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題名:Unveil Value at Risk--Approaches and Issues
書刊名:臺灣金融財務季刊
作者:Shiu,Yung-ming
出版日期:2001
卷期:2:4
頁次:頁89-109
主題關鍵詞:Value at riskVaRRisk measurementHistorical simulationMonte carlo simulation風險值風險衡量歷史模擬法蒙地卡羅法
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     This paper outlines the steps of the three common approaches to calculating VaR and discusses some important issues about VaR as a risk measure, including its limitations. Monte Carlo simulation and historical simulation are applied to the three hypothetical portfolios which are constructed to have increasing complexity. In Monte Carlo simulation, two time horizons, one day and ten days, and simulation runs of 10,000 times are used. Because of the limited availability of data, however, 1,000 runs of simulation over one-day time horizon are utilized in historical simulation. Besides, delta approximation and delta-gamma approximation are also used to approximate the VaR estimates to avoid the complexity of computation. Log-normal models and geometric Brownian motion whose drift term is set to zero are assumed to forecast the future possible values of different market factors under consideration. Moreover, the program with explanations for calculating VaR using Monte Carlo simulation is made public for the interested reader to run in order to have deeper understanding about the approach.
期刊論文
1.Artzner, P.(1999)。Application of coherent risk measures to capital requirements in insurance。North American Actuarial Journal,3(2),11-25。  new window
2.Solnik, B.(1974)。Why Not Diversify Internationally Rather than Domestically?。Financial Analysts Journal,30,48-54。  new window
3.Duffie, D.、Pan, J.(1997)。An Overview of Value at Risk。The Journal of Derivatives,4(3),7-49。  new window
4.Hendricks, Darryll(1996)。Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models Using Historical Data。Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review,2(1),39-69。  new window
5.Blattberg, Robert C.、Gonedes, Nicholas J.(1974)。A Comparison of the Stable and Student Distributions as Statistical Models for Stock Prices。Journal of Business,47(2),244-280。  new window
6.Praetz, P. D.(1972)。The Distribution of Share Price Changes。The Journal of Business,45(1),49-55。  new window
圖書
1.Neftci, S. N.(2000)。An introduction to the mathematics of financial derivatives。An introduction to the mathematics of financial derivatives。沒有紀錄:Academic Press。  new window
2.Morgan, J. P.(1996)。Riskmetrics Technical Document。New York, NY:Morgan Guaranty Trust Company。  new window
3.Bank for International Settlement(2000)。Stress Testing by Large Financial Institutions: Current Practice and Aggregation Issues。Basle:Committee on the Global Financial System。  new window
其他
1.Beder, T. S.(1996)。Report Card on Value at Risk: High Potential but Slow Starter。  new window
2.Chance, D. M.(1998)。An Introduction to Derivatives。  new window
3.Danielsson, J. and C. G. Vries(1997)。Value at Risk and Extreme Returns, Discussion Paper No. 273, Financial Markets Group。  new window
4.Danielsson, J., C. G. Vries, and B. N. Jorgensen(1998)。The Value of Value at Risk: Statistical, Financial, and Regulatory Considerations。  new window
5.Dowd, K.(1999)。A Value at Risk Approach to Risk-Return Analysis。  new window
6.Iacono, F. and D. Skeie(1996)。Translating VaR Using square root of time。  new window
7.Klugman, S. A., H. H. Panjer and G. E. Willmot(1998)。Loss Models: Form Data to Decisions。  new window
8.Smithson, C. W.(1998)。Managing Financial Risk: A Guide to Derivative Products, Financial Engineering and Value Maximization。  new window
9.Wirch, J. L.(1999)。Raising Value at Risk。  new window
 
 
 
 
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