| 期刊論文1. | Molitor, Graham T. T.(20100300)。Timeline 22-Step Model for Tracking and Forecasting Public Policy Change。Journal of Futures Studies,14(3),1-12。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Molitor, Graham T. T.(1977)。How to anticipate public policy changes。SAM Advanced Management Journal,42(3),4-13。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Amara, Roy(1981)。The Futures Field: Searching for Definitions and Boundaries。The Futurist,15(1),25-29。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Marien, Michael(2002)。Futures studies in the 21st century: a reality-based view。Futures: The Journal of Policy, Planning and Futures Studies,34(3/4),261-281。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | McKelvey, B.(1997)。Quasi-natural organization science。Organization Science,8(4),351-380。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Cummings, Thomas G.(1984)。Transorganizational Development。Research in Organizational Behavior,6,367-422。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Hannan, Michael T.、Freeman, John H.(1977)。The population ecology of organization。American Journal of Sociology,82(5),929-964。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Teece, David J.、Pisano, Gary、Shuen, Amy(1997)。Dynamic Capabilities and Strategic Management。Strategic Management Journal,18(7),509-533。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Eisenhardt, Kathleen M.、Martin, Jeffrey A.(2000)。Dynamic Capabilities: What Are They?。Strategic Management Journal,21(10/11),1105-1121。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Wagar, W. Warren(1993)。Embracing change: Futures inquiry as applied history。Futures,25(5),449-455。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Coyle, Geoff(1997)。The nature and value of futures studies or do futures have a future?。Futures,29(1),77-93。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Culbert, Samuel、Elden, James Max、McWhinney, Will、Schmidt, Warren、Tannenbaum, Bob(1972)。Trans-organizational praxis: A search beyond organization development。Associations Internationales,24(10),470-473。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Peck, Jonathan(2009)。Some theories of social change for futures practitioners。Journal of Futures Studies,14(2),107-122。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Bell, Wendell、Olick, Jeffrey K.(1989)。An Epistemology for the Futures Field. Problems and Possibilities of Prediction。Futures,21(2),115-135。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Burns, Tom(1961)。Micropolitics: Mechanisms of institutional change。Administrative Science Quarterly,6(4),257-281。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Hines, Andy(2003)。Applying integral futures to environmental scanning。Futures Research Quarterly,19(4),49-62。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Kaivo-oja, Jari Y.、Katko, Tapio S.、Seppälä, Osmo T.(2004)。Seeking convergence between history and futures research。Futures,36(6),527-547。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Lewin, Arie Y.、Long, Chris P.、Carroll, Timothy N.(1999)。The co-evolution of new organizational forms。Organization Science,10(5),535-550。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Masini, Eleonora Barbieri(2001)。New challenges for futures studies。Futures,33(7),637-647。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | McKelvey, Bill、Aldrich, Howard E.(1983)。Populations, natural selection, and applied organizational science。Administrative Science Quarterly,28(2),101-128。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Schischkoff, Georgi(1969)。Wissenschaftstheoretische betrachtungen über gegenstand, methodenlehre und grenzen der futurologie。Futurum: Zeitschrift für Zukunftsforschung,2(3),325-365。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | Vygotsky, L.(1935)。Mind and Society。Cambridge:Harvard University。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Norbert Elias(1982)。The Civilizing Process vol. 2, State Formation and Civilization。Oxford:Basil Blackwell。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Flechtheim, O. K.(1970)。Futurologie. Der Kampfum die Zukunft。K□ln。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Håkansson, Håkan(1987)。Industrial Technological Development : A Network Approach。London ; Dover, UK:London Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Mesarovic, Mihajlo D.、Pestel, Eduard(1974)。Mankind at the Turning Point: the second report to the Club of Rome。New York:E. P. Dutton。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Lewin, Kurt、Maccoby, Newcomb、Hartley(1958)。Group Decision and Social Change。New York:Holt, Rinehart and Winston。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Bell, Wendell(2003)。Foundations of Futures Studies: History, Purposes, and Knowledge。New Brunswick, NJ ; London, UK:Transaction。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Giddens, Anthony(1986)。The Constitution of Society: Outline of the Theory of Structuration。University of California Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Blumer, Herbert(1969)。Symbolic Interactionism: Perspective and Method。University of California Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Etzioni, Amitai(1968)。The Active Society--A Theory of Societal and Political Processes。NY:The Free Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Argyris, Chris、Schon, Donald A.(1978)。Organizational Learning: A Theory of Action Perspective。Addison-Wesley Publishing Company。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Parsons, Talcott(1951)。Social System。New York:Glencoe, Ill:Free Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Bourdieu, Pierre、Nice, Richard(1977)。Outline of a Theory of Practice。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Habermas, Jürgen(1981)。Theorie des kommunikativen Handelns。Frankfurt am Main:Suhrkamp Verlag。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Bauman, Zygmunt(2000)。Liquid Modernity。Polity Press:Blackwell。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Pfeffer, Jeffrey、Salancik, Gerald Richard(1978)。The external control of organizations: A resource dependence perspective。Harper & Row。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Beck, Ulrich、Giddens, Anthony、Lash, Scott(1994)。Reflexive Modernization: Politics, Tradition and Aesthetics in the Modern Social Order。Stanford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Senge, Peter、郭進隆、齊若蘭(1990)。第五項修練:學習型組織的藝術與實務。台北:天下文化。 延伸查詢![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Coleman, James Samuel(1990)。Foundations of social Theory。Belknap Press of Harvard University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Luhmann, Niklas、Bednarz, John Jr.、Baecker, Dirk(1995)。Social Systems。Stanford, California:Stanford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Crozier, Michel、Friedberg, Erhard(1977)。L'acteur et le Système。Paris。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | Elias, Norbert(1969)。The Civilizing Process, Vol.1: The History of Manners。Oxford, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Linnemann, Hans、De Hoog, Jerrie、Keyzer, Michiel A.、Van Heemst, Henk D. J.(1979)。MOIRA. Model of international relations in agriculture: Report of the project group 'Food for a doubling world population'。Amsterdam, The Netherlands。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | Meadows, Donella H.、Meadows, Dennis L.、Randers, Jorgen、Behrens III, William W.(1972)。Limits to Growth: A Report for the Club of Rome's Project on the Predicament of Mankind。New York。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Galtung, Johan、Inayatullah, Sohail(1997)。Macrohistory and macrohistorians: Perspectives on Individual, Social, and Civilizational Change。Westport, CT ; London, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | Ogburn, William F.(1966)。Social Change with Respect to Cultural and Original Nature。Oxford, UK。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 27. | Heilbroner, Robert L.(1960)。The Future as History。New York, NY。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 28. | Herrera, Amilcar O.、Scolnik, Hugo D.、Chichilnisky, Graciela、Gallopin, Gilberto C.、Hardoy, Jorge E.、Mosovich, Diana、Oteiza, Enrique、De Romero Brest, Gilda L.、Suarez, Carlos E.、Talavera, Luis(1976)。Catastrophe or New Society? A Latin American World Model。Ottawa, Canada。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 29. | Inayatullah, Sohail(1997)。Situating Sarkar: Tantra, Macrohistory and Alternative Futures。Maleny, Australia。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 30. | Leontief, Wassily、Carter, Anna、Petri, Peter A.(1977)。The Future of the World Economy: A United Nations Study。New York:Oxford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 31. | Rescher, Nicholas(1998)。Predicting the Future: An Introduction to the Theory of Forecasting。Albany, NY。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 32. | Håkansson, Håkan、Lundgren, Anders(1997)。Path in time and space: Path dependence in industrial networks。Evolutionary Economics and Path Dependence。Cheltenham, UK ; Northampton, MA。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 33. | Toffler, Alvin(1978)。Foreword。Cultures of the Future。The Hague, The Netherlands。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 34. | Amara, Roy(1978)。Probing the Future。Handbook of Futures Research。Westport, CT。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 35. | de Jouvenel, Hugues(2000)。Futuribles: ein gesamtkonzept der zukunftsforschung。Zukunftsforschung in Europa. Ergebnisse und Perspektiven。Baden-Baden, Germany。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書論文1. | Garud, Raghu、Karnøe, Peter(2001)。Path creation as a process of mindful deviation。Path Dependence and Creation。Lawrence Erlbaum Associates。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |
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