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題名:運輸需求預測整合模型統合架構之探討
書刊名:運輸學刊
作者:陳惠國陳文婷
作者(外文):Chen, Huey-kuoChen, Wen-ting
出版日期:2012
卷期:24:4
頁次:頁467-495
主題關鍵詞:旅次發生旅次分配運具選擇交通量指派整合性模型超級路網Trip generationTrip distributionModal splitTraffic assignmentCombined modelSupernetwork
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:50
基於用路人行為之均衡原則,本研究構建包括旅次發生、旅次分配、運具選擇與交通量指派在內之四階段整合模型,以克服傳統旅運預測之四階段界面不一致性的問題。整合模型經由改良後之超級路網的詮釋,可視為一個延伸性交通量指派問題。本研究以Frank-Wolfe演算法求解小規模路網,分別針對線性與非線性路正是成本函數加以驗證,並歸納出需求函數之係數的限制,文末亦比較整合模型與反饋式循序性核型之優劣點,並做出結論與建議。
Based on Wardrop's first principle, this research formulates a combined model covering the four steps, i.e., trip generation, trip distribution, modal split, traffic assignment, embedded in the traditional travel demand forecasting procedure. Using a modified supernetwork representation, the proposed combined model can be naturally regarded as an extension of the fixed demand traffic assignment model. The proposed combined model and the associated Frank-Wolfe algorithm are demonstrated with a hypothesized small network characterized by both linear and nonlinear link cost functions. The experiment also indicates that a certain restriction must be imposed on the parameters of origin-destination travel demand functions to ensure the convergence of applicable solution algorithms. A comparison of our proposed combined model and the sequential travel demand forecasting with feedback was also made. A few remarks are given in the end.
期刊論文
1.Florian, M.、Nguyen, S.、Ferland, J.(1975)。On the Combined Distribution-assignment of Traffic。Transportation Science,9(1),43-53。  new window
2.Frank, M.、Wolfe, P.(1956)。An Algorithm for Quadratic Programming。Naval Research Logistics Quarterly,3(1/2),95-110。  new window
3.Xu, M.、Chen, A.、Gao, Z.(2008)。An Improved Origin-based Algorithm for Solving the Combined Distribution and Assignment Problem。European Journal of Operational Research,188(6),354-369。  new window
4.Wardrop, J. G.(1952)。Some Theoretical Aspects of Road Traffic Research。Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers,1(3),325-378。  new window
圖書
1.Sheffi, Y.(1985)。Urban Transportation Networks: Equilibrium Analysis with Mathematical Programming Methods。Englewood Cliffs, N.J.:Prentice-Hall。  new window
其他
1.林國顯、孫以濬、李宗益(2009)。國家永續發展之城際運輸需求模式(4/4)。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳息國(2009)。運輸規劃與網路。  延伸查詢new window
3.陳惠國、陳穎俊(1998)。雙邊限制之旅次分配與交通量指派模型求解效率之比較。  延伸查詢new window
4.詹勻沂(2009)。探討動態路網環境下之程序性運輸規劃模式回饋程序。  延伸查詢new window
5.Bar-Gera H., Boyce, D.(2006)。Solving a Nonconvex Combined Travel Forecasting Model by The Method of Successive Averages with Constant Step Sizes。  new window
6.Boyce , D. E.、陳惠國(2007)。如何提高運輸需求預測的精確度。  延伸查詢new window
7.Boyce , D. E., 陳惠國(2008)。反饋式的循序旅運需求預測之收斂性探討。  延伸查詢new window
8.Boyce, D. E., Zhang. Y. F., and Lupa, M. R.(1994)。Introducing “Feedback” into Four-step Travel Forecasting Procedure versus Equilibrium Solution of Combined Model,。  new window
9.Boyce, D. E. and Bar-Gera, H.(2003)。Validation of Multiclass Urban Travel Forecasting Models Combining Origin-destination, Mode, and Route Choices。  new window
10.Boyce, D. E. and Bar-Gera, H.(2006)。Solving the Sequential Travel Forecasting Procedure with Feedback。  new window
11.Boyce, D., O’Neill, C., Scherr, W.(2008)。Solving the Sequential Travel Forecasting Procedure with Feedback。  new window
12.Chcn H. K.(2011)。A Pedagogical Review of Supernetwork Representations for Combined Travel Choice Models。  new window
13.Evans, S. P.(1973)。Some Applications of Optimizations Theory in Transport Planning。  new window
14.Frank, C.(1978)。A Study of Alternative Approaches to Combined Trip Distribution-assignment Modeling。  new window
15.Lan, C. J., Menemdez, M., and Gan, A.(2003)。“Incorporating Feedback Loop into FSUTMS for Model Consistency。  new window
16.Loudon, W. R., Parameswaran, J., and Gardner, B.(1997)。Incorporating Feedback in Travel Forecasting。  new window
17.Murchland, J. D.(1966)。Some Remarks on the Gravity Model of Traffic Distribution and an Equivalent Maximization Formulation。  new window
18.Papacostas, C. S. and Prevedouros, P. D.(2005)。Transportation Engineering and Planning。  new window
19.Siegel, J. D., Cea, D. J., Ferna'ndez, J. E., Rodriguez, R. E., and Boyce, D. E.(2006)。Comparisons of Urban Travel Forecasts Prepared with the Sequentia1 Procedure and a Combined Model。  new window
20.Tomlin, J. A.(1971)。Mathematical Programming Model for the Combined Distribution-assignment of Traffic。  new window
21.Yao, E. and Morikawa, T.(2005)。A Study on Integrated Intercity Travel Demand Model。  new window
22.Zargari, S. A., Araghi, M., and Mohammadian, K.(2009)。An Application of Combined Model for Tehran Metropolitan Area Incorporating Captive Travel Behavior。  new window
 
 
 
 
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