本研究的目的係在模糊不確定的環境中，從政治層面、經濟層面、軍事層面與心理層面之四個構面方向考量，並經由專家討論建立16個評量準則及五種可能動員時機之選擇策略，據以建立多層級多評準之研究架構，再藉由問卷調查從事動員政策規劃面之專家、執行層面之專家、以及學術機構之學者，針對每種可能動員時機之策略進行偏好影響值調查，以評選我國最佳動員時機之策略。為能呈現本研究的重心及符合研究目的，本文研究方法採用層級糊模多評準決策法(Fuzzy MCDM)，並以我國可能下達之動員時機為例，進行實證研究分析，以供我國決策機關在啟動動員機制前之參考。本研究結果以D-7日敵將對我實施封鎖作戰時下達動員令為最佳，其次依序為D-5日、D-3日、D-15日，最後為D-30日。

The purpose of our research is to evaluate the timing of mobilization from four aspects: politics level, economics level, military level, and mentality level. By way of professional discussion build 16 evaluation criteria and 5 selection strategies, and to set up multilevel, multi-criteria research structure. We use questionnaire to investigate the opinions of the mobilization strategy planning experts, the execution level experts, and the scholars, and we focus on the preference of the experts in every probable mobilization timing strategy. We hope to select the best mobilization timing strategy. In order to present the core of our research and apply to the goal of the research, we use the Fuzzy MCDM approach, and use the possible mobilization timing of Taiwan as example to do the real sample analysis. We should like to offer the result to be the reference before the authority start the mobilization mechanism. The results is : 7 days before the enemy start blockading Taiwan strait would be the best time to use mobilization order, 5 days before would be the second best, 3 days before would be the third, 15 days before would be the forth, 30 days before would be the worst.