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題名:Consumer Responses to Animal Disease Epidemics: An Empirical Study of the FMD Outbreak
書刊名:農業經濟半年刊
作者:蔡建雄
作者(外文):Tsai, Jason
出版日期:2001
卷期:69
頁次:頁167-187
主題關鍵詞:口蹄疫Probit模型Logit模型FMDProbit modelLogit model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     本文旨在從消費者人口統計變數、經濟變數等探討消費者對臺灣在1997年爆發的 毛豬口蹄疫傳染病的反應及其對豬肉消費的影響。 為了分析消費者對豬肉的偏好與態度受口蹄疫爆發的影響,特別針對全臺灣的消費者進 行抽樣人員訪問。問卷內容包括消費者對口蹄疫所引發的食品安全知識與態度等相關議題。 文中依洧費經濟理論,以Probit和Logit模型估計之。結果顯示口蹄疫爆發對豬肉的負面影響 極為顯著。特別是所得愈高,教育年數愈高或都市地區居民受到的負面影響程度愈大。本研 究結果發都市與鄉村居民因品蹄疫爆發而減少消費豬肉,其減少豬肉消費的行為可能隨時間 改變而漸減。
     This paper examines consumer responses to the 1997 foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak that decimated Taiwan's pork industry, with special attention to consumer response differences according to demonstration and economic factors. The probit and logit models were modified to analyze consumers' preferences and attitudes toward pork as demonstrated in data collected from a personal questionnaire distributed throughout Taiwan island which focused on consumers' knowledge and attitudes about food safety issues and factors. Results suggest that the FMD outbreak had a significantly negative impact on pork consumption, with higher income families, with greater education and living in city areas showing the greatest reluctance toward pork consumption after the third month and the sixth month. This study suggests a need for a greater gout effort to reveal that people who live in rural or city areas have significant and different responses to the FMD epidemic and the effect of these differences are sustained longer than any other variables.
期刊論文
1.Hanemann, W. Michael(1984)。Welfare Evaluations in Contingent Valuation Experiments with Discrete Responses。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,66(3),332-341。  new window
2.Kidwell, Julia、Thompson, Gray D.(1998)。Explaining the Choice of Organic Produce: Cosmetic Defects, Prices, and Consumer Preferences。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,80,277-287。  new window
3.Amemiya, T.(1981)。Qualitative Response Models: A Survey。Journal of Economic Literature,19(4),1483-1536。  new window
4.Wales, T. J.、Pollak, R. A.(1981)。Demographic Variables in Demand Analysis。Econometrica,49,1533-1551。  new window
5.Chang, H. -S.、Kinnucan, H. W.(1991)。Advertising, Information, and Product Quality: The Case of Butter。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,73(4),1195-1203。  new window
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7.Henson, S.(1996)。Consumer Willingness to Pay for Reductions in the Risk of Food Poisoning in the UK。Journal of Agricultural Economics,47(3),403-420。  new window
學位論文
1.簡立賢(1988)。臺灣進口和國產牛肉需求之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
2.Forrest, A. S.(1992)。Consumer Responses to Risk Information,0。  new window
3.Qiang, H.(1995)。Food Safety Issues, Consumer Food Safety Concerns, and Food Consumption,0。  new window
4.施孟隆(1987)。臺灣地區毛豬採用電子交易參與者潛在接受性之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.台灣省家庭計畫研究所(1985)。台灣省家庭計畫研究所成立十週年紀念專輯。台中:台灣省家庭計畫研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.Greene, William H.(1997)。Econometric Analysis。Prentice Hall International, Inc.。  new window
3.Maddala, G. S.(1983)。Limited-dependent and Qualitative Variables in Econometics。Cambridge University Press。  new window
4.Muellbauer, J.、Deaton, A.(1991)。Economics and Consumer Behavior。Economics and Consumer Behavior。沒有紀錄。  new window
圖書論文
1.McFadden, Daniel L.(1973)。Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior。Frontiers in Econometrics。Academic Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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