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題名:為什麼商品指數型基金無法規避商品價格波動之風險?--商品指數型基金與期貨跨月價差之探討
書刊名:臺灣期貨與衍生性商品學刊
作者:劉德明 引用關係蔡尚恩
作者(外文):Lieu, Der-mingTsai, Shang-en
出版日期:2011
卷期:13
頁次:頁1-35
主題關鍵詞:商品期貨跨月價差商品指數型基金轉倉Commodity futuresContangoCommodity ETFsRolling
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:20
許多報導指出,投資於連結期貨以及衍生性金融商品的商品指數型基金並不能獲得與現貨一致的報酬,本文探討可能導致上述現象的原因。本研究發現兩檔分別投資於原油市場以及天然瓦斯市場之商品指數型基金的報酬與其標的現貨之報酬有極大的差距,而實證結果顯示_tLi夸月價差即為造成報酬差距的主因。另外,本研究發現在西德州原油期貨以及熱燃油期貨中,商品指數型基金規模的增長與跨月價差的擴大有顯著的正向關係,而商品指數型基金的轉倉行為亦顯著造成跨月價差進一步擴大,本研究在西德州原油期貨以及天然瓦斯期貨此二大型商品原物料指數型基金投資之市場得到證實。
期刊論文
1.Fama, E. F.、French, K. R.(1987)。Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums, and the Theory of Storage。The Journal of Business,60(1),55-73。  new window
2.Gorton, G. B.、Rouwenhorst, K. G.(2005)。And Fantasies about Commodity Futures。Financial Analysts Journal,62,47-68。  new window
3.Ng, V.、Pirrong, S. C.(1994)。Fundamentals and Volatility: Storage, Spreads, and the Dynamics of Metals Prices。Journal of Business,67(2),203-330。  new window
4.Erb, C. B.、Harvey, C. R.(2006)。The Strategic and Tactical Value of Commodity Futures。Financial Analyst Journal,62(2),69-97。  new window
5.Kaldor, Nicholas(1939)。Speculation and Economic Stability。The Review of Economic Studies,7(1),1-27。  new window
6.Fama, E. F.、French, K. R.(1988)。Business Cycles and the Behavior of Metals Prices。Journal of Finance,43(5),1075-1093。  new window
7.Bailey. W.、Chan, K.(1993)。Macroeconomic influences and the variability of the commodity futures basis。Journal of Finance,48(2),555-573。  new window
8.Kamara, A.(1982)。Issues in futures markets: a survey。Journal of Futures Markets,2(3),261-294。  new window
9.Keynes, J.(1923)。Some aspects or commodity markets。Manchester Guardian。  new window
10.Hartzmark, M.(1987)。Returns to individual traders of futures: Aggregate results。The Journal of Political Economy,95(6),1292-1306。  new window
11.Loder(2010)。Exchange-traded commodities may lag behind stock ETFs。Businessweek。  new window
12.Chang, E.(1985)。Returns to speculators and the theory of normal backwardation。Journal of Finance,40(1),193-208。  new window
13.Mififre, J.(2000)。Normal backwardation is normal。Journal of Futures Markets,20(9),803-821。  new window
14.Routledge, B.、Seppi, D.、Spatt, C.(2000)。Equilibrium forward curves commodities。The Journal of Finance,55(3),1297-1338。  new window
15.Stoll, H.、Whaley, R.(2010)。Commodity index investing and commodity futures prices。Journal of Applied Finance,20,7-46。  new window
16.Tesler, L. G.(1958)。Futures trading and the storage of cotton and wheat。The Journal of Political Economy,66(3),233-255。  new window
17.Wang, C.(2003)。The behavior and performance of major types of futures traders。Journal of Futures Markets,1,1-31。  new window
18.Working, H.(1949)。The theory of price of storage。The American Economic Review,39(6),1254-1262。  new window
研究報告
1.Hong, H. G.、Yogo, M.(2011)。What does futures market interest tell us about macroeconomy and asset prices?。  new window
2.Irwin, S.、Sanders, D.(2010)。The impact of index and swap funds on commodity futures markets。  new window
3.Irwin, S.、Sanders, D.(2010)。Testing the masters hypothesis in commodity futures markets。  new window
4.Buyuksahin, B.、Haigh, M. S.、Harris, J. H.、Overdahl, J. A.、Robe, M. A.(2008)。Fundamentals, Trader Activity and Derivative Pricing。  new window
5.Cochrane, J.(2002)。Stocks as money: Convenience yield and the tech-stock bubble。  new window
6.Sanders, D.、Irwin, S.、Economics, A.(2010)。The impact of index funds on us grain futures prices。  new window
7.Tang, K.、Xiong, W.(2010)。Index investing and the financialization of commodities。  new window
8.Gorton, G.、Hayashi, R,、Rouwenhorst, K. G.(2007)。The fundamentals of commodity futures returns。  new window
9.Harris, J.、Buyuksahin, B.(2009)。The role of speculators in the crude oil futures market。  new window
學位論文
1.許清雄(2007)。CRB與主要商品期貨指數之價格動態關聯性研究(碩士論文)。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.唐衍偉(2006)。商品期貨價差套利投資決策理論與應用研究。同濟大學。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.CFTC(2009)。Commodity swap dealers and index traders with commission recommendations。  new window
2.U.S PERMANENT(2009)。Excessive speculation in the wheat market。  new window
 
 
 
 
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