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題名:投資人情緒與股價報酬波動之互動關係:臺灣股市之實證
書刊名:臺灣金融財務季刊
作者:許溪南郭玟秀 引用關係鄭乃誠
作者(外文):Hsu, HsinanKuo, Wen-hsiuChang, Nai-cheng
出版日期:2005
卷期:6:3
頁次:頁107-121
主題關鍵詞:投資人情緒指標波動性股價報酬GARCHVAR
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(14) 博士論文(2) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:14
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:400
過去對情緒指標的相關研究,大多僅探討投資人情緒指標對報酬的影響,少有將股價報酬波動而入研究主題。本文旨在探討臺灣股票市場投資人情緒指標與股價報酬波動相互影響。本文應用Brown and Cliff(2004)所發展情緒指標架構,採用單變量GARCH模型與向量自我迴歸(VAR)模型,將各類型情緒指標放入不同期間,檢視是否會影響臺股報酬波動及相互影響程度。 首先,GARCH模式實證結果顯示,各種市場情緒指標在多空時期及一般時期對股價報酬波動的影響並不顯著,即多空時期對市場波動影響沒有顯著差異;其次,VAR模型實證結果,顯示只有市場日成交量波動影響股市報酬波動,即股市量能確實有助漲助跌作用。而在股市報酬波動性對投資人情緒指標波動性的影響方面,本文發現股價波動對每日融資金額波動有顯著影響,顯示散戶融資金額差異的增減波動與前期股價報酬波動影響有關,這現象說明臺灣股市散戶的情緒比法人較易受到大盤波動影響。
期刊論文
1.Froot, K. A.、O'Connell, P. G.、Seasholes, M. S.(2000)。The Portfolio Flows of International Investors。Journal of Financial Economics,59(2),151-193。  new window
2.Brown, G. W.(1999)。Volatility, sentiment, and noise traders。Financial Analysts Journal,55(2),82-90。  new window
3.Simon, D. P.、Wiggins, R. A. III(2001)。S&P futures and contrary sentiment indicators。Journal of Futures Markets,21(5),447-462。  new window
4.Kahneman, Daniel、Tversky, Amos(1979)。Prospect theory: An analysis of decision making under risk。Journal of the Econometric Society,47(2),263-291。  new window
5.Neal, Robert、Wheatley, Simon M.(1998)。Do Measures of Investor Sentiment Predict Returns?。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,33(4),523-547。  new window
6.Lee, Charles M. C.、Shleifer, Andrei、Thaler, Richard H.(1991)。Investor Sentiment and the Closed-End Fund Puzzle。The Journal of Finance,46(1),75-109。  new window
7.Choe, Hyuk、Kho, Bong-Chan、Stulz, René M.(1999)。Do foreign investors destabilize stock markets? The Korean experience in 1997。Journal of Financial Economics,54(2),227-264。  new window
8.Nofsinger, John R.、Sias, Richard W.(1999)。Herding and Feedback Trading by Institutional and Individual Investors。The Journal of Finance,54(6),2263-2295。  new window
9.Shefrin, Hersh、Statman, Meir(1985)。The Disposition to Sell Winners Too Early and Ride Losers Too Long: Theory and Evidence。The Journal of Finance,40(3),777-790。  new window
10.Barberis, Nicholas、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert W.(1998)。A model of investor sentiment。Journal of Financial Economics,49(3),307-343。  new window
11.Black, Fisher(1986)。Noise。Journal of Finance,41(3),529-543。  new window
12.Clarke, Roger G.、Statman, Meir(1998)。Bullish or Bearish?。Financial Analysts Journal,54(3),63-72。  new window
13.de Long, J. Bradford、Shleifer, Andrei、Summers, Lawrence H.、Waldmann, Robert J.(1990)。Noise trader risk in financial markets。Journal of Political Economy,98(4),703-738。  new window
14.Fisher, Kenneth L.、Statman, Meir(2000)。Investor Sentiment And Stock Returns。Financial Analysts Journal,56(2),16-23。  new window
15.Solt, Michael E.、Statman, Meir(1988)。How Useful is the Sentiment Index?。Financial Analysts Journal,44(5),45-55。  new window
16.Brown, Gregory W.、Cliff, Michael T.(2004)。Investor sentiment and the near-term stock market。Journal of Empirical Finance,11(1),1-27。  new window
17.Lee, Wayne Y.、Jiang, Christine X.、Indro, Daniel C.(2002)。Stock Market Volatility, Excess Returns, and the Role of Investor Sentiment。Journal of Banking & Finance,26(12),2277-2299。  new window
18.Grinblatt, Mark、Titman, Sheridan、Wermers, Russ(1995)。Momentum investment strategies, portfolio performance, and herding: A study of mutual fund behavior。The American Economic Review,85(5),1088-1105。  new window
19.Christie, William G.、Huang, Roger D.(1995)。Following the pied piper: Do individual returns herd around the market?。Financial Analysts Journal,51(4),31-37。  new window
20.Chang, Eric C.、Cheng, Joseph W.、Khorana, Ajay(2000)。An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective。Journal of Banking and Finance,24(10),1651-1679。  new window
21.Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Titman, Sheridan(1993)。Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency。The Journal of Finance,48(1),65-91。  new window
22.Mandelbrot, Benoit B.(1963)。The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices。The Journal of Business,36(4),394-419。  new window
學位論文
1.林佳陵(2003)。情緒指標在期貨市場的應用--以日經225指數期貨為例(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳達勳(2001)。市場情緒與股票報酬之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.王湘盈(2003)。從眾行為之個人影響因素及其決策過程分析(碩士論文)。國立東華大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.古金尚(2003)。臺灣股票市場投資者心理情緒影響因素之實證研究(碩士論文)。朝陽科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.江宏儒(2002)。股票市場從眾行為之探討:新興市場與已開發國家之比較(碩士論文)。國立高雄第一科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.陳英生(2000)。台灣股市日內報酬波動之研究(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.林哲民(2002)。資訊不對稱與價量關係--個股買賣單不對稱之時間變異模型。  延伸查詢new window
2.許銘傑(2001)。市場情緒與基本面對短期股價影響之比較。  延伸查詢new window
3.楊大龍(2001)。台灣上市與上櫃股票市場其股價報酬波動性外溢效果之實證研究。  延伸查詢new window
4.葉月女(2002)。我國證券市場三大機構投資人與一般投資人對股市波動性影響之探討。  延伸查詢new window
5.De Bondt, W. F. M. and R. Thaler(1985)。Does the Stock Market Overreaction?。  new window
6.Kim, W. and S.-J. Wei(1999)。Foreign Portfolio Investors Before and During a Crisis。  new window
7.Kim, W. and S.-J. Wei(1999)。Offshore Investment Funds: Monsters in Emerging Markets。  new window
圖書論文
1.Asch, Solomon E.(1951)。Effects of Group Pressure Upon the Modification and Distortion of Judgments。Groups, leadership and men; research in human relations。Carnegie Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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