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題名:從銷售交易資料探討一般性商品之最適訂購策略
書刊名:管理研究學報
作者:黃允成 引用關係陳思婷潘信佐
作者(外文):Huang, Yun-chengChen, Sih-tingPan, Shin-tso
出版日期:2011
卷期:11:2
頁次:頁37-58
主題關鍵詞:隨機性需求前置時間敏感度分析Stochastic demandLead timeSensitivity analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 點閱點閱:22
本文主要是針對隨機性需求探討一般性商品之最適訂購策略,因為顧客到達時間具隨機性,且購買的商品也為一隨機變數。在一般商品中,銷售可大略分為三種時段:離峰時段、尖峰時段與假日時段,因為不同的商品其需求量亦不相同,所以我們需要收集顧客交易資料之間隔時間,運用統計原理推導商品之需求分配,並建構一存貨管理模型,再根據最佳化與數值分析方法,找出最適訂購量與再訂購點,使總期望存貨成本最小化,並對參數進行敏感度分析。最後,提出三點結論,作為後續研究與實務應用之參考。
The main propose of this article is to establish optimal ordering strategy for general merchandise under the stochastic demand. Because the customer arrival time is random and the purchasing quantity is also a random variable. For some merchandise, its sales conditions can be partitioned into three periods: peak-time period, off-peak-time period and holidays. Because of the demands for different goods are not the same, so we need to collect the interval time between customers and the transaction data, and then we apply the statistical theory to predict the demand and its distribution. In addition, we build up an inventory model and according to the optimization technique and numerical analysis method, the article can find out the optimal ordering quantity and reorder point to minimize the total expected cost. The sensitivity analysis was taken to realize the influence of parameters. Finally, three conclusions are drawn for practical applications and future studies.
期刊論文
1.朱艷芳、林為欽(200407)。以訂購量及前置時間為決策變數之存貨模式研究--需求頻率及需求量分別服從卜瓦松及常態分配。工業工程學刊,21(4),384-394。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Alfares, H. K.(2007)。Inventory model with stock-level dependent demand rate and variable holding cost。International Journal of Production Economics,108,259-265。  new window
3.Ben-Daya, M.、Hariga, M.(2004)。Integrated single vendor single buyer model with stochastic demand and variable lead time。International Journal of Production Economics,92(1),75-80。  new window
4.Brander, P.、Leven, E.、Segerstedt, A.(2005)。Lot sizes in a capacity constrained facility - A simulation study of stationary stochastic demand。International Journal of Production Economics,93/94(1),375-386。  new window
5.Candace, A. Y.(1987)。Planned Lead times for Serial Production Systems。IIE Transactions,19(3),300-307。  new window
6.Chen, Kee Kuo、Chang, Ching-Ter(2007)。A seasonal demand inventory model with variable lead time and resource constraints。Applied Mathematical Modelling,31(11),2433-2445。  new window
7.Hsieh, T. P.、Dye, C. Y.、Ouyang, L. Y.(2010)。Optimal lot size for an item with partial backlogging rate when demand is stimulated by inventory above a certain stock level。Mathematical and Computer Modelling,51,13-32。  new window
8.Lan, Shaw-Ping.,、Chu, Peter.,、Chung, Kun-Jen.,、Wan, Wun-Jung.,、Lo, Ricky(1999)。A simple method to locate the optimal solution of the inventory model with variable lead time。Computers and Operations Research,26(6),599-605。  new window
9.Wu, J. K.、Tsai, H. Y.(2001)。Mixture inventory model with back orders and lost sales for variable lead time demand with the mixture of normal distribution。International Journal of Systems Science,32(3),259-268。  new window
10.García-Laguna, Juan、San-José, Luis A.、Cárdenas-Barrón, Leopoldo E.、Sicilia, Joaquín(2010)。The integrality of the lot size in the basic EOQ and EPQ models: Applications to other production-inventory models。Applied Mathematics and Computation,216(5),1660-1672。  new window
11.Pan, J. C.-H.、Hsiao, Y.-C.(2001)。Inventory models with back-order discounts and variable lead time。International Journal of Systems Science,32(7),925-929。  new window
12.Ben-Daya, M.、Raouf, A.(1994)。Inventory models involving lead time as decision variable。Journal of the Operational Research Society,45(5),579-582。  new window
13.Ouyang, L. Y.、Yen, N. C.、Wu, K. S.(1996)。Mixture inventory model with backorders and lost sales of variable lead time。International Journal of Production Economics,47(6),829-832。  new window
14.Liao, C. J.、Shyu, C. H.(1991)。An Analytical Determination of Lead Time with Normal Demand。International Journal of Operations & Production Management,11(9),72-78。  new window
15.Haksever, Cengiz、Moussourakis, John(2005)。A Model for Optimizing Multi-product Inventory Systems with Multiple Constraints。International Journal of Production Economics,97,18-30。  new window
16.Chang, C. T.、Chang, S. C.(2001)。On the Inventory Model with Variable Lead Time and Price--quantity Discount。Journal of the Operational Research Society,52(10),1151-1158。  new window
17.Moon, Ilkyeong、Choi, Sangjin(1997)。Distribution Free Procedures for Make-to-order (MTO), Make-in-advance (MIA), and Composite Policies。International Journal of Production Economics,48(1),21-28。  new window
18.Ouyang, L. Y.、Chuang, B. R.(2000)。A periodic review inventory model involving variable lead time with a service level constraint。International Journal of Systems Science,31,1209-1215。  new window
學位論文
1.林基賢(2007)。需求率服從指數分配且部份欠撥之退化性產品生產存貨模型(碩士論文)。雲林科技大學,雲林縣。  延伸查詢new window
2.蘇琬菁(2009)。從顧客到達間隔時間之觀測探討一般性商品最適存貨策略之研究(碩士論文)。屏東科技大學,屏東縣。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Tersine, R. J.(1982)。Principles of Inventory and Materials Management。New York, NY:North-Holland Publishing Company。  new window
2.Silver, E. A.、Peterson, R.(1985)。Note an Acquisition Policy for a Single Item Multisupplier System。New York, NY:John Wiley & Sons, Inc.。  new window
 
 
 
 
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