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題名:銀行財富管理業務之作業風險--從連動債券信用危機觀察
書刊名:經濟論文
作者:劉永欽 引用關係
作者(外文):Liu, Yong-chin
出版日期:2009
卷期:37:2
頁次:頁137-171
主題關鍵詞:巴塞爾資本協定II作業風險聲譽風險事件研究法財富管理業務連動債券Basel agreement IIOperational riskReputational riskEvent study methodWealth management servicesStructured notes
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:10
  • 點閱點閱:45
本文檢視2008年興業銀行舞弊事件、雷曼兄弟財務危機及事件後政府公佈處理作法下,本國銀行財富管理業務之聲譽風險(屬作業風險)對其資本市值(股價)的影響。因銀行的不當行銷導致連動債發行或保證機構發生危機時,客戶因損失而歸咎銀行,使其承受了聲譽損失。在事件研究法和橫斷面迴歸分析後發現,事件期間銀行股票有顯著負異常報酬;雷曼兄弟事件中,銀行負報酬無法完全由本身投資損失和預期財管收入減少所解釋,而與財管業務發展程度有關:發展程度較高者,因聲譽風險較大,負異常報酬愈大。這點亦由觀察政府維護投資人權益作法之提出期間銀行股價的變化獲得支持。因此,銀行拓展財管業務可能發生聲譽風險並遭致市場價值損失。 本文檢視 2008年興業銀行舞弊事件、雷曼兄弟財務危機及事件後政府公佈處理作法下,本國銀行財富管理業務之聲譽風險(屬作業風險)對其資本市值(股價)的影響。因銀行的不當行銷導致連動債發行或保證機構發生危機時,客戶因損失而歸咎銀行,使其承受了聲譽損失。在事件研究法和橫斷面迴歸分析後發現,事件期間銀行股票有顯著負異常報酬;雷曼兄弟事件中,銀行負報酬無法完全由本身投資損失和預期財管收入減少所解釋,而與財管業務發展程度有關:發展程度較高者,因聲譽風險較大,負異常報酬愈大。這點亦由觀察政府維護投資人權益作法之提出期間銀行股價的變化獲得支持。因此,銀行拓展財管業務可能發生聲譽風險並遭致市場價值損失。
This paper investigates the impact of reputational risk (belonging to operational risks) of wealth management services (WMS) on market values (stock prices) in Taiwan’s banks from the internal fraud of Societe Generale, financial crisis of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., and declaration of government’s handling measures. When the issuing or guaranteeing institutions of structured notes have credit crises, banks offering WMS suffer from reputational risks because their clients make losses on their investment in structured notes, and thus ascribe the blame to their improper marketing. Using various event studies and a cross-sectional regression, I find that on average Taiwanese banks have significantly negative abnormal returns on stocks around the periods of the three above-mentioned events. For the Lehman Brothers event, these negative returns can not be completely explained by securities investment losses of bank themselves or decreased expected income from WMS, and, therefore, are related to the extent of development of WMS. The higher the development of WMS, the larger the negative abnormal returns due to higher reputational risks, which is also supported by evidence from examining stock returns around the period of the government’s actions to safeguard investors. Thus, banks engaging in WMS are likely to undergo reputational risks and a decline in market value.
期刊論文
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2.Bera, A.、Bubnys, E.、Park, H.(1988)。Conditional heteroscedasticity in the market model and efficient estimates of betas。Financial Review,23(2),201-214。  new window
3.Nelson, Daniel B.(1992)。Filtering and Forecasting with Misspecified ARCH Models I: Getting the Right Variance with the Wrong Model。Journal of Econometrics,52(1/2),61-90。  new window
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5.Ikenberry, David L.、Theo, Vermaelen、Lakonishok, J.(1995)。Market Underreaction to Open Market Share Repurchases。Journal of Financial Economics,39(2/3),181-208。  new window
6.劉永欽(20090100)。股票購回宣告後股價是否過度反應?過度自信與自我歸因偏誤的觀點。證券市場發展,20(4)=80,39-86。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.James, Christopher M.、Flannery, Mark J.(1984)。The Effect of Interest Rate Changes on the Common Stock Returns of Financial Institutions。The Journal of Finance,39(4),1141-1153。  new window
8.郭敏華、黃威智(20031200)。投資人代表性捷思傾向之探討--以類似事件資訊效果之關聯性為例。中華管理評論,6(6),34-49。  延伸查詢new window
9.沈中華、郭照榮、陳曉蓉(20010400)。臺灣銀行業的淨利息邊際決定因素。中國財務學刊,9(1),47-83。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.Atiase, Rowland Kwame(1985)。Predisclosure Information, Firm Capitalization, and Security Price Behavior Around Earnings Announcements。Journal of Accounting Research,23(1),21-36。  new window
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13.Ghosh, Asim K.(1992)。Market Model Corrected for Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity and the Small Firm Effect。The Journal of Financial Research,15(3),277-283。  new window
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17.張修齊。從新巴賽爾資本協定看作業風險管理。臺灣金融財務季刊,4(1),55-77。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Binder, John J.。On the Use of the Multivariate Regression Model in Event Studies。Journal of Accounting Research,23(1),370-383。  new window
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研究報告
1.Gillet, R.、Hubner, G.、Plunus, S.。Operational Risk and Reputation in the Financial Industry。  new window
2.Gonzalez, L.、Auda, H.。Re-sampling Methods in Regression: Which Method to Use under Non-normality?。  new window
3.Perry, J.、De Fontnouvelle, P.。Measuring Reputational Risk: The Market Reaction to Operational Loss Announcements。Boston, MA:Barclays Global Investors and Federal Reserve Bank of Boston。  new window
圖書
1.中央銀行。中華民年九十六年金融穩定報告。中華民年九十六年金融穩定報告。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
2.鍾惠民、吳壽山、周賓凰、范懷文。財金計量。財金計量。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
3.Cruz, M. G.。Modeling, Measuring and Hedging Operational Risk。Modeling, Measuring and Hedging Operational Risk。New York, NY。  new window
4.Hastorf, A.、Schneider, D.、Polefka, J.。Person Perception。Person Perception。Menlo Park, CA。  new window
5.Saunders, A.、Cornett, M. M.。Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach。New York, NY:McGraw-Hill。  new window
其他
1.隋榮欣。臺灣財富管理業務運作及經驗分享,臺北。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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