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題名:均值-風險投資組合模式之分析與比較:常態與非常態資料
書刊名:文大商管學報
作者:許晉雄 引用關係鄒慶士葉柏緯
作者(外文):Hsu, Chin-hsiungTsou, Ching-shihYeh, Po-wei
出版日期:2009
卷期:14:2
頁次:頁71-98
主題關鍵詞:左偏動差半變異數絕對離差條件風險值投資組合績效Lower partial momentSemivarianceMean absolute deviationConditional value-at-riskPortfolio performance measurement
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在傳統投資組合理論中,最著名的爲Markowitz(1952)所提出的均值-變異數模式,此模式係以變異數來衡量風險,不過以此來估計風險時,無論價格上漲或下跌皆視爲相同風險,但以此來測量風險,無法適當反應低機率事件的風險。基於上述觀點,Markowitz(1959)針對此現象作了修正,提出了半變異數(Semivariance)的觀念,而Estrada(2008)進而以此半變異數爲損失風險的觀念發展出一種較簡易的平均數-半變異數模型,其次,Bawa and Lindenberg(1977)以左偏動差(Lowe Partial Moment)做爲損失風險的觀念而發展出平均數-左偏動差模型。再者,Konno and Yamazaki(1991)另外提出了平均數-平均絕對離差模型,此模型不但節省計算時間,並且在求解最適投資組合時,也不需要共變異數矩陣,所以降低了計算上的困難度,最後,Rockafellar and Uryasev(2000)則以條件風險值(Conditional Value-at-Risk)爲損失風險的觀念發展出平均數-條件風險值模型。綜觀上述不同風險測量之投資組合模型,本研究以半變異數、左偏動差、平均絕對離差、條件風險值來衡量投資組合的風險,與利用變異數來衡量風險作比較,分別在常態與非常態分配下,分析其所求解出的最適投資組合之關係與差異,並進行相似度分析。
Markowitz (1952) proposed the famous mean-variance (MV) model for portfolio selection. In the MV model, the risk of investment is measured by variance. However, from the view of measuring risk, the variance is not a satisfactory measure of risk since it penalizes gains and losses in the same way, and the variance is inappropriate to reflect the risk of low probability events. Due to above reason, many researchers had proposed different points of view to measure risks. For example, Markowitz (1959) proposed another risk measurement, semivariance (SV), to avoid this shortcoming. Next, Estrada (2008) developed a theory to evaluate the downside risk which is derived from the concept of the semivariance. Bawa and Lindenberg (1977) developed a theory to evaluate the downside risk model named "Mean Lower Partial Moment" (MLPM) model which is derived from the concept of the Lower Partial Moment. Then, Konno and Yamazaki (1991) proposed the mean mean absolute deviation (MMAD) as alternative to the mean variance (MV) model. Finally, Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) developed a theory to evaluate the downside risk model named "Mean Conditional Value-at-Risk" (MCVaR) model which is derived from the concept of the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). They claim it retains all the positive features of the MV model, saves the investor computing time, and dose not required the covariance matrix. The main subject of this paper is to make some comparisons and analyses among these portfolio risk models whose risks measured by variance, SV, LPM, MAD and CVaR under normal and nonnormal real data, respectively.
期刊論文
1.Bawa, V. S.(1975)。Optimal Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects。Journal of Financial Economics,2(1),95-121。  new window
2.Cheng, P.、Wolverton, M. L.(2001)。MPT and the Downside Risk Framework: A Comment on Two Recent Studies。Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management,7(2),125-131。  new window
3.Estrada, J.(2002)。Systematic Risk in Emerging Markets: The D-CAPM。Emerging Markets Review,3(4),365-379。  new window
4.Estrada, J.(2007)。Mean-Semivariance Behavior: Downside Risk and Capital Asset Pricing。International Review of Economics and Financey,16(2),169-185。  new window
5.Alexander, G. J.、Baptista, A. M.(2002)。Economic Implications of using a Mean-VaR Model for Portfolio Selection: A Comparison with Mean-Variance Analysis。Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control,26,1159-1193。  new window
6.Hogan, W.、Warren M.(1974)。Toward the Development of an Equilibrium Capital-Market Model Based on Semivariance。Journal of Financial Quantitative Analysis,9(1),1-11。  new window
7.Konno, H.(1990)。Piecewise Linear Risk Functions and Portfolio Optimization。Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan,33(2),139-156。  new window
8.Lee, C. L.(2007)。The Strengths and Limitations of Risk Measures in Real Estate: A Review。Malaysian Journal of Real Estate,1(1),68-74。  new window
9.Phillips, H. E.(1993)。Portfolio Optimization Algorithms, Simplified Criteria, and Security Selection: A Contrast and Evaluation。Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,3,91-97。  new window
10.Angelelli, R.、Mansini, R.、Speranza, M. G.(2008)。A comparison of MAD and CVaR models with real features。Journal of Banking & Finance,32(7),1188-1197。  new window
11.Roy, Arthur D.(1952)。Safety First and the Holding of Assets。Econometrica,20(3),431-449。  new window
12.Fishburn, P. C.(1977)。Mean-Risk Analysis with Risk Associated with Below-Target Returns。American Economic Review,67(2),116-126。  new window
13.Nawrocki, D. N.(1999)。A Brief History of Downside Risk Measures。Journal of Investing,8(3),9-25。  new window
14.Estrada, J.(2008)。Mean-Semivariance Optimization: A Heuristic Approach。Journal of Applied Finance,14(1),57-72。  new window
15.Evans, J. L.(2004)。Wealthy Investor Attitudes, Expectations, and Behaviors toward Risk and Return。The Journal of Wealth Management,7(1),12-18。  new window
16.Lee, C. L.(2006)。Downside Risk Analysis in Australin commercial Property。Australian Property Journal,39(1),16-20。  new window
17.Konno, H.、Yamazaki, H.(1991)。Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its applications to Tokyo stock market。Management Science,37(5),519-531。  new window
18.Artzner, P.、Delbaen, F.、Eber, J. M.、Heath, D.(1999)。Coherent Measure of Risk。Mathematical Finance,9(3),203-228。  new window
19.Lucas, A.、Klaassen, P.(1998)。Extreme Returns, Downside Risk, and Optimal Asset Allocation。Journal of Portfolio Management,25(1),71-79。  new window
20.Rockafellar, R. T.、Uryasev, S.(2000)。Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk。Journal of Risk,2(3),21-42。  new window
21.Jarque, Carlos M.、Bera, Anil K.(1980)。Efficient Tests for Normality, Homoscedasticity and Serial Independence of Regression Residuals。Economics Letters,6(3),255-259。  new window
22.Bawa, Vijay S.、Lindenberg, Eric B.(1977)。Capital Market Equilibrium in a Mean-lower Partial Moment Framework。Journal of Financial Economics,5(2),189-200。  new window
23.Campbell, R.、Huisman, R.、Koedijk, K.(2001)。Optimal Portfolio Selection in a Value-at-Risk Framework。Journal of Banking and Finance,25(9),1789-1804。  new window
24.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
會議論文
1.Byrne, P.、Lee, L.(2004)。Different Risk Measures: Different Portfolio Compositions?。The 11th Annual European Real Estate Society Meeting Milan。Italy。1-13。  new window
圖書
1.Bacon, C. R.(2004)。Practical Portfolio Performance Measurement and Attribution。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
2.Cuthbertson, K.(1996)。Quantitative Financial Economics-Stocks, Bonds and Foreign Exchange。John Wiley & Sons。  new window
3.Markowitz, H. M.(1959)。Portfolio Selection。John Wiley & Sons。  new window
 
 
 
 
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