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題名:股票衍生性商品組合保證金系統之建構與比較
書刊名:中山管理評論
作者:劉德明 引用關係戴良安
作者(外文):Lieu, Der-mingTai, Liang-ann
出版日期:2007
卷期:15:4
頁次:頁817-853
主題關鍵詞:保證金系統對角化模型風險值SPANTIMSMargining systemDiagonal model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:84
本研究使用情節模擬法,透過對角化單因子結構化模型,提出全新的衡量含個股選擇權、指數期貨與股票組合保證金需求的新模型─Beta情節模擬,計算程序上不但可以簡化SPAN保證金系統跨商品折抵問題,在理論上亦可以改善TIMS系統跨商品信用折抵成數過於簡化的缺失。本研究以含股票選擇權組合的歷史資料對Beta情節模擬,進行保證金需求的回溯測試,並與其他主要之含選擇權組合保證金系統進行比較分析。 實證結果顯示,只有SPAN與Beta情節模擬系統能有效的估計含選擇權投資組合之保證金需求,但Beta情節模擬在同樣程度的保護下比SPAN用顯著較少的保證金就能達到目的且計算方法遠比SPAN簡便。因此本研究提出之新模型不但是合股票選擇權組合計算保證金需求較佳的模型,也是計算含股票選擇權組合風險值評量之較佳依據。
We modified the scenario analysis with a diagonal model to present a new margining system called Beta-Simulation to calculate margin requirements for portfolios that include stock index futures contract, stocks and stock options. The new system will use the estimated Beta to simplify the appropriate collateral requirement offset estimate for inter-commodity spread, thus easier than SPAN in computational procedure but offering sounder theoretical basis than TIMS for credit offset estimates among individual stock options. When testing with a portfolio consisting stocks, index futures, index options and stock options, the new margining system provides almost the same market risk protection as the SPAN system but with collateral levels that are significantly less than the level required by SPAN. All other competing systems including TIMS, Monte-Carlo simulation, and delta-gamma normal systems could not pass the likelihood-ratio test and could not provide the same coverage.
期刊論文
1.Black, F.、Scholes, M.(1973)。The Pricing of Option and Corporate Liabilities。Journal of Political Economy,81,637-654。  new window
2.Hardouvelis, G. A.、Kim, D.(1995)。Margin Requirements, Price Fluctuations and Market Participation in Metal Futures。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,27(3),659-671。  new window
3.Sharpe, William F.(1963)。A simplified model for portfolio analysis。Management Science,9(2),277-293。  new window
4.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
5.Kupiec, Paul H.(1995)。Techniques for Verifying the Accuracy of Risk Measurement Models。Journal of Derivatives,3(2),73-84。  new window
6.Kupiec, P.、White, P.(1996)。Regulatory Competition and the Efficiency of Alternative Derivative Product Margining System。The Journal of Futures Markets,16,943-968。  new window
7.Kupiec, P.(1994)。The Performance of S&P 500 Futures Product Margins under the SPAN Margining System。The Journal of Futures Markets,14(7),789-811。  new window
研究報告
1.張傳章(2003)。整戶風險保證金分析與評估之研究。  延伸查詢new window
2.劉德明(2000)。風險值計量模型之理論與實證--以風險值的角度比較SPAN與TIMS對含選擇權的投資組合風險衡量的正確性。台北:臺灣證券集中保管公司。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Elton, Edwin J.、Gruber, Martin J.(1995)。Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis。John Wiley and Sons, Inc.。  new window
2.Jorion, P.(2001)。Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk。McGraw-Hill。  new window
3.Press, W. H.、Teukolsky, S. A.、Vetterling, W. T.、Flannery, B. P.(1992)。Numerical recipes in C: The art of scientific computing。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
其他
1.The Option Clearing Corporation(2001)。OCC-TIMS User's Guide Version 2,0。  new window
2.Chicago Mercantile Exchange(2001)。SPAN Technical Specification,0。  new window
3.CDS(2003)。CDS Settlement Services Risk Model Version 3.2.1,0。  new window
 
 
 
 
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