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題名:結合時空特性之小區域估計
書刊名:中國統計學報
作者:蘇懿 引用關係黃景祥
作者(外文):Su, YihHwang, Jing-shiang
出版日期:2000
卷期:38:2
頁次:頁121-140
主題關鍵詞:小區域估計混合效果模型勞動力序列Labor forceMixed effects modelSmall area
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:2
  • 點閱點閱:21
近年來隨著區域均衡發展的推行,公、私部門對於各縣市區域性統計資料的需求與日遞增。然而大型抽樣調查之小區域結果,常因樣本數較少而產生過大的變異,改善上述問題之統計方法稱為「小區域估計」。本文利用各調查,區域開互相借助力量的方法,建立結合橫斷面與時間序列特性之小區域時空估計模型,並利用分群的方法使模型對於不同的區域特性提供更有效的估計。另外對於缺乏輔助資料以致模型無法建立的問題,亦提出可行的解決方法。最後並以台灣地區人力資源調查為實例進行小區域估計,以檢驗小區域時空估計模型之效果。由於國內許多大型調查之抽樣設計均以人力資源調查為藍本,因此小區域時空估計模型除提供人力資源有效之小區域估計外,亦可為其他調查所使用,以獲致可靠的小區域估計方法。
Small area estimation is becoming increasingly important because of recent ,growing demand for reliable small area statistics. In Taiwan, the current estimations of labor force series for local governments have unacceptably large ,standard errors due to unduly small size of the sample in the sub-areas. Mixed,effects models have been proposed to improve estimates for given small areas by ,borrowing strength from neighboring areas. In .this paper, we proposed mixed ,effects model to solve the small area estimation problem by combining cross-sectional and time series data. We also classify small areas into several groups ,by their characteristics to overcome the lack of auxiliary data. Our mixed effects ,model can reduce variation of the current survey estimates and produce more ,reasonable results.
期刊論文
1.黃景祥(19960900)。輪換抽樣設計中的最佳遞迴性複合估計量。中國統計學報,34(3),239-255。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.蘇懿、趙弘靜、黃景祥(19970300)。複合估計應用在臺灣地區人力資源調查之可行性評估。中國統計學報,35(1),81-103。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Anderson, T. W.、Hsiao, C.(1982)。Formulation and Estimation of Dynamic Models Using Panel Data。J. Econometrics,18,67-82。  new window
4.Battese, G. E.、Harter, R. M.、Fuller, W. A.(1988)。An Error-Component Model for Prediction of County Crop Areas Using Survey and Satellite Data。J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.,83,28-36。  new window
5.Fay, R. E.、Herriot, R. A.(1979)。Estimates of income for small places: An application of James-Stein Procedures to Census Data。J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.,74,269-277。  new window
6.Ghosh, M.、Hangia, N.、Kim, D. H.(1996)。Estimation of Median Income of Four-Person Families: A Bayesian Time Series Approach。J. Amer. Statist. Assoc.,91,1423-1431。  new window
7.Rao, J. N. K.、Yu, M.(1992)。Small-Area Estimation by Combining Timeseries and Cross-sectional Data。Proc. Survey Research Methods Section. Amer. Statist. Assoc.,1-9。  new window
8.Hwang, Jing-shiang、Dempster, Arthur P.(19990400)。A Stochastic System for Modeling Labor Force Series of Small Areas。Statistica Sinica,9(2),297-324。  new window
9.Henderson, C. R.、Kempthorne, O.、Searle, S. R.、Von Krosigh, C. N.(1959)。Estimation of Environmental and genetic Trends from Records Subject to Culling。Biometrics,15,192-218。  new window
10.Rao, J. N. K.、Yu, M.(1994)。Small-Area Estimation by Combining Timeseries and Cross-sectional Data。The Canadian Journal of Statistics,22,511-528。  new window
11.Searle, S. R.(1997)。The Matrix Handling of BLUE and BLUP in the Mixed Linear Model。Linear Algebra and Its Applications,264,291-311。  new window
研究報告
1.行政院主計處(1991)。人力資源調查縣市別抽樣方法研究報吿。  延伸查詢new window
2.行政院主計處(1997)。人力資源統計月報。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.行政院主計處(1995)。中華民國台灣地區人力資源調查,調查作業手冊。  延伸查詢new window
2.Rao, C. R.(1965)。Linear Statistical Inference and Its Application。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
3.Searle, S. R.、Casella, G.、McCulloch, C. E.(1992)。Variance Components。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
單篇論文
1.Nichol, S.(1977)。A Regression Approach to Small Area Estimation,Canberra。  new window
圖書論文
1.Cronkite, D.(1987)。Use of Regression Techniques for Developing State and Area Employment and Unemployment Estimates。Small Area Statistics。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
 
 
 
 
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