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題名:名目所得目標區下的蜜月效果直覺圖形分析--產出與股價雙預期的考量
書刊名:經濟論文叢刊
作者:廖培賢 引用關係
作者(外文):Liaw, Peir-shyan
出版日期:2010
卷期:38:1
頁次:頁99-146
主題關鍵詞:名目所得目標區蜜月效果布朗運動Nominal income target zoneHoneymoon effectBrownian motion
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:27
  • 點閱點閱:58
本文我們以Blanchard(1981)與Lai et al.(2003)的模型爲基礎,進而建構一個封閉總體經濟架構。在民眾對產出與股價的未來變動同時存在預期之前提下,以Lai et al.(2003)具經濟直覺的雙預期變數圖形解析法,來進行一旦貨幣當局宣佈實施「名目所得目標區」政策對相關的總體經濟變數是否具有蜜月效果的分析。我們的結論顯示:不管外生隨機干擾來源到底係來自貨幣、商品抑或股票市場的需求面,貨幣當局若想企圖穩定名目(實質)所得水準,則「名目所得目標區」政策的實施未必優於「釘住貨幣供給」政策;換句話說,貨幣當局宣佈實施「名目所得目標區」政策對名目(實質)所得未必具有蜜月效果。
This paper presents a macroeconomic model in a closed economy based on the framework developed by Blanchard (1981) and Lai et al. (2003). In view of the changes in people's dual expectations regarding output and stock prices, the model uses an economically-intuitive dual expectations graphical approach to examine the existence of a honeymoon effect for related macroeconomic variables when the monetary authority implements a nominal income target zone policy. This paper concludes that if the goal of the monetary authority is to stabilize the nominal income level, a nominal income target zone policy may not be any more effective than a pegged money supply policy, regardless of the sources of the stochastic shocks. In other words, there may not be a nominal income honeymoon effect if the monetary authority implements a nominal income target zone policy.
期刊論文
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2.Bradley, M. D.、Jansen, D. W.(1989)。The Optimality of Nominal Income Targeting When Wages Are Indexed to Price。Southern Economic Journal,56,13–23。  new window
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研究報告
1.Obstfeld, M.(1994)。“International capital mobility in the 1990s”。  new window
圖書
1.Samuelson, Paul A.(1947)。Foundations of Economic Analysis。Cambridge, Massachusetts:Harvard University Press。  new window
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3.陳師孟(1990)。總體經濟演義。台北:陳師孟。  延伸查詢new window
4.Abel, A. B. and Bernake, B. S.(2001)。Macroeconomics4th edition。New York: AddisonWesley。New York。  new window
5.Hubbard, G.(2005)。Money, the Financial System, and the Economy, 5th edition。NewYork。  new window
6.Laban, R. and Larrain, F.(1993)。“Twenty years of experience with capitalmobility in Chile”。The Chilean Economy: Policy Lessons and Challenges。Washington,DC。  new window
7.Mishkin, F. S.(2004)。The Economics of Money, 7th edition。Banking and Financial Market。New York。  new window
 
 
 
 
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