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題名:不動產抵押貸款證券之評價--固定利率與浮動利率之比較分析
書刊名:管理研究學報
作者:陳明吉 引用關係羅容恆莊崴丞
作者(外文):Chen, Ming-chiLo, Henry Y.Zhuang, Wei-cheng
出版日期:2006
卷期:6:1
頁次:頁1-47
主題關鍵詞:不動產抵押貸款證券提前清償利率三元樹後推運算Mortgage-backed securitiesPrepaymentInterest rate trinomial treesBackward induction
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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不動產抵押貸款債權作為擔何發行債券,基本上有固定利率與浮動利率抵押貸款兩種結構。在美國以固定利率抵抽貸款較為常見,國內則由於代不動產抵押貸款次級市場,金融機構過去多只作浮動利率抵押貸款,將利率變動風險移轉給借款人承擔,但最近則開始有少數金融機構開始固定利率承貸。與美相較,臺灣由於國情、貸款特徵的差異,會造成與國外不同的提前還款水度與風險,進而影響貸款契約價值。因此本文對國內住宅押權證券化之浮動(ARM)與固定利率(FRM)抵押貸款作比較與探討。另外由於不動產抵押貸款證券隱含著提前清償選擇權的價值,借款人會依下一期所有可能出的價值來判斷是否要執行此選擇權,故本文使用Luenberger(1998)所提的leveling法,採後推運算方式作為簡點間的傳遞,比過採用方法更能清楚地表弄出下一期所有可能會發生的價值。研究結果發現,當均數回歸的調整速率愈大時,表示短期利率偏離長期水準時被拉回的力道就愈大,對FRM的價值有正向關係,但對ARM貨的的就幾乎沒有顯著的改變。而FRM價值會隨著利率波動性增大而下降。然而,對ARM的價值而言,由於每期契約利率是依實際的市場利率變動來調整,所以受到率波動性的影響不像FRM來得明顯。在相同的利差水準下,當利差較果愈大時,表示借款人對利率敏感度愈高,愈有可能會發生提前清償,所以,FRM貨和利差效果有反向關係,但對ARM價值下降幅度並非很明顯。
The interest rate structure for mortgage-backed securities (MBS) includes both adjusted rate (ARM) and fixed rate mortgage (FRM). Because of no secondary mortgage market in Taiwan, mortgages are always financed by adjusted rates for domestic banks in order to lower their interest rate risk. However, products of fixed rate mortgage are showing up due to market competition. Compared with the US MBS value. Therefore, this study investigates and compares the ARM and FRM for Taiwan mortgage market. We use leveling method proposed by Luenberger (1998) and backward induction, which can predict the MBS value more accurately. Our results suggest that when the higher then mean-reverting parameter emerges, interest results suggest that when the higher the mean-reverting parameter emerges, interest rate volatility has positive effect on the FRM value but no significant effect on the ARM. Increase of interest vate volatility will lower the value of the FRM, but has no significant effect on the ARM value. When interest spread increases, which suggests higher prepayment possibility, it has negative effect on the FRM value, but does not significantly affect the ARM value.
期刊論文
1.廖咸興、李阿乙(20010900)。推動抵押債權證券與金融機構流動性。新世紀智庫論壇,15,42-55。  延伸查詢new window
2.Anderson, G. A.、Barber, J. R.、Chang, C. H.(1993)。Prepayment Risk and the Duration of Default-Free Mortgage-Backed Securities。The Journal of Financial Research,16,1-9。  new window
3.Archer, W. R.、Ling, D. C.(1993)。Mortgage-Backed Securities: Integrating Optimal Call and Empirical Models of Prepayment。AREUEA Journal,21(4),373-404。  new window
4.Chow, Y.、Huang, C.、Liu, M.(2002)。Valuation of Adjustable rate Mortgage with automatic stretching maturity。Journal of Banking and Finance,24,1809-1829。  new window
5.Dunn , K. B.、McConnell, John J.(1981)。A Comparison of Alternative Model for Pricing GNMA Mortgage-Backed Securities。The Journal of Finance,36(2),471-487。  new window
6.Dunn, Kenneth B.、McConnell, John J.(1981)。Valuation of GNMA Mortgage-Backed Securities。The Journal of Finance,36(3),599-616。  new window
7.Giliberto, S. Michael、Thibodeau, Thomas G.(1989)。Modeling Conventional Residential Mortgage Refinancing。The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,2(4),285-299。  new window
8.Green, J.、Shoven, J. B.(1986)。The Effects of Interest Rates on Mortgage Prepayment。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,18(1),41-59。  new window
9.Hall, A. R.(1985)。Valuing The Mortgage Borrower’s Prepayment Option。AREUEA Journal,13(3),229-247。  new window
10.Harding, J. P.(2000)。Mortgage Valuation with Optimal Interemporal Refinancing Strategies。Journal of Housing Economics,9,233-266。  new window
11.Kau, James B.、Keenan, Donald C.、Muller III, Walter J.、Epperson, James F.(1993)。Option theory and floating-rate securities with comparison of adjustable- and fixed-rate mortgages。Journal of Business,66(4),595-619。  new window
12.Leung, W. K.、Sirmans, C. F.(1990)。A Lattice Approach to Pricing Fixed-Rate Mortgages with Default and Prepayment Options。AREUEA Journal,18(1),91-104。  new window
13.Murphy, A.(2000)。A comparative Analysis of the Pricing-Process Model of Mortgage Valuation。Review of Financial Economics,9,65-82。  new window
14.Navratil, Frank J.(1985)。The Estimation of Mortgage Prepayment Rates。Journal of Financial Research,8(2),107-117。  new window
15.Nothafta, F. E.、Perryb, V. G.(2002)。Do Mortgage Rates vary by neighbourhood? Implications for Loan pricing and Redlining。Journal of Housing Economics,11,244-265。  new window
16.Sprecher, C. R.、Williman, E.(2000)。The Role of the Initial Discount in the pricing of Adjustable Mortgage。Journal of Housing Economics,9,64-75。  new window
17.Hull, J. C.、White, A.(1994)。Numerical Procedures for Implementing Term Structure Models I: Single-Factor Models。The Journal of Derivatives,2(1),7-16。  new window
18.陳仁遶、廖咸興、楊太樂(19950400)。抵押貸款訂價模型之效率性--數值分析模型與封閉型解模型之比較。證券市場發展,7(2)=26,29-46。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.徐如慧(20011000)。資產證券化--Ginnie Mae保證機制運作模式淺論。證交資料,474,1-16。  延伸查詢new window
20.Schwartz, Eduardo S.、Torous, Walter N.(1989)。Prepayment and the Valuation of Mortgage Backed Securities。The Journal of Finance,44(2),375-392。  new window
21.劉展宏(20001200)。購屋貸款提前清償之研究。臺灣銀行季刊,51(4),1-16。new window  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.李國榮(1999)。跳躍--擴散過程下之債券及債券選擇權訂價(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.吳以苓(2000)。美國住宅抵押貸款擔保債券之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.范志仁(2001)。住宅抵押貸款之債權證券化評價--二因子之Hull-White模型(碩士論文)。高雄第一科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.高心怡(2000)。結合HULL-WHITE利率模型與PHM提前清償模型評價CMO利率衍生性商品(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.郭姿伶(2000)。住宅貸款之提前清償與逾期還款(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.張美華(2001)。住宅抵押債權證券化之探討-國內浮動利率貸款之評價(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.廖柏媛(2001)。不動產抵押貸款證券化之分析與評價(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
8.鄭惠佳(1999)。不動產抵押貸款債權證卷化之研究(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
9.何澤蘭(1999)。台灣不動產抵押債權證券化之推行及評價(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Fabozzi, F. J.(1993)。Fixed income mathematics: analytical & statistical techniques。Chicago, Illinois:Probus Publishing。  new window
2.Fabozzi, F. J.、Ramsey, C.、Ramirez, F. R.(1994)。Collateralized Mortgage Obligations: Structures and Analysis。Buckingham, PA:Frank J. Fabozzi Associates。  new window
3.Kendall, L. T.、Fishman, M. J.(1996)。A Primer on Securitization。Massachusetts Institute of Technology。  new window
4.Hull, J. C.(2000)。Options, Futures, & Other Derivatives。Upper Saddle River:Prentice Hall。  new window
5.Luenberger, D. G.(1998)。Investment Science。New York:Oxford University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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