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題名:政見有用嗎?立法委員政見與立法表現的關聯性探索
作者:李承訓
作者(外文):Cheng-Hsun Li
校院名稱:國立中山大學
系所名稱:政治學研究所
指導教授:廖達琪
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2019
主題關鍵詞:選舉承諾立法表現代議民主可課責性代理人理論自動化編碼文本探勘Principal-Agent TheoryLegislative PerformanceText MiningAutomated CodingCampaign PromiseRepresentative DemocracyAccountability
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本研究從代理人理論(principal-agent theory)的角度來切入,以此來做為探索政見是否有用此一研究問題。在研究設計上,本研究主要以時間軸線來對研究問題做研究與回應,檢視政見於選舉前、選舉後及下次選舉等三個時期中是否有用;在主要的分析面向上,選舉前為探討「政見的本質」為主、選舉後則以探討「政見的立法表現」為主,並加入角色軸線來進行輔助性的探討、而下次選舉則以「立法表現與選舉課責」做為整個探索的結尾。
此外,本研究亦同時探討「個人政見與政黨政見的關聯」、「區域與不分區立委的角色異同」,並以「立法表現的地方性」來討論是否區域立委候選人所提的地方性政見,可以被前者所取代,來做為整體之補述。
在研究方法上,採用自動化編碼與文本探勘等方法,產生出本研究所需要的統計資料,並對於此自動化方法做信度上的檢驗。
本研究的主要發現為:政見確實有參照選區特性來做擬定,但易受到區域與政黨屬性的影響、立法委員在進入立法院後,雖有推動其地方與全國性政見,但以全國性政見的占比較高,並且兩者僅占所有立法表現不到2%之比例、立法委員較重視政黨政見的推動,尤其其所屬政黨是執政黨時、個人政見與政黨政見的實踐上無相互排擠的效應、在政見與選舉課責的面向上,僅推動全國性政見較有助於候選人當選。
This study starts from the perspective of principal-agent theory and uses its perspective to answering the research question: “Does campaign promise matter?”
In research design, this study is by using time axis separating the research question into three periods: before-elected, after-elected and on the next election. In the before-elected period, this study is mainly focused on the relationship between campaign promises and human ecology of election districts. In the after-elected period, this research is focused on the relationship between campaign promises and legislative performance. Finally, the next-election period is exploring the relationship between campaign promises’ legislative performance and electoral accountability.
In the research method, this study is trying to use automated coding and text mining methods to handle the data analysis and processing tasks.
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