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題名:日本股票市場之破產風險是否為系統性風險?
書刊名:中山管理評論
作者:蕭朝興 引用關係陳姍余
作者(外文):Chiao, ChaoshinChen, Shanyu
出版日期:2005
卷期:13:4
頁次:頁897-924
主題關鍵詞:破產風險市值公司淨值市價比Altman's ZShirata's ZBankruptcy riskMarket equityBM
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
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  • 點閱點閱:19
公司淨值市價比是否可以充分衡量財務危機風險,至今仍是一個具有爭議性的問題。首先,本文採用兩個衡量破產風險之模型:一、知名Altman(1968)之Z模型(AZ),二、日本學者Shirata(1998)之Z模型(CZ)。再來,本文遵循Dichev(1998),採用破產風險衡量日本公司的財務危機,驗證破產風險在日本股票市場中是否為系統風險。本文實證結果發現,股票具有低AZ者,破產機率高,傾向擁有高報酬;而且破產風險確實屬於系統性風險。然而AZ對股票報酬之解釋能力以及衡量股票破產風險之能力,仍不及淨值市價比及規模。只是,高破產風險所對應的高報酬仍不能完全被淨值市價比及市值效果所解釋。另一方面,CZ則無法有效區別風險和報酬間之關係,實證結果並無重要參考價值。
Whether the distress risk can be fully proxied by the book-to-market effect is controversial. Firstly, using the Altman’s (1968) Z (AZ) and Shirata’s (1998) Z (CZ) to measure the bankruptcy risk of stocks listed in the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Secondly, following Dichev (1998), this paper whether the bankruptcy risk is a systematic risk. Our results demonstrate that, with the measure of AZ, the bankruptcy risk, compensated by higher returns, is indeed a systematic risk. Although the explanatory power of AZ is not as good as the book to market (BM) and market equity, the high returns on firms with high bankruptcy risks cannot be fully captured by BM and market equity. CZ is however not a good measure of the bankruptcy risk and plays no role in explaining stock returns.
期刊論文
1.Asquith, Paul、Gertner, Robert、Scharfstein, David(1994)。Anatomy of financial distress: an examination of junk-bond issuers。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,109,625-658。  new window
2.Altman, E. I.(1968)。Financial Ratio, Discriminant Analysis and Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy。Journal of Finance,23(4),589-610。  new window
3.Chan, K. C.、Chen, N.、Hsieh, D. A.(1985)。An Exploratory Investigation of the Firm Size Effect。Journal of Financial Economics,14,451-471。  new window
4.Denis, D. J.、Denis, D.(1995)。Causes of Financial Distress Following Leveraged Recapitalizations。Journal of Finance,46,1467-1484。  new window
5.Daniel, K.、Titman, S.、Wei, J. K. C.(2001)。Explaining the Cross-Section of Stock Returns in Japan: Factor of Characteristics?。Journal of Finance,56,743-766。  new window
6.Griffin, M. J.、Lemmon, J. L.(2002)。Book-To-Market Equity, Distress Risk, and Stock Returns。Journal of Finance,5,2317-2336。  new window
7.Dichev, I. D.(1998)。Is the risk of bankruptcy a systematic risk?。Journal of Finance,53(3),1131-1148。  new window
8.Daniel, Kent、Titman, Sheridan(1997)。Evidence on the characteristics of cross sectional variation in stock returns。Journal of Finance,52(1),1-33。  new window
9.Chen, Nai-fu、Roll, Richard、Ross, Stephen A.(1986)。Economic Forces and the Stock Market。Journal of Business,59(3),383-403。  new window
10.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1996)。Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies。Journal of Finance,51(1),55-84。  new window
11.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1993)。Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds。Journal of Financial Economics,33(1),3-56。  new window
12.Lang, Larry H. P.、Stulz, René M.(1992)。Contagion and Competitive Intra-industry Effects of Bankruptcy Announcements。Journal of Financial Economics,32(1),45-60。  new window
13.Chan, Louis K. C.、Lakonishok, Josef、Hamao, Yasushi(1991)。Fundamentals and Stock Returns in Japan。The Journal of Finance,46(5),1739-1789。  new window
14.Fama, Eugene F.、MacBeth, James D.(1973)。Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Empirical Tests。Journal of Political Economy,81(3),607-636。  new window
15.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1992)。The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns。The Journal of Finance,47(2),427-465。  new window
16.Opler, Tim C.、Titman, Sheridan(1994)。Financial distress and corporate performance。The Journal of Finance,49(3),1015-1040。  new window
17.Lakonishok, Josef、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert W.(1994)。Contrarian Investment, Extrapolation, and Risk。Journal of Finance,49(5),1541-1578。  new window
研究報告
1.Shirata, C. Y.(1998)。Financial Ratio as Predictors of Bankruptcy in Japan: An Empirical Research。Tsukuba College of Technology Japan。  new window
學位論文
1.Shumway, T.(1996)。The Premium for Default Risk in Stock Returns(博士論文)。University of Chicago。  new window
圖書
1.Altman, E. I.(1993)。Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
圖書論文
1.Ross, S.(1989)。Finance。The New Palgrave-Finance。New York:Norton。  new window
 
 
 
 
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