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題名:應用靜態與動態方法建構共同基金的投資組合
書刊名:管理學報
作者:許光華 引用關係
作者(外文):Hsu, Kuang-hua
出版日期:2010
卷期:27:1
頁次:頁75-96
主題關鍵詞:共同基金動態共變異數模型風險值修正夏普指標投資組合評選Mutual fundsDynamic covariance modelValue at riskImproved sharpe ratioPortfolio selection
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:27
如何建構一個兼顧報酬與風險控管的投資組合,是投資共同基金的首要議題。基於 Markowitz(1952)提出的 M-V投資組合模型可能造成變異數及共變異數衡量的偏誤,因此,本文以樣本共變異數模型 (SAM)、內含因素模型(IFAC)等兩種靜態模型,並參酌 Alexander and Leigh(1997)的內含因子 GARCH模型(IFAC-G)與 Vrontos et al.(2003)的全因子多變量 GARCH模型(FFMG)等兩個動態模型,以台灣經濟新報資料庫 (TEJ)所篩選出的標的基金,據以建構投資組合,探討基金組合樣本外 (out-of sample)每期之共變異數矩陣及預期報酬,復以風險值 (VaR)及相對基準點風險值 (BRVaR)之修正夏普指標,驗證各模型風險控管之敏銳度,試圖搜尋出較具效率的共變異數矩陣預測模型。實證結果發現上述四種模型中, FFMG模型擁有相對於其它三種模型較高的平均報酬及修正的夏普指標;換言之, FFMG動態共變異數模型最能有效確保投資報酬並控制投資風險。此項發現有助於投資人及金融機構的基金研究者,據以建構合宜的共同基金投資組合。
It is a key issue to construct a suitable portfolio model for the determination of rate of return and the risk monitoring. Owing to the possible measurement error of variance and covariance for Markowitz’s M-V model, in the present study, it employs two static models and two dynamic models, which are the sample covariance model (SAM), implicit factor model (IFAC), implicit factor GARCH model (IFAC-G) and full-factor multivariate GARCH model (FFMG). The sample is drawn from the database of Taiwan Economic Journal (TEJ). It uses these static and dynamic covariance/correlation prediction models and compares the optimized portfolios’ out-of-sample performance. Furthermore, based on the criteria of Value at Risk (VaR) and benchmark-relative Value at Risk (BRVaR) of the improved Sharpe ratio, it might find more efficient covariance matrix portfolios model of the mutual fund in order to obtain higher and stable returns in the mutual fund markets. The empirically results find out that the average returns and improved Sharpe ratio in FFMG is higher than those in three other models. In other words, FFMG could relatively make returns and efficiently control the risk of the investment in the mutual fund market. This finding provides helpful insights for investors and analysts of financial institutes who wishing to adopt an approach for mutual funds portfolio selection.
期刊論文
1.Murray, S.(1999)。Benchmark-Relative Value at Risk。Derivatives Quarterly,5(4),37-45。  new window
2.Engle, R. F.、Ng, V.、Rothschild, M.(1990)。Asset pricing with a factor ARCH covariance structure: empirical estimates for Treasury Bills。Journal of Econometrics,45(1/2),213-238。  new window
3.Schwager, J.(1985)。Alternative to Sharpe Ratio better Measure of Performance。Future,14(3),56-58。  new window
4.Beder, Tanya Styblo(1995)。VAR: Seductive but Dangerous。Financial Analysts Journal,51(5),12-24。  new window
5.Alexander, C. O.、Leigh, C. T.(1997)。On the Covariance Matrices Used in Value at Risk Models。Journal of Derivatives,4(3),50-62。  new window
6.Hendricks, Darryll(1996)。Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models Using Historical Data。Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review,2(1),39-69。  new window
7.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
8.Sharpe, William F.(1966)。Mutual fund performance。Journal of Business,39(1),119-138。  new window
9.Huij, Joop、Verbeek, Marno J. C. M.(2007)。Cross-sectional learning and short-run persistence in mutual fund performance。Journal of Banking & Finance,31(3),973-997。  new window
10.Aguilar, O. and M. West,(2000)。Bayesian Dynamic Factor Models and Portfolio Allocation。Journal of Business and Statistics,18(3),338-357。  new window
11.Amenc, N. and L. Martellini,(2002)。Portfolio Optimization and Hedge Fund Style Allocation Decisions。Journal of Alternative Investments,5(2),7-13。  new window
12.Becker, C., W. Ferson, David H. Myers and Michael J. Schill,(1999)。Conditional Market Timing with Benchmark Investors。Journal of Financial Economics,52,119-148。  new window
13.Burke, G.,(1994)。A Sharper Sharpe Ratio。Futures,23(3),56。  new window
14.Chib, S., F. Nardari and N. Shephard,(2006)。Analysis of High Dimensional Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models。Journal of Econometrics,134(2),341-371。  new window
15.Detzel, Larry F. and Robert A. Weigand,(1998)。Explaining Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance。Financial Services Review,7(1),45-55。  new window
16.Dowd, K.(1999)。A Value at Risk Approach to Risk-Return Analysis。Journal of Portfolio Management,25(4),60-67。  new window
17.Frisen, Geoffrey C. and Travis R.A. Sapp,(2007)。Mutual Fund Flows and Investor Returns: An Empirical Examination of Fund Investor Timing Ability。Journal of Banking and Finance,31(9),2796-2816。  new window
18.Gerrans, P.,(2006)。Morningstar Rating and Future Performance。Accounting and Finance,46(4),605-658。  new window
19.Geweke, J. and G. Zhou,(1996)。Measuring the Pricing Error of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory。Review of Financial Studies,9(2),557-587。  new window
20.Giamouridis, D. and Ioannis D. Vrontos,(2007)。Hedge Fund Portfolio Construction: A Comparison of Static and Dynamic Approaches。Journal of Banking and Finance,31(1),199-217。  new window
21.Gladish, Perez F., Donald F. Jonesb, M. Tamiz and Bilbao A. Terol,(2007)。An Interactive Three-stage Model for Mutual Funds Portfolio Selection。Omega,35(1),75-88。  new window
22.Greyserman, A., Douglas H. Jones and William E. Strawderman,(2006)。Portfolio Selection Using Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis and MCMC Methods。Journal of Banking and Finance,30(2),669-678。  new window
23.Jiang, George J., Y. Tong and Y. Tong,(2007)。Do Mutual 2010 Funds Time the Market? Evidence from Portfolio Holdings。Journal of Financial Economics,86,724-758。  new window
24.Lashgari, M. and W. Mahmoud,(2004)。The Information Content of Morningstar's Mutual Fund Ratings: The Case for Growth Funds。American Business Review,21(2),1-19。  new window
25.Morey, Matthew R.、Morey, Richard C.(1999)。Mutual Fund Performance Appraisals: A Multi-horizon Perspective with Endogenous Benchmarking。Omega,27(2),241-258。  new window
26.Shukla, R.,(2004)。The Value of Active Portfolio Management。Journal of Economics and Business,56(1),331-346。  new window
27.Volkman, David A. and Mark E. Wohar,(1996)。Abnormal Profits and Relative Strength in Mutual Fund Returns。Review of Financial Economics,5(2),101-116。  new window
28.Vrontos, Ioannis D.、Dellaportas, P.、Politis, Daniel N.(2003)。A Full-Factor Multivariate GARCH Model。Econometrics Journal,6(2),312-334。  new window
29.Zhao, Y.,(2007)。A Dynamic Model of Active Portfolio Management with Benchmark Orientation。Journal of Banking and Finance,31(11),3336-3356。  new window
學位論文
1.鄭紀玉(2008)。CSFB/TREMONT避險基金績效與風險的探討(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.周承標(2008)。共同基金之靜態與動態投資策略分析。  延伸查詢new window
3.陳佳汎(2006)。台灣股票型共同基金績效之評估。  延伸查詢new window
4.張議文(2005)。國內全球型組合基金的實證探討。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Jorion, P.(1997)。Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Controlling Market Risk。McGraw-Hill。  new window
圖書論文
1.Alexander, Carol O.(2001)。Orthogonal GARCH。Mastering Risk。London:Financial Times-Prentice Hall。  new window
 
 
 
 
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