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題名:分析師盈餘預測誤差與盈餘宣告時點對盈餘管理之影響
書刊名:文大商管學報
作者:蔡佳君賴靜惠陳育成 引用關係
作者(外文):Tsai, Chia-chunLai, Ching-huiChen, Yu-cheng
出版日期:2005
卷期:10:2
頁次:頁85-105
主題關鍵詞:分析師盈餘預測誤差盈餘宣告時點盈餘管理Analyst earnings forecast errorsEarnings announcement timingEarnings management
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:33
先前的文獻多探討盈餘宣告時點對股價是否有反應,衡量其資訊內涵程度,且大多數國內研究結果均未發現盈餘宣告時點具有資訊內涵。本研究以分析師預期與公司經理人宣告盈餘之間的差距(即未預期盈餘),探討我國一般產業上市公司利用盈餘宣告時點,以裁決性應計項目之操縱來掩飾其本身經營之實際情況,試著從財務報告間接證實盈餘宣告時點具有資訊價值。實證結果發現:不論是好消息或壞消息之情況下,延後宣告盈餘者與其他宣告時點相比,其管理盈餘幅度均最大。延後宣告樣本與異常應計數相關性之測試,亦呈顯著正相關,表示延後天數越多,其盈餘管理幅度越大。而在探討延後宣告盈餘者之公司屬性方面。全部延後宣告樣本之檢定,除負債比率變數達顯著水準外,其餘均不顯著。好消息延後樣本中,負債比率變數與公司規模代理變數均呈顯著相關。壞消息延後樣本中,僅負債比率變數呈顯著相關。
Previous literature defined the information content of earnings announcement by testing their response to the stock price. Most internal empirical results have not found the information content of earnings announcement timing. According to the disparity of earnings announcement timing between the analyst and manager announcement, this study discusses the public company in Taiwan's earnings management problem controlled earnings announcement timing. This research tries try to verify earnings management via discretionary accrual conditioned earnings announcement timing. Empirical results found that late announcement of the good news sample group and the bad news sample group manipulates range more than the others. This research found significant positive correlation exists between the deferred announcement and abnormal accruals. Finally, in the characteristic of late announcement company, this research also found significant positive correlation exists between the days of deferred announcement and debt rate.
期刊論文
1.Dyer, J. C.、Mchugh, A. J.(1975)。The Timeliness of the Australian Annual Report。Journal of Accounting Research,13(2),204-219。  new window
2.Trueman, B.(1990)。Theories of Earnings-Announcement Timing。Journal of Accounting & Economics,13(3),285-301。  new window
3.DeAngelo, H.、DeAngelo, L.、Skinner, D.(1994)。Accounting Choices of Troubled Companies。Journal of Accounting and Economics,17(1/2),113-143。  new window
4.Kasznik, Ron、Lev, Baruch(1995)。To warn or not to warn: Management disclosures in the face of an earnings surprise。The Accounting Review,70(1),113-134。  new window
5.Chambers, Anne E.、Penman, Stephen H.(1984)。Timeliness of Reporting and the Stock Price Reaction to Earnings Announcements。Journal of Accounting Research,22(1),21-47。  new window
6.Kross, W.(198208)。Profitability, earnings announcement time lags, and stock price。Journal of Business, Finance and Accounting,9,313-328。  new window
7.Marquardt, D. W.(198003)。should standardize the predictor variables in your regression models, discussion of a critique of some ridge regression methods。Journal of the American Statistical Association,75,87-91。  new window
8.Skinner, D.(1994)。Why firms voluntarily disclosure bad news。Journal of Accounting Research,32,38-57。  new window
9.林宜勉(19940900)。財務分析師預測之探討。商業職業教育,58,39-45。  延伸查詢new window
10.Givoly, D.、Palmon, D.(1982)。Timeliness of annual earning announcements: some empirical evidence。The Accounting Review,57(3),486-508。  new window
11.Han, Jerry C. Y.、Wang, Shiing-Wu(1998)。Political costs and earnings management of oil companies during the 1990 Persian Gulf Crisis。The Accounting Review,73(1),103-117。  new window
12.Kross, William、Ro, Byung、Schroeder, Douglas(1990)。Earnings expectation: the analysts' information advantage。The Accounting Review,65(2),461-476。  new window
13.Fama, Eugene F.(19911200)。Efficient Capital Markets。Journal of Finance,46(5),1575-1617。  new window
14.Givoly, Dan、Lakonishok, Josef(1979)。The Information Content of Financial Analysts' Forecasts of Earnings: Some Evidence on Semi-strong Inefficiency。Journal of Accounting & Economics,1(3),165-185。  new window
15.Watts, Ross L.、Zimmerman, Jerold L.(1978)。Towards a positive theory of the determination of accounting standards。The Accounting Review,53(1),112-134。  new window
16.Schipper, Katherine(1989)。Commentary on earnings management。Accounting Horizons,3(4),91-102。  new window
17.Beaver, William H.(2002)。Perspectives on Recent Capital Market Research。The Accounting Review,77(2),453-474。  new window
18.Chai, M. L.、Tung, S.(2002)。The effect of earnings-announcement timing on earnings management。Journal of Business Finance and Accounting,29(9/10),1337-1354。  new window
學位論文
1.李釗芹(2000)。臺灣上市公司自行宣告盈餘資訊內涵之研究(碩士論文)。東海大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.林鎮邦(1979)。臺灣地區股票上市公司公佈之財務報表所含情報量之研究(碩士論文)。台灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.周以隆(1994)。臺灣股票上市公司年報公告時效性之實證研究(碩士論文)。東吳大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.洪立勝(2001)。我國上市公司分析師盈餘預測與盈餘管理關聯性之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.陳健裕(2001)。上櫃股票財務報表公告效果之研究(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.鄭雅文(1993)。盈餘宣告時點與股價報酬關聯性之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.余尚武(1986)。臺灣證券市場股票上市公司盈餘宣告所含資訊內容之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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