 
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