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題名:開放經濟體系政策不確定情況下匯率目標區的蜜月效果直覺圖形分析--以總合供給干擾為例
書刊名:經濟與管理論叢
作者:廖培賢 引用關係沈昱昕
作者(外文):Liaw, Peir-shyanShen, Yu-shin
出版日期:2010
卷期:6:1
頁次:頁33-77
主題關鍵詞:匯率目標區蜜月效果布朗運動目標區重整資本移動性Exchange rate target zoneHoneymoon effectBrowian motionRealignmentThe relative magnitude of capital mobility degree
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:10
  • 點閱點閱:21
This paper extends the theoretical framework of Frenkel and Rodriguez (1982); Sutherland (1995) model to policy uncertainty case. In a stoachastic open macroeconomic model is characterized by purchasing power parity postulate doesn't hold and imperfect capital mobility, we use the Lai and Chang's (2001) "new graphical approach" to interprate if a country is faced with stoachastic disturbance of aggregate supply and the monetary authority adopts the "exchange rate target zones" policy, what will be the effect of these disturbances on the possible honeymoon effect of relevant macroeconomic variables? The major findings are: (1) The capital mobility degree is the key factor to determine wherther the relevant macroeconomic variables have the honeymoon effect and explain the positive empirical relationships between the exchange rate and interests rate which was observed by Kempa and Nelles (1999) or not? (2) If the monetary authority perhaps maintains the target zone policy or realigns the central parity of exchange rate, the local people are faced with this uncertain policy, the relative magnitude of capital mobility degree and the probability of local people expect the monetary authority will realign the central parity of exchange rate are the key factors to determine whether the relevant macroeconomic variables own the honeymoon effect and explain the positive empirical relationships between the exchange rate and interests rate which was observed by Kempa and Nelles (1999) or not?
期刊論文
1.黃秋瓊、胡士文(200806)。匯率目標區和股價之穩定。交大管理學報,28(1),169-203。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Blinder, A. S.(2000)。Central-Bank Credibility: Why Do We Care? How Do We Build It?。American Economic Review,90(5),1421-1431。  new window
3.Devereux, M. B.、Purvis, D. D.(1990)。Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate。European Economic Review,34,1201-1211。  new window
4.Girton, L.、Roper, D.(1977)。A Monetary Model of Exchange Market Pressure Applied to the Postwar Canadian Experience。American Economic Review,67,537-548。  new window
5.Svensson, L. E. O.(1992)。An Interpretation of Recent Research on Exchange Rate Target Zones。Journal of Economic Perspectives,6(4),119-144。  new window
6.Gärtner M.(2000)。Political Macroeconomics: A Survey of Recent Developments。Journal of Economic Surveys,5,527-561。  new window
7.Cheung, Y. W.、Lai, K. S.(1993)。Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity during the Recent Float。Journal of International Economics,34(1),181-192。  new window
8.Pippenger, M.(1993)。Cointegration Tests of Purchasing Power Parity: the Case of Swiss Exchanges Rates。Journal of International Money and Finance,12,9-19。  new window
9.Svensson, L. E. O.(1991)。Target Zones and Interest Rate Variability。Journal of International Economics,31,27-54。  new window
10.Miller, M.、Weller, P.(1991)。Exchange Rate Bands with Price Inertia。The Economic Journal,101,1380-1399。  new window
11.Kempa, B.、Nelles, M.(1999)。The Theory of Exchange Rate Target Zones。Journal of Economics Surveys,13(2),173-210。  new window
12.Rogoff, K.(1985)。The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,100,1169-1190。  new window
13.Daniel, B. C.(1989)。One-Sided Uncertainty about Future Fiscal Policy。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,21,176-189。  new window
14.Krugman, P.(1991)。Target Zones and Exchange Rate Dynamics。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,106,669-682。  new window
15.Klein, M. W.(1990)。Playing with the Band: Dynamic Effects of Target Zones in an Open Economy。International Economic Review,31,757-772。  new window
16.Prescott, E. C.、Kydland, F. E.(1977)。Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optimal Plans。Journal of Political Economy,85,473-492。  new window
17.Delgado, F.、Dumas, B.(1993)。Monetary Contracting between Central Banks and the Design of Sustainable Exchange-Rate Zones。Journal of International Economics,34,201-224。  new window
18.Flood, R. P.、Garber, P. M.(1991)。The Linkage between Speculative Attack and Target Zone Models of Exchange Rates。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,106,1367-1372。  new window
19.Sutherland, A.(1995)。Monetary and Real Shocks and the Optimal Target Zone。European Economic Review,39,161-172。  new window
20.Miller, M.、Weller, P.(1991)。Currency Bands, Target Zones, and Price Flexibility。IMF Staff Papers,38,184-215。  new window
21.Frenkel, J. A.、Rodriguez, C. A.(1982)。Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Overshooting Hypothesis。IMF Staff Papers,29,1-30。  new window
22.Lai, C. C.、Chang, J. J.(2001)。“A note on inflation targeting”。Journalof Economic Education,32,369–380。  new window
23.Lai, C. C.、C. R. Fang、J. J. Chang(2008)。Volatility Trade-offs in Exchange Rate Target Zones。International Review of Economics & Finance,17,336-379。  new window
24.Walsh, C. E.,(1995)。Optimal Contracts for Central Bankers。American economic Review,85,150-167。  new window
25.Taylor, M. R.(1988)。An Empirical Examination of Long-Run Purchasing Power Parity Using Cointegration Techniques。Applied Economics,20,1369-1381。  new window
26.Fleming, J. M.(1962)。Domestic Financial Policies under Fixed and under Floating Exchange Rates。International Monetary Fund Staff Papers,9,369-380。  new window
會議論文
1.吳中書、陳寶媛(1993)。資本非自由移動下匯率目標區之動態效果229-64。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.沈昱昕(2006)。開放經濟體系政策不確定情況下匯率目標區的蜜月效果分析--以總合供給干擾為例(碩士論文)。東海大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳淑華(1996)。匯率目標區政策與物價目標區政策的抉擇(碩士論文)。輔仁大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.陳志祿(2001)。匯率目標區體制下的安定效果:圖形解析(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.謝智源(1995)。匯率目標區政策之不確定性分析(碩士論文)。逢甲大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Kreinin, M. E.、Officer, H. O.(1978)。The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments: a Survey。Princeton University。  new window
2.賴景昌(2007)。國際金融理論--基礎篇。華泰圖書有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.賴景昌(1994)。國際金融理論-進階篇。臺北:茂昌圖書有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Krugman, P.、Rotemberg, J.(1992)。Attacks on Target Zones," Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands,Cambridge。Exchange Rate Targets and Currency Bands。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Salop, Joanne(1974)。Devaluation and the Balance of Trade under Flexible Wages。Trade, Stability, and Macroeconomics: Essays in Honor of Lloyd A. Metzler。New York, NY:Academic Press。  new window
3.Purvis, Douglas D.(1979)。Wage Responsiveness and the Insulation Properties of a Flexible Exchange Rate。Inflation and Employment in Open Economies: Essays。Amsterdam, Netherlands/ New York, NY:North-Holland Publishing Company。  new window
 
 
 
 
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