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題名:核保週期對損失準備金管理影響之研究:英國產險公司之實證
作者:邱美菁
作者(外文):Mei-ChingChiu
校院名稱:國立成功大學
系所名稱:企業管理學系碩博士班
指導教授:許永明
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2013
主題關鍵詞:核保週期損失準備金產險公司Underwriting CycleLoss ReserveNon-life Insurance
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本研究目的主要為探討核保週期對損失準備金管理影響,利用英國產險公司的資料,探究英國產險市場是否存在核保週期,以及核保週期與損失準備金管理之間是否存在多重關係。研究結果發現英國產險市場核保週期於2001年可能存在結構轉變,且不同險種核保週期有所差異。由於盈餘管理、核保週期與損失準備金之間存在顯著關係,因此保險公司可能會為避免發生些微損失而低估損失準備金。此外,研究顯示保險公司在軟市場會比較傾向低估準備金,核保週期與盈餘管理之間則無顯著關係。最後,依據研究的結果,提出一些建議供保險公司與監理機構參考。
The purpose of this study was to investigate the impact of the underwriting cycle on loss reserve management. We used the United Kingdom non-life insurance industry firm-years data during 1985 to 2006 to examine the multiple relations between loss reserving management and the underwriting cycle. We found that the an underwriting cycle exists with a structure change possibly caused in 2001. Moreover, we examined the relation between earning management, underwriting cycle, and loss reserve management. Our results show that the insurers are more likely to understate reserves to avoid small losses. We also found that the insurers intend to understate reserves in the soft market. There are no significant interaction effects between underwriting cycle and earning management. Our findings give some meaningful suggestions to insurers and regulators.
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