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題名:差別私有訊息下之理性預期均衡揭露
書刊名:管理與系統
作者:周國端黃鴻禧 引用關係
作者(外文):Jou, Gwo-duanHuang, Hung-hsi
出版日期:2003
卷期:10:1
頁次:頁1-22
主題關鍵詞:理性預期均衡兩項基金分離訊息Rational expectations equilibriumTwo funds separationInformation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本文旨在探討當市場交易者有差別私有訊息時,證券市場之均衡性質,達到兩項基金分離的條件,以及闡釋均衡價格的揭露訊息功能。在風險資產與私有訊息服從多元常態分配之假設下,我們推導出各種均衡的資產均衡價格,並且證明以精度為權數的加權平均訊息,不但是未來資產報酬之充分統計量,也是最佳估計量。除此之外,本文說明了市場競爭均衡並非理性預期均衡,且說明了理性預期均衡可以升格為充分訊息均衡之條件,又當理性預期均衡可以升格為充分訊息均衡時,則此時之交易價格可以充分揭露訊息。
This paper presents the property of security market equilibrium, the coodition of two funds separation, and the revealing information of equilibrium prices. We assume that the traders in security market have differential information about asset value. Moreover, we assume that rates of return of risky assets and private information of traders are multivariate normally distributed. Under these assumptions, we derive equilibrium prices of risky assets and obtain some important results as follows. First, we prove that average information weighted by precision is sufficient statistic as well as maximum likelihood estimator about future asset return. Second, we show that market competitive equilibrium is not rational expectations equilibrium. Third, we derive the condition that rational expectations equilibrium can elevate to full information equilibrium. While rational expectations equilibrium can elevate to full information equilibrium, trading prices can fully reveal information.
期刊論文
1.Admati, Anat R.(1985)。A Noisy Rational Expectations Equilibrium for Multi-asset Securities Markets。Econometrica,53(3),629-657。  new window
2.Grossman, Sanford J.(1981)。An Introduction to the Theory of Rational Expectations under Asymmetric Information。Review of Economic Studies,48(4),541-559。  new window
3.Hellwig, Martin F.(1980)。On the aggregation of information in competitive markets。Journal of Economic Theory,22,477-498。  new window
4.Grossman, S. J.(1976)。On the efficiency of competitive stock markets where traders have diverse information。The Journal of Finance,31(2),573-583。  new window
5.Kyle, Albert S.(1989)。Informed Speculation with Imperfect Competition。Review of Economic Studies,56(187),317-355。  new window
6.Grossman, Sanford J.、Stiglitz, Joseph E.(1980)。On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets。The American Economic Review,70(3),393-408。  new window
7.Admati, A. R.、Pfleiderer, P.(1987)。Viable Allocations of Information in Financial Markets。Journal of Economic Theory,43,76-115。  new window
8.Diamond, D. W.、Verrecchia, R. E.(1981)。Information Aggregation in a Noisy Rational Expectations Economy。Journal of Financial Economics,9,221-235。  new window
9.Williams, J. T.(1977)。Capital Asset Prices with Heterogeneous Beliefs。Journal of Financial Economics,5,219-239。  new window
10.Grossman, S. J.(1995)。Dynamic Asset Allocation and the Informational Efficiency of Markets。The Journal of Finance,50(3),773-787。  new window
11.Lintner, J.(1969)。The Aggregation of Investors' Diverse Judgments and Preferences in Purely Competitive Security Markets。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,4,347-400。  new window
12.Rubinstein, Mark(1974)。An Aggregation Theorem for Securities Markets。Journal of Financial Economics,1(3),225-244。  new window
13.Madrigal, V.、Smith, S. D.(1995)。On Fully Revealing Prices When Markets Are Incomplete。The American Economic Review,85(5),1152-1159。  new window
14.Ross, S. A.(1978)。Mutual Fund Separation in Financial Theory: The Separating Distributions。Journal of Economic Theory,17(2),254-286。  new window
15.Rabinovitch, R.、Owen, J.(1980)。The Cost of Information and Equilibrium in the Capital Asset Market。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,15(2),497-508。  new window
16.Yoon, C. H.(1986)。Rational Expectations Equilibrium in a Sequence of Asset Markets。International Economic Review,27(3),553-564。  new window
17.Grossman, S. J.(1977)。The Existence of Futures Markets, Noisy Rational Expectations and Informational Externalities。The Review of Economic Studies,44(3),431-449。  new window
18.Grossman, S. J.(1978)。Further Results of the Informational Efficiency of Competitive Stock Markets。Journal of Economic Theory,18,81-101。  new window
19.Geanakoplos, J.、Dubey, P.、Shubik, M.(1987)。The Revelation of Information in Strategic Market Games - A Critique of Rational Expectations Equilibrium。Journal of Mathematical Economics,16,105-137。  new window
20.Jennings, R. H.、Barry, C. B.(1992)。Information and Diversity of Analyst Opinion。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,27(2),169-183。  new window
21.Admati, A. R.(1991)。The Informational Role of Prices: A Review Essay。Journal of Monetary Economics,28(2),347-361。  new window
22.Subramanyam, K. R.(1996)。Uncertain Precision and Price Reactions to Information。Accounting Review,71,207-219。  new window
圖書
1.黃奇輔、Litzenberger, Robert H.(1988)。Foundations for Financial Economics。North-Holland。  new window
2.Grossman, S. J.(1989)。The Informational Role of Prices。The Informational Role of Prices。Cambridge, MA。  new window
 
 
 
 
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