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題名:不同波動率下臺指選擇權風險值的評估
書刊名:真善研發期刊
作者:丁建華
出版日期:2005
卷期:1:1
頁次:頁71-80
主題關鍵詞:臺指選擇權市場風險波動性衍生性金融商品風險值Taiwan index optionsMarket riskVolatilityFinancial derivativesValue at risk
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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選擇權是一種非線性的衍生性金融商品,對於波動度具極高的敏感性。本文討論在券商沒有進行避險的情況下,應用不同波動性及避險比率求算出臺指選擇權風險值,並比較選擇權價內及價外風險值的差異。實證結果顯示,利用GARCH波動性所求出的風險值在選擇權價內及價外的情況下,遠比使用歷史波動性或是隱含波動性小而且穩定。而在衡量整體選擇權風險值風險上,利用誤差效度作為衡量指標也顯示,GARCH波動性的風險值也遠比歷史及隱含波動性績效風險值為佳。另外,使用Gamma避險比例的風險值誤差效度,也比使用Delta風險值的誤差效度來的好。
Option is one type of nonlinear financial derivatives with highly sensitivity to volatility. This article also converse how agents calculate TXO by using different volatilities and hedge ratios without pursuing the circumstance of hedge and compare the differences of VaR between in-the-money and out-of-the money. The empirical evidence indicates that using GARCH volatility to obtain VaR for option is far smaller than using historical volatility, implied volatility and ANN volatility. It is also more stable For the risk of measuring integrated option, the performance indexes of VaR model illustrate that the VaR of GARCH volatility is far better than historical volatility, implied volatility and ANN volatility. Furthermore, empirical results also show that the performance of Gamma-rule VaR is better than Delta rule VaR.
期刊論文
1.Bollerslev, Tim(1986)。Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity。Journal of Econometrics,31(3),307-327。  new window
2.Engle, Robert F.(1982)。Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation。Econometrica,50(4),987-1008。  new window
會議論文
1.李沃牆(2002)。上限型權證風險値及避險績效之評估與檢定。龍華科技大學2002年二岸商學與管理學術研討會論文。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.施勇任(2002)。選擇權之風險值的計算方法探討(碩士論文)。東吳大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.劉志勇(2001)。選擇權風險值之衡量(碩士論文)。東吳大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.張哲綱(2001)。權證發行商避險部位風險值(VaR)之評估與比較(碩士論文)。義守大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.蔡一德(2001)。台灣認購權證發行券商之市場風險與避險策略-VaR模型之應用(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.周大慶、沈大白(2002)。風險管理新標竿。智勝文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.Jorion, Philippe(1997)。Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Controlling Derivatives Risk。New York:McGraw-Hill。  new window
 
 
 
 
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