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題名：我國對中歐新興市場貿易因素之宏觀分析
書刊名：明道學術論壇
作者：曾秀梅 引用關係
作者(外文)：Tseng, Shoiw-mei
出版日期：2007
卷期：3:1
頁次：頁113-131
主題關鍵詞：貿易因素；中歐；因素分析；複廻歸分析；Trade factors；Central Europe；Factor analysis；Multiple regression analysis
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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本文是探討我國對共產主義原體的轉型國家之雙邊貿易因素，實證對象爲中歐新興三國波蘭、捷克及匈牙利。由100個變數萃取四大宏觀因素，包括「經濟表現」、「政府效能」、「企業效率」及「國家建設」，以複廻歸結果來評析我國對該三國貿易的差異性。結果顯示，我國對這三國貿易因素的主軸動向，對捷克值得注意我國在捷克FDI趨勢，對波蘭則是經濟表現的出口競爭力，而匈牙利除了經濟表現外，國家建設方面亦頗值關注。
This paper explores bilateral trade factors between Taiwan and transition countries which have their roots in the communism. The empirical emerging markets are Poland, Czech and Hungary in Central Europe. There are 100 variables reduced, through factor analysis, into four macro factors, which are identified as economic performance, government efficiency, business efficiency, and infrastructure. The models of multiple regression analysis show the different factors of bilateral trade between Taiwan and this three countries. We conclude with the noteworthy factors that should be concentrated in the short term, including the trend of our FDI for Czech, the economic performance of export competitiveness for Poland, and for Hungary except economic performance, infrastructure worth to be watched.
期刊論文
1.Baker, S.、Welsh, I.(2000)。Differentiating Western Influences on Transition Societies in Eastern Europe: a Preliminaty Exploration。Journal of European Area Studies，8(1)，79-104。  new window
2.Deichmann, I. J.(2003)。Foreign Direct Investment in the Eurasian Transition States。Eastern European Economics，41(1)，5-35。  new window
3.Economist(1994)。Very Like a Tiger。Economist，331(7859)，13-22。  new window
4.Kennard, A.(2000)。The Role of Central and Eastern Europe in the EU's Regional Planning Agenda for the New Millennium。Journal of European Area Studies，8(2)，203-220。  new window
5.Lauter, P. G.、Scheherazade, S. R.(1999)。Central and East European Trade Orientation and FDI Flows: Preparation for EU Membership。International Trade Journal，13(1)，35-53。  new window
6.Mason, D. S.(1988)。Glasnost, Perestroika and Eastern Europe。International Affairs，64(3)，431-449。  new window
7.Melich, J. S.(2000)。The Relationship between the Political and the Economic in the Transformations in Eastern Europe: Continuity and Discontinuity and the Problem of Models。East European Quarterly，34(2)，131-158。  new window
8.Newsome, B. W.(2002)。Dead Lands or New Europe? Reconstructing Europe, Reconfiguring Eastern Europe: Westerners and the Aftermath of the World War。East European Quarterly，36(1)，39-63。  new window
9.Racz, B.(2003)。The Left in Hungary and the 2002 Parliamentary Elections。Europe-Asia Studies，55(5)，747-769。  new window
10.Rakowska-Harmstone, T.(1988)。Eastern Europe: How to Change the System without Change it。Journal of International Affairs，41(2)，445-464。  new window
11.Szanyi, M.(1998)。Experiences with Foreign Direct Investment in Eastern Europe。Eastern European Economics，36(3)，28-49。  new window
12.Torok, A.(1995)。Industrial Policy and Foreign Direct Investment in Hungary。Russian & East European Finance & Trade，31(3)，31-57。  new window
13.Tubilewicz, C.(2000)。Promising Eldorado: Taiwan, Diplomatic Offensive in East Central Europe。East Asia，18(1)，34-60。  new window
14.Zaiycki, T.(2000)。Politics in the Periphery: Political Cleavages in Poland。Europe-Asia Studies，52(5)，851-874。  new window
15.Zinnes, C.、Eilat, Y.、Sachs, J.(2001)。Benchmarking Competitiveness in Transition Economies。Economics of Transition，9(2)，315-354。  new window
16.Inotai, A.(1995)。The Transforming Economies of Central and Eastern Europe。World Policy Journal，12(3)，98-109。  new window
17.Sachs, Jeffrey、Woo, Wing Thye(1994)。Structural Factors in the Economic Reforms of China--Eastern Europe, and the Former Soviet Union。Economic Policy，9(18)，101-145。  new window
學位論文
1.Palubinskas, G. T.(2003)。Economic Transformation: the Full Societal Transformation Thesis(博士論文)。George Mason University。  new window
2.Peters, S. D.(2001)。Culture and the Timing of Foreign Direct Investment: the Case of Poland, the Czech Republic and Hungary(博士論文)。Saint Louis University。  new window
圖書
1.CSU(1994)。Statistical Yearbook of The Czech Republic。Czech, Praha：Central Statistical Office。  new window
2.GUS(2004)。Statistical Yearbook of The Republic of Poland 2004。Warszawa：Central Statistical Office。  new window
3.Havlik, P.(2000)。Trade and Cost Competitiveness in the Czech。Washington, DC：World Bank。  new window
4.IMD(1995)。The World Competitiveness Yearbook。International Institute for Management Development。  new window
5.KSH(2004)。tatistical Yearbook of Hungary 2003。Budapest：Central Statistical Office。  new window
6.Kohler, H.(1989)。Comparative Economic System。Illinois, Glenview：Scott Foresman。  new window
7.Rosser, B. J.、Rosser, V. M.(1996)。Comparative Economics in a Transforming World Economy。IRWIN。  new window
8.SPSS(2004)。SPSS Base 13 User's Guide。Chicago：SPSS Inc。  new window
9.WIIW(2004)。Countries in Transition 2004。Vienna：Wiener Institut fur Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche。  new window
其他
1.The Central Intelligence Agency(2005)。The world factbook，www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/as.html， 2005/07/08。  new window
2.經濟部投資業務處(2005)。我國對外投資概況，http://www.dois.moea.gov.tw/html/Invest_sa.htm， 2005/12/01。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Bomstein, M.(1994)。The Comparison of Economic Systems。Comparative Economic Systems: Models and Cases。IRWIN。  new window
2.Meyer, K. E.(2001)。International Business Research on Transition Economies。Oxford Handbook of International Business。Oxford：Oxford University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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