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題名:軍事投資最適化比例之研究
書刊名:管理與系統
作者:陳勁甫 引用關係張正昌 引用關係陳仁龍
作者(外文):Chen, Ching-puChang, Cheng-changChen, Jen-lung
出版日期:2006
卷期:13:3
頁次:頁355-370
主題關鍵詞:軍事投資預算分配倒傳遞類神經網路基因遺傳演算法Military investmentBudget allocationBack-propagation neural networkGenetic algorithm
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(3) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:18
國防預算乃為一個國家達成其預定軍事戰略目標之量能,妥善規劃與運用有限之國防預算於各項軍事投資標的,將提升軍事作戰能力,進而確保國家安全。有關預算配置之相關研究文獻眾多,然而國防預算配置之文獻卻相當稀少。本研究提供一新的國防預算配置模型,以求取各項軍事投資標的之適當配置比例。首先,本研究蒐整1992至2004之預算資料並給予分類,以及透過對資深軍官之問卷,獲得防禦能力指標。本文定義之防禦能力指標係指「在美、日等國不介入的情況下,國軍能在一特定時間內成功保衛國家安全的可能性」。其次,本文引用倒傳遞類神經網路模擬防禦能力指標與各項軍事投資比例之適配函數;最後,運用基因遺傳演算法求取各項軍事標的之最適投資比例。研究結果顯示,在當前國防預算水準下,若能妥善規劃與運用預算,則能顯著增加國軍之防禦能力,而且武器系統更新與資訊戰兩投資項目應適度增加。
National defense budget is a measurement of a nation’s potential to achieve its military strategic goals. Allocating and utilizing the limited budget to various military objectives carefully will promote the military force and therefore enhance the assurance of national security. Budget allocation has been a popular research topic, but the allocation issue of national defense budget has rarely been considered in such research. This study proposes an alternative procedure to find an appropriate budget allocation ratio with respect to each military investment objective. First, we surveyed and clustered the financial data structure of ROC from 1992 to 2004 carefully, and obtained the defense-competence against PRC by the means of questionnaire designed for superior officers. The “defense-competence” considered here is “the probability of assurance of national security more than a scheduled time horizon when ROC operations against PRC by military force owning itself. Second, a fitness function between defense-competence and budget allocation is simulated using back-propagation neural network. Finally, a genetic algorithm is utilized to find a near-optimal allocation portfolio for all military investment objectives. The results demonstrate that the defense-competence will increase significantly if current level of budget is allocated effectively, as well as the investments of renew of weapon systems and the information warfare should be higher than the current level.
期刊論文
1.Bosch-Domenech, A.、Escribano, C.(1998)。Regional Allocation of Public Funds: An Evaluation Index。Environment and Planning, A,20,1323-1333。  new window
2.Carter, A. E.、Ragsdale, C. T.(2002)。Scheduling Pre-printed Newspaper Advertising Inserts Using Genetic Algorithms。Omega: The International Journal of Management Science,30,415-421。  new window
3.Corbett, C. J.、Debets, F. J. C.、Van Wassenhove, L. N.(1995)。Decentralization of Responsibility for Site Decontamination Projects: A Budget Allocation Approach。European Journal of Operational Research,86,103-119。  new window
4.Chiang, C. L.、Su, C. T.、Wang, F. S.(2002)。Augmented Lagrangian Method for Evolutionary Optimization of Mixed-integer Nonlinear Constrained Problems。International Mathematical Journal,2(2),119-154。  new window
5.Docwra, G.、Strong, S.(1985)。Road Fund Allocation: An Analysis of Decision Criteria。International Journal of Transport Economics,12(3),283-300。  new window
6.Goldberg, D. E.(1994)。Genetic and Evolutionary Algorithm Come of Age。Communications of the ACM,37(3),113-119。  new window
7.Lee, K. Y.、Yang, F. F.(1998)。Optimal Reactive Power Planning Using Evolutionary Algorithms: A Comparative Study for Evolutionary Programming, Evolutionary Strategy, Genetic Algorithm, and Linear Programming。IEEE Transactions on Power Systems,13(1),101-108。  new window
8.Lootsma, F. A.、Mensch, T. C. A.、Vos, F. A.(1990)。Multi-criteria Analysis and Budget Reallocation in Long-term Research Planning。European Journal of Operational Research,47,293-305。  new window
9.Lotfy, E. A. M.、Samech, A.(2002)。Applying Neural Networks in Case-based Reasoning Adaptation for Cost Assessment of Steel Buildings。International Journal of Computers & Applications,24(1),28-38。  new window
10.Moribayashi, M.、Wu, C. Y.(1990)。A Decision Support System for Capital Budgeting and Allocation。Computers & Industrial Engineering,19(1),524-528。  new window
11.Minami, K.、Nakajima, H.、Toyoshima, T.(1999)。Real-time Discrimination of Ventricular Tachyarrhythmia with Fourier-transform Neural Network。IEEE Transactions on Biomedical Engineering,46(2),179-185。  new window
12.Reategui, E. B.、Campbell, J. A.、Leao, B. F.(1997)。Combining a Neural Network with Case-based Reasoning in a Diagnostic System。Artificial Intelligence in Medicine,9(1),5-27。  new window
13.Zanakis, S. H.(1991)。A Multicriteria Approach for Library Needs Assessment and Budget Allocation。Socio-Economic Planning Sciences,25(3),233-245。  new window
會議論文
1.陳勁甫、張正昌、孟德中(2004)。專案推移理論內涵暨其於軍事戰略規劃應用研究-以建構地面防衛作戰能量為例。0。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.林小萍(1999)。中小企業預算分配之模糊多目標決策方法,0。  延伸查詢new window
2.黃道淵(1999)。國防財力分配之研究-以空軍總部為例,0。  延伸查詢new window
3.張寶光(1998)。國防預算方配之研究-系統動態分配模式,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.國防部「國防報告書」編纂委員會(200008)。中華民國八十九年國防報告書。臺北:國防部。  延伸查詢new window
2.Gen, M.、Cheng, R.(1997)。Genetic Algorithms and Engineering Design。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
3.國防部(2000)。國軍軍事戰略要綱。國軍軍事戰略要綱。0。  延伸查詢new window
4.Holland, J. H.(1992)。Adaptation in Natural and Artificial System: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence。Adaptation in Natural and Artificial System: An Introductory Analysis with Applications to Biology, Control, and Artificial Intelligence。0。  new window
 
 
 
 
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