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來源文獻資料
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引文資料
題名:
委託單流量與匯率之非線性關係研究
書刊名:
亞太經濟管理評論
作者:
李建慧
/
鄭翌伶
出版日期:
2012
卷期:
15:2
頁次:
頁71-88
主題關鍵詞:
委託單流量
;
匯率
;
非線性
;
門檻
;
Order flow
;
Exchange rates
;
Nonlinearity
;
Threshold
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:0
共同引用:0
點閱:13
有關委託單流量對匯率影響的實證研究,已有廣大文獻探討兩者間的線性關係,而隨著近年來市場微結構理論的興起,委託單流量攜帶的市場訊息影響外匯市場價格的變動,兩者間是否存在非線性關係,則是本文進一步探討之課題。本文利用門檻向量自我迴歸模型,以匯率波動作為門檻變數,探討在高、低波動期間,委託單流量對匯率報酬的影響效果有何差異。實證結果發現委託單流量與匯率間確實存在非線性關係,在匯率波動的門檻效果下,委託單流量對EUR/USD與USD/JPY兩種匯率價格變動皆有顯著的影響,並發現在不同的匯率波動期間,委託單流量對匯率變動的影響具有不對稱性,且在低波動期間的影響較大。
以文找文
As for the empirical study of the impact of order flow on exchange rates, the bulk of literature has examined the relationship in a linear framework. The market microstructure has become popular in recent years, and we provide further evidence of the nonlinear relationship between order flow and exchange rates. This study employs threshold vector autoregressive model, and uses volatility as a threshold variable to test the impact effect between order flow and exchange returns. The empirical results show that the order flow has a significant influence on exchange rates, and order flow has asymmetrical impacts on exchange rates. When market historical volatility is high, an order has a lower price impact than in calmer periods.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Daníelsson, J.、Love, R.(2006)。Feedback Trading。International Journal of Finance and Economics,11,35-55。
2.
Evans, Martin D. D.、Lyons, Richard K.(2005)。Do Currency Markets Absorb News Quickly?。Journal of International Money and Finance,24(2),197-217。
3.
Evans, M. D. D.、Lyons, R. K.(2005)。Meese-rogoff Redux: Micro-based Exchange-rate Forecasting。American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings,95(2),405-414。
4.
Evans, M. D. D.、Lyons, R. K.(2002))。Time-varying Liquidity in Foreign Exchange。Journal of Monetary Economy,49,1025-1051。
5.
Froot K.、Ramadorai, T.(2005)。Currency Returns, Intrinsic Value, and Institutional-Investor Flows。Journal of Finance,60,1535-1566。
6.
Gradojevic, N.、Yang, J.(2006)。Non-fundamental Exchange Rate Forecasting。Journal of Forecasting,25(4),227-245。
7.
Ito, T.、Hashimoto, Y.(2006)。Seasonality in Activities of the Foreign Exchange Markets: Evidence from the Electronic Broking System。Journal of the Japanese and International Economies,20,637-664。
8.
Lyons, Richard K.(1995)。Tests of Microstructure Hypotheses in the Foreign Exchange Market。Journal of Financial Economics,39,321-351。
9.
Westerhoff, F.、Manzan, S.(2004)。Does Liquidity in the FX Market Depend on Volatility?。Economics Bulletin,6(10),1-8。
10.
Hansen, Bruce E.、Seo, Byeongseon(2002)。Testing for Two-Regime Threshold Cointegration in Vector Error-Correction Models。Journal of Econometrics,110(2),293-318。
11.
Meese, Richard A.、Rogoff, Kenneth S.(1983)。Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Seventies: Do They Fit Out of Sample?。Journal of International Economics,14(1/2),3-24。
12.
Hansen, B. E.(2000)。Sample splitting and threshold estimation。Econometrica,68(3),575-604。
13.
Andersen, T. G.、Bollerslev, T.、Diebold, F. X.、Vega, C.(2003)。Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange。The American Economic Review,93(1),38-62。
14.
Evans, M. D. D.、Lyons, R. K.(2002)。Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Journal of Political Economy,110,170-180。
15.
Balduzzi, P., E. J. Elton and T. C. Green,(2001)。“Economic News and Bond Prices: Evidence from the U.S. Treasury Market。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,36,523-543。
圖書
1.
Evans, M. D. D.、Lyons, R. K.(2007)。NBER Working PaperNBER Working Paper。
2.
Lyons, R. K.(2001)。The Microstructure Approach to Exchange Rates。Cambridge, MA:MIT Press。
3.
Goodhart, C. A. E.、Ito, T.、Payne, R. G.(1996)。One Day in June 1993: A Study of the Working of the Returns 2000-2 Electronic Foreign Exchange Trading System。Chicago, IL:University of Chicago Press。
其他
1.
Cerrato, M.,H. Kim,R. MacDonald(2010)。Microstructure Order Flow: Statistical and Economic Evaluation of Nonlinear Forecasts,University of Glasgow。
2.
Lovccha, Y.,A. Perez(2010)。Is Exchange Rate - Customer Order Flow Relationship Linear? Evidence from the Hungarian FX Market,University of Alicante。
3.
Nguyen, V. H.,Y. Shin(2011)。Asymmetric Price Impacts of Order Flow on Exchange Rate Dynamics,Leeds University Business School。
4.
Luo, J.(2001)。Market Conditions Order Flow and Exchange Rates Determination,London School of Economics。
圖書論文
1.
Meese, Richard A.、Rogoff, Kenneth(1983)。The out-of-sample failure of empirical exchange rate models: sampling error or misspecification?。Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。
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