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題名:國防支出與經濟成長均衡配置與效率之研究─賽局結合資料包絡分析模型架構之研究
作者:牛明山
作者(外文):Ming-Shan Niou
校院名稱:元智大學
系所名稱:管理學院博士班
指導教授:鄭雅穗
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2013
主題關鍵詞:國防預算經濟建設賽局理論資料包絡分析Defense expenditureEconomic GrowthGame TheoryEnvelopment Analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本文從國防安全及經濟成長之互動均衡配置關係著眼,透過建立政府與國防部門的賽局模型,分析臺灣及南韓之國防支出,在國家財政資源投注國防與經濟建設配置達到均衡狀態之成長機制;另為補強以往文獻流於理論之疑慮,並同時驗證理論值與實際值之差異性,續佐以DEA探討臺灣國防支出均衡解、南韓國防支出均衡解、臺灣、南韓、日本、印度、以色列、中國、蘇俄與澳洲之投入產出相對績效。
透過賽局模型推導與分析,發現臺灣與南韓真實國防支出並沒有超出社會經濟發展的合理限度,且證實國防支出與經濟建設呈現正相關,此與 Benoit(1978)研究發現趨近一致。賽局均衡解在整體營運效率分析,依序為臺灣均衡解、臺灣真實值、南韓真實值、南韓均衡解。本文發現均衡解與國防支出真實值之效率,相差無幾,甚或優於國防支出真實值,顯示該模型在實務上具有應用價值。
國防支出在1961-2008年縱斷面生產力之探討,僅有以色列與日本總要素生產力呈現進步趨勢。比較臺灣與南韓國防支出真實值與賽局均衡解在生產力之相對效率,發現在技術效率值、技術變革與總要素生產力之表現,各互有優劣;理論值與實務值彼此間之差異性尚待進一步釐清。
Based on the interactive balance deployment relation between national defense security and economic growth, by constructing a game model of government and national defense department, this study inferred and analyzed the growth mechanism for the balanced deployment of national defense and economic construction in Taiwan and South Korea. In order to supplement the theories in past literatures and to reinforce the research content, using DEA, this study probed into the relative performance of the input and output of 10 DMUs national defense expenditures in Taiwan.
At the first stage of study, using the Nash equilibrium of the game model, this study explored the national defense expenditures of Taiwan and South Korea during the last 48 years, demonstrating that such expenditures were not above the reasonable limit of social and economic development, and that economic growth was enhanced through having a solid national defense force. The results matched the finding of Benoit (1978).
The DEA efficiency evaluation at the second stage showed there was no correlation between national defense expenditure and military force, and that the average total factor productivity of the total DMU decreased. As to the total technical efficiency, TWN, KOR, KOR_E, INDIA, ISRAEL and AUSTRALIA made progress. According to the technical efficiency, 10 DMUs were regressing. The mean of pure technical efficiency was optimized, indicating that the input of national defense resources was effectively used. As to scale efficiency, TWN, INDIA, ISRAEL and AUSTRALIA were efficient, indicating that these countries could consider expanding the total military force scale.
The most competitive ones in the management matrix included TWN, KOR, KOR_E, INDIA, ISRAEL and AUSTRALIA, indicating that their national defense budgets were based on the enemy’s threats and military strategies. This would help to enhance performance of military organizations and construct a proper military defense force.
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